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September 20th - According to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), from January to August, the top ten passenger car manufacturers sold a total of 4.014 million vehicles, accounting for 67.9% of total passenger car sales. Among these ten companies, SAIC Motor and Tesla saw varying degrees of sales growth compared to the same period last year, while the sales of the other companies all declined to varying degrees.On September 20th, Orient Securities Research stated that the LPR (Loan Prime Rate) for both maturities remained unchanged in September, largely in line with market expectations. The stable LPR since the beginning of the year reflects the fact that first-half GDP growth reached 4.7%, falling within the annual economic growth target range of 4.5% to 5.0%, with accelerated development in new productivity sectors, represented by high-tech manufacturing. This means that although domestic investment and consumption have weakened since the second quarter, and economic growth momentum has declined somewhat, macroeconomic policies have maintained strong resolve, and monetary policy remains in an observation period. This is the fundamental reason why the LPR remained unchanged in September. We predict that the central bank may implement policy-driven interest rate cuts later, which will lead to a follow-up reduction in the LPR. The Politburo meeting on July 30th emphasized the need to "fully leverage the effectiveness of existing policies, promptly plan and introduce practical and effective incremental policies, and increase counter-cyclical adjustments," and required "comprehensive use and timely adjustment of monetary policy tools." Considering the economic and financial situation and price trends, the possibility of a new round of incremental policies cannot be ruled out.Chinas total electricity consumption in August rose 1.7% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous month.Chinas total electricity consumption in August was 1,033.2 billion kilowatt-hours, compared to 1,040 billion kilowatt-hours in the previous month.September 20th - From January to August, total electricity consumption in China reached 7,173 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%. By sector, primary industry electricity consumption was 104.6 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%. Secondary industry electricity consumption was 4,529.7 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%; among which, industrial electricity consumption was 4,488 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and high-tech and equipment manufacturing electricity consumption was 845.1 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 9.3%. Tertiary industry electricity consumption was 1,425.6 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%; among which, charging and swapping services and internet data services consumed 114.7 billion and 69.5 billion kilowatt-hours respectively, with growth rates reaching 55.1% and 42.5% respectively. Residential electricity consumption was 1,113.2 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 0.3%.

NZD/USD Increases close to 0.6240 as RBNZ Increases Ocr by 50 Basis Points to 4.75 Percent

Alina Haynes

Feb 22, 2023 15:23

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Demand for the NZD/USD pair has surged dramatically as a result of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) hawkish attitude on interest rates. Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Adrian Orr has raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps) to 4.75 percent. It was widely anticipated that a decision to increase interest rates by 50 basis points would be made. The RBNZ hiked interest rates by 75 basis points during its November monetary policy meeting, something investors should be aware of.

 

As the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) failed to significantly cut the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the New Zealand economy, a significant rate increase was anticipated. Inflationary pressures in the New Zealand economy have not yet reached their pinnacle as a result of the RBNZ's continuous policy tightening, but the labor market has begun to manifest damage.

 

Even though New Zealand Prime Minister Chris Hipkins has committed a NZ$300 million ($187.08 million) disaster aid package, the recent release of helicopter money may boost inflationary pressures.

 

The statement of monetary policy will determine whether the RBNZ maintains its goal of an OCR peak of 5.5% by May.

 

Statistics January exports and imports data were released by New Zealand during the early Asian session. Compared to the previous report, exports declined to $5.47 billion from $6.72 billion, while imports grew. This indicates that domestic demand is extremely robust.

 

Indicative of their caution, investors have begun discounting Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates to 5%. Yet, investors' appetite for risk is growing as risk-perceived assets gain momentum. The US Dollar Index (DXY) fails to surpass the important level of resistance at 103.90. In the future, the USD Index will be affected by the release of the Federal Open Market Committee's minutes (FOMC).