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February 9th - Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that she would communicate with financial markets on Monday, if necessary, to calm market sentiment as soon as possible. However, she also warned of the possibility of intervention in the yens exchange rate at any time. Katayama revealed that she maintains close contact with US Treasury Secretary Bessenter, sharing the responsibility of maintaining the stability of the dollar-yen exchange rate. She explained that Japan and the US have signed a memorandum of understanding stipulating that decisive measures can be taken against rapid fluctuations deviating from fundamentals, which certainly includes intervention. She reiterated that she is closely monitoring financial markets, while emphasizing her commitment to responsible fiscal policy and stressing the governments strong focus on fiscal sustainability and its desire to maintain it.February 9th - According to NHK, the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Restoration Party won a majority of seats in the House of Representatives election held on the 8th.Musk: Teslas electric semi-truck will begin mass production this year.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.February 9th - Goldman Sachs trading arm stated that after a rebound in U.S. stocks last Friday, almost recovering the weeks brutal losses, this week will face further selling pressure from trend-following algorithmic funds. The S&P 500 has broken through a short-term trigger point, prompting commodity trading advisors (CTAs) to sell stocks. Goldman Sachs expects these systematic strategies, which track stock market movements rather than fundamental factors, to remain net sellers in the coming week, regardless of market direction. Goldman Sachs stated that if the stock market falls again, it could trigger approximately $33 billion in selling this week. If market pressure persists and the S&P 500 falls below 6707 points, there could be as much as $80 billion in systemic selling over the next month. In a stable market environment, CTAs are expected to sell approximately $15.4 billion in U.S. stocks this week, and even if the stock market rises, these funds are still expected to sell approximately $8.7 billion.

As Australian monthly inflation declines to 6.8%, the AUD/JPY exchange rate approaches 87.80

Alina Haynes

Mar 29, 2023 14:36

AUD:JPY.png 

 

After the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a further decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the previous month, the AUD/JPY pair dropped significantly to near 87.80. (Feb). The economic data came in at 6.9%, which was lower than both the consensus estimate of 7.1% and the previous release of 7.4%.

 

Australian Retail Sales increased by 0.2% on Tuesday, which was below the consensus estimate of 0.4% and the previous release of 1.9%. A weaker-than-expected retail demand suggests that households are bearing the burden of higher inflation and are having difficulty compensating for the impact of inflated products with their present purchasing power.

 

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) would be encouraged to maintain monetary policy at its April meeting as a result of the synergistic effect of declining Retail Sales and the Consumer Price Index. In March, RBA Governor Philip Lowe increased the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.60 percent. Investors should be aware of this fact.

 

Every subsequent Friday, the China Bureau of Statistics will disseminate Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing PMI data. Following the abolition of pandemic controls, the Chinese economy is promoting development through monetary measures, so market participants anticipate a respectable performance. Australia is China's largest trading partner, and China's accelerating economic activity will also benefit the Australian Dollar.

 

As the target for sustainable inflation has not yet been attained, the former governor of the Bank of Japan, Haruhiko Kuroda, remained extremely pessimistic about future monetary policy regarding the Japanese Yen. "It is premature to discuss a withdrawal from easy monetary policy," he continued. And "More time is required to consistently and sustainably reach the price target."