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On August 5th, Nick Timiraos, a vocal advocate for the Federal Reserve, wrote that Treasury Secretary Bessants policy response function has become less dovish. His comments this year suggested the Fed should maintain its current interest rates. Earlier this year, Bessant cited models suggesting the Feds interest rate could be more than 25 to 100 basis points above the neutral rate. Today (August 4th), he raised two points. First, he defended Warshs decision last week not to elaborate on any policy response function: "I think every meeting should be open, and market participants should make their own judgments… I think Warsh wanted to preserve options to achieve the best outcome." Second, he did propose a policy response function that could be considered dovish, arguing that recent shocks should be ignored: "What will be the impact of rising short-term interest rates? Well see." He raised this question but then responded by noting that underlying inflation was "very modest… very stable." "Core inflation, after removing the energy-dependent volatility component, has been very stable. I think this will continue."Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: The flight routes under negotiation are aimed at ensuring the sovereign rights and national security considerations of both Iran and Oman.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: The focus of the negotiations is to determine safe passageways in and out of the Strait of Hormuz.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson: The final results of the negotiations will be released after being compiled and summarized.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 3.6 occurred near Gao County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province (28.55 degrees north latitude, 104.68 degrees east longitude) at 23:58 on August 4. The final result is subject to the official rapid report.

NZD/USD Recovers To Near 0.6250 As The USD Index Retreats In Response To The Fed's Dovish Guidance

Daniel Rogers

Mar 23, 2023 14:56

 NZD:USD.png

 

The NZD/USD pair has extended its recovery to near 0.6250 during the Asian session. After declining to near 102.00, the US Dollar Index (DXY) displayed a brief retracement, and the New Zealand dollar rose sharply from 0.6220. It is anticipated that the USD Index will maintain its downward momentum as the Federal Reserve (Fed) approaches its terminal rate.

 

It was widely anticipated that the Fed would increase interest rates by 25 basis points (bp), resulting in rates between 4.75 and 5.00 percent. Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, fought harder to maintain his hawkish stance, contending that rate cuts in 2023 are out of the question because restrictive monetary policy is required to reduce inflation to 2%. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement that "additional policy tightening may be warranted" indicated that the Fed is nearing the end of its rate-hiking campaign.

 

After Fed Chairman Powell allayed fears of a bleak economic outlook due to reduced demand and the scope of economic activities, U.S. stocks experienced an enormous sell-off on Wednesday. According to Fed Chair Powell, the US banking system is'sound and resilient,' but credit conditions for households and businesses cannot be ruled out.

 

The New Zealand Dollar is struggling to maintain its footing in Asia-Pacific as the market anticipates a reduced growth rate in the kiwi zone due to recent inundation.

 

According to Reuters, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Chief Economist Paul Conway stated on Thursday that interest rates were clearly contracting and causing a welcome decline in economic demand, but it was not yet clear that inflation expectations were under control.


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