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On September 6, Russian Presidential Aide Ushakov said early on the 6th that President Putins meeting with US President Trumps special envoy Witkov and son-in-law Jared Kushner at the Kremlin on the evening of the 5th lasted more than three hours and was substantive and "constructive." Ushakov said that the Russian side made a clear and comprehensive assessment of the current situation, including the situation developing during the special military operation. In particular, the Russian side pointed out the actual progress made by the Russian army in the theater of operations and expressed confidence in achieving its established objectives, while also emphasizing the necessity of eliminating all the root causes of the conflict. Ushakov stated that Russia reiterated its willingness to continue working with the US to seek a solution through political and diplomatic means. Both sides confirmed that the two presidents will continue to maintain direct contact.Russian Presidential Aide Ushakov: Putin is prepared to cooperate with the United States to seek a diplomatic solution to the Russia-Ukraine issue.September 6 - According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), the public relations department of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on September 5 denying that the Isfahan nuclear technology center and nuclear facilities had been attacked, calling the related reports purely fabricated. The statement said that spreading such content during the current sensitive situation is an attempt by hostile forces to create tension, disrupt public opinion, and incite public panic.September 6 - According to Irans Fars News Agency, a deputy political official of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy stated that in the 10 days leading up to August 30, Iranian naval forces were "punishing" two to five "violations" of regulations every night in the Strait of Hormuz. The official added that the US attacks "did not cause the slightest disruption to Irans control in the region."On September 6th, Israeli public radio reported on the 5th that the Israeli military is preparing to partially withdraw from southern Lebanon and plans to establish a smaller "safe zone" along the Lebanese-Israeli border. The report stated that the Israeli military recently completed the destruction of Hezbollah tunnels beneath the Ali Tahir heights in the Nabatayah region of southern Lebanon, subsequently formulating the aforementioned relocation plan. Israeli security officials said that under the new plan, the Israeli military will withdraw to a position closer to the Lebanese-Israeli border, reducing the depth of its controlled area in southern Lebanon from the current approximately 10 kilometers to 3-4 kilometers. The new deployment line, referred to as the "grey line," will replace the current "yellow line."

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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