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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

Oil Losses Widen on Fears of Rising U.S. Inventories and Uncertainty Regarding the CPI

Haiden Holmes

Aug 10, 2022 11:15

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Wednesday oil prices extended overnight declines as industry data indicated a larger-than-anticipated increase in U.S. oil stockpiles over the previous week.


Investors were especially concerned about the anticipated U.S. CPI inflation data, which might signal a greater likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike.


At 20:45 ET (00:30 GMT), Brent Oil Futures declined 0.4% to $96.09 per barrel, while U.S. Crude Oil WTI Futures decreased 0.3% to $90.22 per barrel. On Tuesday, both contracts dipped, albeit somewhat, as a potential supply bottleneck in Europe briefly pushed up prices.


The American Petroleum Institute stated that oil inventories in the United States climbed by a greater amount than expected over the previous week. Unlike the forecast of fewer than 100,000 barrels, crude oil, gasoline, and distillates stockpiles remained at 2.16 million barrels. The number very definitely foreshadows a similar outcome from official numbers released later in the day, which would mark the second week in a row of unexpectedly high oil inventories in the United States.


Contrary to market expectations, U.S. crude oil inventories grew by more than 4 million barrels last week, resulting in a decline in oil prices.


The results imply that U.S. oil consumption is falling as a result of rising inflation and a weakening industrial sector, which may portend further challenges for the petroleum markets.


In the next months, it is also projected that global industrial activity would have an effect on crude demand. Since the commencement of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the price of oil has decreased by more than $40, as rising global costs have dramatically reduced demand.


The spotlight is currently on the upcoming U.S. inflation figures, slated for release at 8:30 a.m. ET. While the data is expected to suggest a little decrease in prices from the previous month, inflation is expected to remain above levels not seen in forty years.


This would almost probably compel the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates further in September, a move that might have a negative impact on economic development and further reduce oil prices.

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