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China Passenger Car Association: Tesla exported 36,119 China-made cars in August.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: On September 7th, COMEX gold continued its sideways trading, closing at $4452.0 per ounce, down 0.55%. Domestic SHFE gold futures continued to hover around 960 points in the night session, closing at 954.1 yuan per gram, down 0.04%. 1. News: The US-Canada trade war escalated, with Canada planning to impose tariffs ranging from 15% to 50% on hundreds of US goods on Tuesday. Trump threatened to ban the sale of Bombardier aircraft in the US. Geopolitically, Saudi Aramco oil facilities were attacked again, and traffic in the Strait of Hormuz fell to its lowest level since May. Regarding central banks, Chinas gold reserves at the end of August were 76.73 million ounces (approximately 2386.57 tons), an increase of 650,000 ounces (approximately 20.22 tons) month-on-month. The Peoples Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for the 22nd consecutive month. 2. CME data shows that interest rate hike expectations are still rising. If the FOMC does raise rates in September, it will mark a reversal of the policy tone of the easing cycle that has been in place since 2024. However, given the influence of US Treasury bonds, a rate hike would essentially mean that market expectations have been met. Nevertheless, with interest rate hike expectations fluctuating, there is significant uncertainty surrounding the September Fed meeting, and price performance may also be volatile. The US August PPI and CPI data will be released successively from September 10th to 11th, which may provide strong guidance for the Feds interest rate decision, and the market may experience increased intraday volatility around these data releases.Sri Lankan Ceylon Petroleum executives: In addition to WTI and Siberian Light crude, they are testing Sahara blends to diversify their refining feedstock sources.Sri Lankan Ceylon Petroleum executives: Seeking foreign joint venture partners with access to crude oil to expand refining capacity.Sri Lankan Ceylon Petroleum executives: Plans to double refining capacity to 100,000 barrels per day within four years.

Look at $82.57 on NYMEX crude oil

Oct 26, 2021 11:03

On Wednesday (October 13), international oil prices fluctuated within a narrow range at a high level. There is concern that soaring coal and natural gas prices in Asia and Europe will stimulate inflation and slow global growth, thereby reducing oil demand. The dollar is near a one-year high, which also put pressure on oil prices.

GMT+8 13:56, NYMEX crude oil futures rose 0.01% to 80.65 US dollars/barrel; ICE Brent crude oil futures rose 0.05% to 83.46 US dollars/barrel.


The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday (October 12) lowered the growth prospects of the United States and other major industrialized countries, and stated that continued supply chain disruptions and price pressures hindered the recovery of the global economy from the new crown epidemic.

The IMF is concerned that the momentum of economic growth has weakened, which has increased the uncertainty in the oil market. However, oil observers still focus on whether the soaring prices of natural gas and coal will lead to an increase in demand for petroleum products for power generation.

An analyst from the Research Department of ANZ Bank said in a research report: "More and more people expect that the high prices of natural gas and thermal coal may boost the demand for alternative fuels such as diesel and fuel oil."

On the daily chart, U.S. oil is in an upward ((3)) wave starting from $61.74, and the upper resistance is looking at the 38.2% target of $88.66. On the hourly chart, oil prices are in five upward waves starting from $74.97, and the upper resistance looks at the 161.8% target of $82.75. Wave 5 is a sub-wave of the upward (1) wave that started at $61.74. (1) Waves are the sub-waves of ((3)) waves.