• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
On September 20th, Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Neal Kashkari stated that U.S. inflation remains excessive, with pressures extending beyond the oil price shock caused by the Iran war and spreading to multiple sectors of the economy. The inflation felt daily by Americans is far more than just an oil price issue; it permeates all aspects of the economy. Kashkari indicated that the Fed is increasingly concerned that inflation is not only concentrated in sectors affected by Middle East conflicts or tariffs, but also showing signs of inflation in the service sector. He stated that the Feds responsibility is to bring inflation back to its target level and that it has the tools to achieve this. Kashkari was one of three opponents in the July decision to keep interest rates unchanged, at which time he favored raising rates and warned that waiting too long could lead to entrenched inflation, ultimately requiring more aggressive measures. Kashkari believes that the U.S. economy, despite facing geopolitical conflicts and trade issues, has demonstrated strong resilience, with a robust labor market. He hopes that as some of the conflicts impact gradually fades, economic growth can take over as a driving force, accelerating the cooling of inflation and thus reducing policy pressure on the Fed.On September 20th, Zhipu, a MaaS platform, officially announced that it will soon launch a data content non-retention function to provide stricter data privacy protection for enterprise and developer users. Zhipu stated that this function does not mean that data will not be retained under all circumstances. Functions such as BatchAPI and FileAPI, which require persistent storage of tasks or files on the platform side, are not covered by this function. In cases where retention is required by laws and regulations, or to investigate suspected violations or abuses, the platform may retain relevant data for 30 days or more as required.Iranian President Peshizian: We welcome any dialogue that can bring lasting security and peace, and in this process we need to have common goals.September 20 - According to a report by Fox News on the 20th, US President Trump stated in a telephone interview that the US has been in communication with the Houthi rebels in Yemen, and the Houthis have agreed not to engage in war with the US.On September 20th, according to the Financial Times, Wall Street banks predict that the US will borrow approximately $1 trillion in short-term Treasury bonds over the next year to meet growing government financing needs. Bank of America projects that in the new fiscal year ending September 2027, the US will borrow approximately $1.07 trillion, excluding debt maturities; JPMorgan Chase projects approximately $1.09 trillion in short-term Treasury bond issuance in 2027, and Goldman Sachs projects $961 billion. This increase in short-term debt issuance comes as long-term borrowing costs in the US have risen to their highest level since 2007, prompting Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant to seek to lower long-term interest rates by expanding repurchase agreements for 10- to 30-year Treasury bonds. Bank of America projects that by next September, outstanding short-term Treasury bonds will rise to approximately $8 trillion, representing 24.3% of tradable Treasury bonds; Goldman Sachs projects this ratio to be 24.3% next year and rising to 24.9% in 2028. This level is close to the peak during the pandemic, while the US Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee previously recommended maintaining a long-term short-term debt ratio of approximately 20%. Analysts say that increasing short-term debt issuance helps lower current financing costs, but it also increases future refinancing risks. Mark Cabana, head of interest rate strategy at Bank of America, said the Treasury is balancing supply and demand in the bond market, but large-scale issuance of short-term debt could lead to "larger and more volatile" interest payments. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has purchased a large amount of short-term Treasury bonds this year, and the approximately $8 trillion in assets in money market funds also provides demand support for short-term debt.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – S&P 500 Quiet

Skylar Shaw

Sep 15, 2022 14:42

微信截图_20220915142849.png

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

In the early hours of electronic trading, the S&P 500 has seen a little rally, but this does not always imply optimism. We are only sitting here attempting to evaluate the harm caused by the last session.


Candlestick patterns like the ones we saw on Tuesday virtually never occur randomly, therefore I believe any rally at this time has to be viewed with caution. There will likely be a lot of pressure along the way since traders will undoubtedly be trying to exit losing positions for a better price.


This market may decline below the 3800 level if we break below the candlestick lows on Tuesday, opening up a lot of selling pressure. In the event that it occurs, I predict that there will be a little bit more fear as people start to take the Federal Reserve seriously once again. Of course, the issue is that someone on Wall Street would invent a story to convince regular investors to start purchasing again in order for them to sell their stocks. Because many major institutions were caught in the wrong, that is precisely what has been occurring. As a result, they started pushing a narrative to start dumping stocks on the gullible.


Currently, there isn't anything happening that should boost equities other than the perception that they are "cheap" by some. That kind of thinking is obviously flawed since products that are already inexpensive often become much more affordable. I keep shorting rallies because I have no more faith in this market than I can possibly have.