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On November 16, it was reported that Li Baian, former member of the Party Committee and Vice President of China Merchants Group Limited, is suspected of serious violations of discipline and law and is currently under disciplinary review and supervisory investigation by the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission.On November 16th, according to the Finnish newspaper Helsingin Sanomat, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Rehn stated that the risk of slowing inflation should not be ignored. Low energy prices, a stronger euro, and declining wage and service sector inflation all suggest that overall inflation may be excessively below the ECBs 2% target. When asked if the ECB might cut interest rates again in December, Rehn said, "This risk cannot be underestimated." However, he also cautioned against the potential for rising inflation. Rehn stated that despite the Trump administrations tariff policies disrupting global trade, the Eurozone economy has shown resilience. Rehn also warned that the stock market "clearly faces the risk of a correction," emphasizing the importance of bank capital buffers. Driven by the US artificial intelligence boom, current stock prices appear high relative to the performance of the real economy and corporate profits. This requires caution.On November 16th, it was reported that the United States and Trinidad and Tobago are about to conduct military exercises in waters near the coast of Venezuelas Sucre state. On November 15th, Venezuelan President Maduro strongly condemned the exercises, calling the action "irresponsible" and a "threat" to peace in the Caribbean. Maduro stated that such actions are intended to put pressure on Venezuela, but Venezuela "will not be threatened by anyone." Recently, Trinidad and Tobagos Attorney General John Jeremy stated that the 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit will be "intensifying exercises" in the country "in the coming days."1. Hungarian Prime Minister: Europe is on the brink of war. 2. Ukraine claims 1,200 Ukrainian prisoners will be released; Russia has not yet responded. 3. Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian troops have taken control of the Yablokovo settlement in Zaporizhia. 4. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has ordered a comprehensive reform of state-owned energy companies. 5. According to RIA Novosti: The situation remains stable after an external power line to the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant was shut down. 6. Southern Ukrainian Defense Forces: Ukrainian troops have conducted a tactical withdrawal from the town of Novovasilivsk in the Zaporizhia region. 7. General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: A Russian oil refinery in Ryazan Oblast was attacked by Ukrainian forces; the refinery produces 840,000 tons of aviation fuel and other military fuels annually. 8. Russian Ministry of Defense: 247 Ukrainian drones were shot down in the past 24 hours. A Ukrainian military airport and energy facility related to the defense industry were attacked. 9. General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: Ukrainian forces struck the Sky-U radar station in Crimea, a military train in the Tokmok region of Zaporizhzhia, and a Russian troop assembly point in Volchansk, Kharkiv region.On November 16, the Kremlin announced that Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a phone conversation on November 15, during which they had in-depth exchanges on the situation in the Middle East, including developments in the Gaza Strip, Irans nuclear program, and the situation in Syria.

GBP/USD seeks to regain 1.2300 as higher UK CPI strengthens the case for a rate hike by the Bank of England and the USD retreats

Alina Haynes

Mar 23, 2023 15:00

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During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair attempts to reclaim the resistance level at 1.2300. Following a vertical correction, the Cable has recovered to near 1.2260 as the market anticipates that the absence of hawkish interest rate guidance from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell while addressing the economy at the monetary policy meeting indicates that the Fed is close to ending its policy-tightening spell.

 

S&P500 futures have generated some gains in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday as a result of Fed Powell's confirmation that the fight against intractable U.S. inflation will continue. Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has ruled out rate cuts in 2023, citing the difficulty of controlling inflation. In addition, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's statement that the government "does not plan to insure all uninsured bank deposits" heightened fears of a banking sector collapse.

 

Following a recovery move, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has retreated on expectations that additional credit tightening to protect banking institutions will reduce overall demand, economic activity, and inflation. In the interim, the demand for US government bonds has increased as a result of expectations that US Janet Yellen will end further policy restrictions and reduce support for all bank deposits.

 

On the front of the United Kingdom, the Pound Sterling is likely to maintain its strength as the Bank of England (BoE) is scheduled to raise rates for the eleventh consecutive time. Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points (bp) in response to rising food and non-alcoholic beverage prices, as well as rising energy costs, which have contributed to inflation in the United Kingdom.

 

In the midst of global banking turmoil, the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate decision will be difficult, as policymakers were divided over whether to raise rates further or maintain them at their present level.