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Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures group: There seems to be some profit-taking in the oil market due to concerns that OPEC will increase production by more than expected.July 5, Swissquote senior market analyst Ipek Ozkardeskaya: The preference for the US dollar is weakening. First, concerns about US debt are rising, and second, the preference for US debt is facing risks. Another reason is that the tariff situation and trade disruptions will have a negative impact on US economic growth, and the Federal Reserve may not be able to support the economy when inflation risks rise.July 5th news: On July 4th local time, a federal judge in the United States briefly halted the Trump administrations plan to deport eight immigrants to South Sudan in order to buy time for their lawyers to state their claims in a Massachusetts court.On July 5, institutional analyst Javier Blas said that OPEC+ representatives are discussing a fourth consecutive increase of 411,000 barrels per day, but there is also the possibility of a "slightly larger" increase. According to the increased UAE quota, OPEC+ will return about 2.5 million barrels per day of production to the market. So far, about 1.4 million barrels per day have been returned (one increase of 138,000 barrels per day and three increases of 411,000 barrels per day). Next, the remaining increase may be divided into three monthly increases (two 411,000 barrels per day and one about 275,000 barrels per day). But it is also possible to accelerate the increase in production and make two increases of about 550,000 barrels per day.French President Emmanuel Macron: Airbus and Malaysia Airlines have reached a "historic" cooperation agreement. (Previously, AirAsia Bhd. reached a preliminary agreement with Airbus to purchase up to 70 Airbus SE extended-range jets, a transaction valued at $12.3 billion.)

S&P 500 (SPY) Declines Towards 3900 As Treasury Yields Rise

Skylar Shaw

Sep 16, 2022 14:55

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S&P 500 is headed for lows in September

As Treasury rates continue to rise in advance of the Fed Interest Rate Decision, which will be announced on September 21, the S&P 500 is falling today.


As the natural gas and oil markets have seen sell-offs, energy equities have been under pressure. As a consequence, top oil companies Exxon Mobil and Chevron are trading down today by around 2%.


Top tech companies including Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon are all now down 1% to 2%.


Testing new lows is NVIDIA. The price of tech stocks will decline as interest rates rise.


From a broad perspective, traders continue to be concerned that the Fed's aggressive rate increases would stunt economic development. According to the FedWatch Tool, there is a 60.2% chance that the Fed's target rate, which is now between 225 and 250 bps, will increase to between 375 and 400 bps in November.


It is not unexpected to see that traders are concerned about this possibility given that aggressive rate rises might put substantial pressure on economic activity and harm company earnings.

The S&P 500 Is Prepared To Examine The Support Level At 3900

The S&P 500 managed to break through the support level at 3920 and is now attempting to test the next support level at 3900. The S&P 500 will go toward the support at the most recent lows at 3885 if it can manage to settle below this level. The S&P 500 will be pushed toward the support at 3850 if the support at 3885 is successfully tested.


The prior support level at 3920 will act as the first resistance level for the S&P 500 on the upswing. If the S&P 500 is able to hold above this point, it will go in the direction of the resistance at 3950. The next resistance level at 3980 will be tested if a move is made over the barrier at 3950.