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The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 305.97 points, or 0.59%, to close at 52,182.08 on Monday, June 29; the S&P 500 rose 86.34 points, or 1.17%, to close at 7,440.36; and the Nasdaq Composite rose 522.53 points, or 2.07%, to close at 25,820.14.On June 30th, Paul Ziana, head of technical research at Bank of America, stated that investors should hedge against further rallies in the S&P 500 and prepare for a potential "three-wave correction" in the coming months. Ziana wrote that the S&P 500 has risen nearly 17% since its March lows, but the rally has shown signs of fatigue since the benchmark index hit its recent peak on June 2nd. He indicated that the S&P 500 could fall to 6850 points, a drop of approximately 7.6% from current levels. Ziana stated, "The post-Iran ceasefire rally is becoming increasingly volatile as the risk of a correction accumulates." He added that price action appears "overstretched" and momentum is deteriorating, therefore a "defensive stance" should be adopted between July and September.June 30th - U.S. stocks closed Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.59%, the S&P 500 up 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 2.07%. Western Digital (WDC.O) rose 11%, Seagate Technology (STX.O) rose over 7%, SpaceX (SPCX.O) rose 7%, Micron Technology (MU.O) rose 1%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 1%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 1.4%, and Baidu (BIDU.O) rose over 7%.Morgan Stanley (MS.N) has priced a $350 million 6.10% note issuance for its direct lending fund, maturing to 2031. The company stated that the net proceeds from the issuance will be used to repay existing secured debt.US President Trump: Oil prices have fallen sharply.

Near 1.3600, USD/CAD Meets Difficult Resistance Amid a Weak USD Index and Rising Crude Prices

Daniel Rogers

Mar 29, 2023 14:32

USD:CAD.png 

 

Near 1.3600, the USD/CAD pair encountered resistance during the Asian session. As the US Dollar Index (DXY) appears vulnerable to further losses below 102.40, the Canadian dollar appears to have a sturdy downside bias. The USD Index has found support near 102.40, but a retracement is likely as risk appetite improves.

 

The USD Index is under intense pressure as a result of the decline in U.S. banking concerns. As reported by Reuters, US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stated in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday that "at this time" there is no need for universal insurance on all bank deposits, reviving concerns of a banking crisis in the United States.

 

Tuesday's S&P500 futures remained predominantly constrained in response to House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's remarks. The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain a consistent tone when announcing its interest rate decision at its May monetary policy meeting, despite the optimistic market sentiment.

 

In the interim, demand for U.S. government bonds remained low due to investors' expectation that the nation will emerge from its banking crisis sooner. This led to a rise in 10-year US Treasury yields to 3.57 percent.

 

According to Bloomberg, the Canadian Dollar remained volatile on Tuesday after Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland's announcement that dividends received by financial institutions from holding domestic equities will be considered business income. This will generate billions in tax revenue from banks and insurance firms that receive dividends from Canadian corporations.

 

Due to a weakening US Dollar and expectations of additional sanctions against Russia, the price of oil has risen to close to $74.00 on the energy front. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) oil inventory data will be attentively monitored for additional guidance. As anticipated, the US EIA will report an increase of 0.187 million barrels in oil stocks for the week ending March 24.

 

Notably, Canada is the leading oil exporter to the United States, and rising crude prices would strengthen the Canadian Dollar further.

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