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May 16 – According to the New York Times, the Trump administration is considering establishing a $1.7 billion fund to compensate allies investigated by the Justice Department during former President Bidens term, a move that would create a moral, legal, and political minefield for Republicans and Justice Department leadership. According to three people familiar with the matter, this unusual plan has not yet been finalized or approved. Democrats and former administration officials have criticized the plan as a massive, taxpayer-funded secret political fund. The proposal is a response to various allegations brought by President Trump against the federal government he controls. He has sought compensation for leaked tax returns during his first term, post-leave investigations into his handling of classified documents, and investigations into potential ties between his 2016 campaign and Russia. The idea of establishing a government fund to pay Trumps political allies has gained increasing support internally as the Justice Department and the White House attempt to resolve Trumps $10 billion lawsuit against the IRS, which he filed in January. Officials familiar with the details revealed that establishing a compensation fund for Trumps allies, but not for the president himself, could provide a short-term solution, allowing the president to obtain tangible benefits from the lawsuit before a judge dismisses it.Market news: BlackRocks private credit fund valuation is under investigation by the U.S. Department of Justice.According to SEC filings, Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stake in Chevron (CVX.N) by 35.2%, down to 84.4 million shares.SEC filings show that Berkshire Hathaway has sold off all of its Amazon (AMZN.O) shares.S&P: As a major net exporter of crude oil and an emerging producer of refined products, Nigeria has been less affected by the Middle East conflict.

As Investors Anticipate a 25 Basis Point Fed Rate Hike, USD/CAD Corrects To Near 1.3700

Daniel Rogers

Mar 22, 2023 15:17

USD:CAD.png 

 

The USD/CAD pair is evidencing a corrective movement after failing to sustain a recovery above 1.3740 during the Asian session. Following a decline in Canada's inflation data, the Canadian dollar rebounded strongly from Monday's level of 1.3660. The falling Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data confirmed that the Bank of Canada (BoC) could maintain its current policy stance.

 

Governor Tiff Macklem of the Bank of Canada maintains the status quo because he believes that the monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive to achieve price stability. However, BoC Macklem has left the door open for additional increases if the plan for reducing inflation fails.

 

Statistics Canada reported that the monthly inflation rate has increased by 0.4%, which is less than both the consensus estimate of 0.6% and the previous release of 0.5%. The headline CPI declined from 5.4% (consensus) and 5.8% to 5.2%. (previous release). The annual core CPI, which excludes the costs of fuel and food, decreased to 4.7% from 5.0%, but remained above the 4.4% forecast. The Bank of Canada, which has already increased interest rates to 4.5%, found the overall decline in inflation to be quite impressive.

 

In the interim, S&P500 futures are performing unfavorably after two days of intense buying. The odds favor the Federal Reserve increasing interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) for the second consecutive meeting. (Fed). As concerns of banking sector turmoil persist, the US Dollar Index (DXY) struggles to maintain its position above 103.20. In addition, analysts from UBS believe that tighter credit standards, economic contraction, and falling inflation could prompt the Fed to reduce interest rates this year.


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