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On September 20th, according to Fox News, US President Trump, when discussing the issue of Iran, stated that he is "making a decision" and that very significant things will happen in the near future, with options including the complete elimination of Iran, crippling its economy, or reaching a deal. Trump said, "Theyd better back off." Trump also indicated that he "might" be willing to meet with Iranian President Pezechzian during the UN General Assembly. Pezechzian will travel to New York next week. Despite recent warnings, Trump described this weekend as "no different from any other weekend." Trump also stated that the US has been in communication with the Houthis, who have agreed not to fight the US.1. Monday: ① Events: Speech by Chicago Fed President Goolsby, 2027 FOMC voting member; Speech by Bank of Canada Governor Macklem; Vice Premier He Lifeng leads a delegation to the US for trade consultations from September 19th to 23rd. ② Holiday: Tokyo Stock Exchange closed for Respect for the Aged Day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: UK August public sector net borrowing; UK September CBI industrial order balance; US ADP employment change for the week ending September 5th; Eurozone September consumer confidence index (preliminary); US September Richmond Fed manufacturing index. ② Events: Speech by RBA Governor Bullock; Speech by New York Fed President Williams, permanent FOMC voting member; Speech by Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Jefferson at the 2026 US Treasury Market Conference. ③ Holiday: Tokyo Stock Exchange closed for National Day. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending September 18; preliminary September manufacturing and services PMIs for France, Germany, the UK, the Eurozone, and the US; ② Events: Speech by Richmond Fed President Barkin, a 2027 FOMC voting member; NYMEX crude oil October futures rollover, with the last floor trading session ending at 2:30 AM on September 23 and the last electronic trading session ending at 5:00 AM. ③ Holiday: The Tokyo Stock Exchange will be closed for the Autumn Equinox. 4. Thursday: ① Data: Australias August seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Switzerlands central bank policy rate for the week ending September 24; Germanys September IFO Business Climate Index; UKs September CBI retail sales balance; Canadas July retail sales month-on-month rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending September 19, Q2 current account, August new home sales (annualized), and EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending September 18. ② Events: The Swiss National Bank announces its interest rate decision; Williams, a permanent voting member of the FOMC and president of the New York Fed, holds a fireside chat with Charlie Bean, former deputy governor of the Bank of England, at the London Macroeconomic Policy Forum; Barkin, a 2027 FOMC voting member and president of the Richmond Fed, participates in a fireside chat at the Economic Club; Hamak, a 2026 FOMC voting member and president of the Cleveland Fed, delivers opening remarks at a conference; Paulson, a 2026 FOMC voting member and president of the Philadelphia Fed, speaks at a fintech conference; a new round of price adjustments for refined oil products will begin in China. ③ Holidays: The Seoul Stock Exchange in South Korea will be closed for the Mid-Autumn Festival; the Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, and Dalian Commodity Exchange will not have night trading sessions before the Mid-Autumn Festival. 5. Friday: ① Data: UK September GfK Consumer Confidence Index; Germany October GfK Consumer Confidence Index; US August Durable Goods Orders MoM; US September University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Final Reading; US September One-Year Inflation Rate Expectation Final Reading. ② Event: FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech. ③ Holiday: The Seoul Stock Exchange in South Korea is closed for the Mid-Autumn Festival; the Taiwan Stock Exchange, Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, Beijing Stock Exchanges, and domestic futures exchanges are closed for the Mid-Autumn Festival; the Hong Kong Stock Exchange is open for trading, but northbound and southbound trading is closed. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending September 25. ② Event: 2026 FOMC voting member and Cleveland Fed President Hamak delivers a speech. 7. Sunday: ① Event: New Zealand begins Daylight Saving Time, and its financial market trading hours and economic data release times will be one hour earlier than standard time.US President Trump has indicated he may be open to meeting with the Iranian president. Some significant events may unfold in the near future.On September 20th, according to Qianwen Big Model, Qwen-Image-2.1, an image model that balances generation quality, inference efficiency, and cost of use, was open-sourced today. Qwen-Image-2.1 integrates text generation and image editing into a single model, with only 7B parameters for visual generation and native support for generating and editing transparent images. The main features of this updated model include four aspects: 1. Small model, powerful efficiency, and extreme cost-effectiveness: Lightweight model structure and inference optimization achieve a balance between generation quality and computational cost. 2. Native transparency, integrated creation and modification: Generates ordinary or transparent images based on prompts, and supports transparent layer editing and image cutout. 3. Versatile editing, multi-frame preservation: Supports up to 10 reference images, enhances local editing, portrait and product fidelity, and covers various editing tasks. 4. Realistic texture, elegant text and beautiful figures: Improves text layout, lighting and detail rendering for more aesthetically pleasing generated results.On September 20, Iranian Army Commander Jahanshahi stated that, in response to potential threats, a large number of troops remain deployed along Irans northwestern, western, southwestern, eastern, northeastern, and southeastern borders, as well as coastal areas, since the outbreak of the conflict. Various units of the Iranian Army, including special forces, rapid reaction forces, mechanized units, and artillery, have been deployed along the countrys borders, maintaining a high state of combat readiness.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – The Stock Market Is Attempting To Stabilize

Cory Russell

Sep 16, 2022 15:10

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Given how bad things had been during the previous trading day, the S&P 500 has been rather quiet throughout both the trading sessions on Wednesday and Thursday. In the end, the market has steadied considerably, which is undoubtedly a positive development. In the end, I believe that this market will try to recover if given enough time, but I also acknowledge that there is a lot of pessimism out there, making it tough to expect that the market would suddenly become positive. To be really honest, I think we'll see a little recovery followed by a lot more selling.


The market may be being driven in part by the Federal Reserve meeting that will be closely watched by many people the following week, but for the time being, in my opinion, we are just anticipating "the next shoe to drop." If and when that occurs, we will surpass the 3900 mark and then continue to decline further. Considering enough time, I do think we might test the lows again, particularly given that the Federal Reserve is expected to adopt a hawkish stance, which stock traders naturally detest.


Perhaps more significantly, the 200-Day EMA is situated near the top of the ugly candlestick from Tuesday, which is at a level of 4160. For me to believe in the resilience of a rally, we would need to break through the top of that. I'm not holding my breath on that one since it would need a tremendous lot of inertia. In the end, I believe that this market will decline over a longer period of time.