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On September 21, Fox News reported that when White House National Economic Council Director Hassett was asked in an interview on Sunday about the specific timeline for Trumps earlier promise of a "reverse rocket drop" in oil prices, he did not provide a timeline, only stating that the US government had taken measures to ensure that the impact on energy prices was "far less than expected." Hassett stated that after the escalation of the conflict between Iran and the Houthis, the US has ensured the transport of oil through the Strait of Hormuz through naval escorts, with "billions of barrels of oil already passing through the strait" to minimize the impact of supply disruptions on oil prices. He indicated that initially, the market expected oil prices to rise to $150 or $200 per barrel, but this did not occur. Hassett also stated that "President Trump will decide when it ends," and that if the US did not take action, it could have serious consequences for "the global economy and human civilization."On September 21, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that he spoke with US President Donald Trump that day, and the two agreed to meet in New York. Zelenskyy said that this meeting "could bring about important changes," and that the diplomatic process is currently underway.On September 21, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Trump administration is preparing broader sanctions against the International Criminal Court (ICC) to expand its previous pressure campaign against the institution. According to documents, the new measures could prohibit most transactions with the ICC after a six- to seven-month grace period and may restrict its use of the US dollar, thus affecting its participation in the global financial system. The report, citing officials, stated that the final decision and announcement date are yet to be determined, but could be announced as early as this week during the UN General Assembly or in the following days. A State Department spokesperson did not disclose specific sanctions but stated that Secretary of State Marco Rubio believes the ICC poses a threat to US sovereignty. Previously, the US has sanctioned several ICC officials, including former Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan, ICC President Tomoko Akane, and several judges and prosecutors. The proposed measures would expand from targeting individuals to targeting transactions with the court as a whole. The deterioration in US relations with the ICC is linked to the courts 2024 arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galant.On September 21, U.S. President Donald Trump will meet with New York City Mayor Nancy Mamdani at Gracie Mansion, the official residence of the New York City mayor, on Monday. Mamdanis office stated that the talks will focus on issues affecting New York City and its residents, but did not release a specific agenda or meeting arrangements. White House officials confirmed the meeting plans but did not provide further details. This will be Mamdanis third face-to-face meeting with Trump since being elected mayor.According to the Wall Street Journal, the Trump administration is preparing to impose sanctions on the International Criminal Court.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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