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On May 16, local time, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that the Israeli military was launching airstrikes against Hezbollah infrastructure targets in several locations in southern Lebanon.May 16th - The meeting between the Chinese and US leaders has drawn significant global attention. International figures expressed their expectation that, under the strategic guidance of head-of-state diplomacy, China and the US will forge a new path for proper relations between major powers in the new era, jointly creating a bright future for bilateral relations while bringing more stability and certainty to a world fraught with uncertainty. William Jones, former White House correspondent for the US magazine *Global Strategy Information*, stated that as the most important bilateral relationship in the world today, the smooth progress of the US-China relationship depends on the two leaders ability to "see the direction, grasp the overall situation, and stabilize the course." He emphasized that effective dialogue and communication are especially crucial at critical moments. "This meeting has drawn a clear roadmap for the future development of bilateral relations, once again demonstrating the stabilizing force of head-of-state diplomacy in US-China relations."On May 16, Iraqs newly appointed Oil Minister, Bassim Mohammed, stated at a press conference that Iraq exported 10 million barrels of oil via the Strait of Hormuz in April. Mohammed indicated that Iraq plans to engage in discussions with OPEC to increase the countrys crude oil production and export capacity, adding that Baghdads goal is to increase crude oil production capacity to 5 million barrels per day.Iraqs oil minister said Iraq is seeking discussions with OPEC to increase its crude oil production and export capacity, and hopes to increase production capacity to 5 million barrels per day.On May 16th, it was reported that on May 15th, 2026, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang ordered a "Peach Four Seasons Spring" drink at a Mixue Ice Cream store in Nanluoguxiang, Beijing, sparking attention. A Mixue Ice Cream staff member responded that after the "Celebrity Endorsement" feature was launched on their mini-program, sales of the Peach Four Seasons Spring drink increased by nearly 140% compared to the previous day and by over 90% compared to the previous Friday. At the Nanluoguxiang store visited by Huang, sales of the Peach Four Seasons Spring drink increased by over 90% compared to the previous day.

As Oil Bears Take a Break and Focus on the Federal Reserve and Geopolitics, USD / CAD Reverses from a Multi-Day High

Alina Haynes

Feb 23, 2023 14:57

USD:CAD.png 

 

As it reverses from a seven-week high marked the day before on Thursday morning, USD/CAD accepts offers to reestablish the intraday low near 1.3540. Consequently, the Loonie pair suffers its first daily loss in three days, amidst market consolidation and cautious optimism.

 

Nevertheless, the absence of Japanese traders due to the Tokyo holiday has joined the previous decline in US Treasury bond yields and a decline in US inflation expectations to influence the most recent USD/CAD exchange rate. The 10-year and 5-year breakeven inflation rates from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) indicate a decline in US inflation expectations by falling from the multi-day high.

 

On a similar trajectory, Canada's primary export commodity, WTI petroleum oil, may experience a reversal. The black gold fell to a 13-day low after losing nearly 3.0% the previous day due to lackluster US inventories and a strong US Dollar. However, as of press time, the energy benchmark has posted modest gains and is trading near $74,00.

 

Despite recent market consolidation, USD / CAD buyers remain optimistic due to hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) and geopolitical concerns.

 

In terms of geopolitics, US President Joe Biden believes that his Russian counterpart is incapable of using nuclear weapons by renouncing an international treaty. The most recent round of negotiations between the West and China has exacerbated the Ukraine-Russia conflict, which has yet to dispel the concerns surrounding it. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported recently that the United States is considering releasing intelligence on China's prospective arms transfer to Russia. Previously, China-Russia relations appeared to have exacerbated geopolitical tensions, as the United States strongly condemned such actions and favored a surge towards risk aversion, which favored the US Dollar.

 

In a separate section of the most recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, all participants agreed that additional rate increases are necessary to achieve the inflation target, while also favoring further Fed balance sheet reductions. James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, told Reuters that the Fed will need to raise interest rates above 5% to combat inflation. The policymaker also stated that he believes there is a good possibility they will be able to beat inflation this year without causing a recession. In addition, according to Reuters, John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, emphasized the concerns supporting the Fed's higher interest rates by stating, "Fed is utterly committed to getting inflation back to 2%."

 

US Treasury bond yields are inactive after retreating from a multi-day high, while Wall Street closed neutral and the S&P 500 Futures are modestly bid as of late.

 

The second estimates of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for the fourth quarter (Q4) and the preliminary readings of the US Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be crucial for providing USD / CAD traders with new information in the near future.


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