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According to TASS, Russia is considering a short-term ban on diesel exports lasting several months.The yield on German two-year government bonds fell to a seven-week low of 2.508% after the release of the European Central Banks consumer expectations survey, down 3 basis points on the day.On June 26th, Fitch Ratings BMI Commodities Research division remained bullish on gold, maintaining its 2026 average gold price forecast of $4,600 per ounce. The firm also believes the Federal Reserve will not make any moves on interest rates this year. As noted last week, the Feds hawkish tone has fueled expectations of rate hikes, posing a significant downside risk to gold. However, as long as inflationary pressures related to the Middle East conflict materialize as expected, and with the recent US-Iran agreement beginning to subside, the most likely outcome is that interest rates will remain unchanged for an extended period. Short-term gold price movements may be driven by Fed policy signals, and precious metals are susceptible to market expectation repricing and a renewed strengthening of the US dollar in the short term.June 26th - A survey released by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Friday showed that eurozone consumers lowered their inflation expectations for the next year in May, while long-term expectations remained stable. This indicates that the ECB is not facing pressure to raise interest rates again quickly. Some ECB policymakers said that further tightening of monetary policy is still needed to curb inflation expectations, but there is still considerable disagreement within the ECB regarding the timing of the next move. The ECB consumer expectations survey showed that consumers expectations for inflation over the next year fell from 4.0% in April to 3.5% in May; their expectations for inflation over the next three and five years remained unchanged at 2.9% and 2.4%, respectively. Based on a survey of approximately 19,000 adults in 11 eurozone countries, the ECB stated: "Uncertainty about inflation expectations over the next 12 months has decreased, but remains higher than before the outbreak of the Middle East wars." As in the past, lower-income groups reported higher current inflation perceptions and expectations than other groups, while younger people reported relatively lower inflation perceptions and expectations. Financial markets currently expect the ECB to raise interest rates one or two more times, with the next rate hike not being fully priced in by the market until the fall.On June 26th, Wang Shuo, Director of the Wuhan Municipal Bureau of Data, revealed the above information at a press conference on the theme of "Activating the Value of Data Elements." He also stated that Wuhan will plan 100 data circulation and utilization scenarios around the "965" industrial system. "The upcoming new version of the computing power voucher policy will have a scale of 100 million yuan, and universities, research institutes, enterprises, and individual entrepreneurs residing in the OPC community can all apply," Wang Shuo said. He added that the simultaneously upgraded Wuhan computing power public service platform will enable tokenized services, striving to allow more individuals and enterprises to use computing power as easily as water and electricity.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Quiet

Skylar Shaw

Sep 15, 2022 14:42

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

In the early hours of electronic trading, the S&P 500 has seen a little rally, but this does not always imply optimism. We are only sitting here attempting to evaluate the harm caused by the last session.


Candlestick patterns like the ones we saw on Tuesday virtually never occur randomly, therefore I believe any rally at this time has to be viewed with caution. There will likely be a lot of pressure along the way since traders will undoubtedly be trying to exit losing positions for a better price.


This market may decline below the 3800 level if we break below the candlestick lows on Tuesday, opening up a lot of selling pressure. In the event that it occurs, I predict that there will be a little bit more fear as people start to take the Federal Reserve seriously once again. Of course, the issue is that someone on Wall Street would invent a story to convince regular investors to start purchasing again in order for them to sell their stocks. Because many major institutions were caught in the wrong, that is precisely what has been occurring. As a result, they started pushing a narrative to start dumping stocks on the gullible.


Currently, there isn't anything happening that should boost equities other than the perception that they are "cheap" by some. That kind of thinking is obviously flawed since products that are already inexpensive often become much more affordable. I keep shorting rallies because I have no more faith in this market than I can possibly have.