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On August 23, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine did not participate in any actions to sabotage the Nord Stream gas pipeline connecting Russia and Europe. This comes after a Ukrainian suspect wanted by Germany was arrested in Croatia, becoming the second Ukrainian suspect detained in the case. Zelenskyy said, "Ukraine has never participated in this operation, not even in the first place. I hope the investigation will be fruitful. We are ready to provide assistance." Zelenskyy indicated that the Ukrainian Prosecutors Office and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs are investigating the matter.On August 23, some Japanese citizens held a rally in Tokyo to protest the Sanae Takaichi governments attempts to revise the constitution and its series of military expansion initiatives. Participants strongly opposed the governments push to revise the "Three Security Documents" and attempt to amend the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles."On August 23, Federal Reserve Chairman Neel Kashkari downplayed market concerns about rising U.S. Treasury yields, stating that the market is functioning well and the recent surge is unlikely to affect discussions on monetary policy. Kashkari said on Sunday, "All indications suggest that the U.S. Treasury market is functioning normally, trading is proceeding smoothly, and market liquidity is ample, therefore we can use the federal funds rate as the primary policy tool for reducing inflation." Last week, yields on U.S. Treasury bonds of all maturities rose, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at around 4.73%. The 30-year Treasury yield remained near its highest level since 2007. Kashkari stated that while current Treasury yields are high relative to recent historical levels, yields in the 1990s were much higher. "We need more data, but I dont want to prejudge the outcome of the next meeting," he said. "However, I dont currently believe that inflation will fall back to the target level in the short term."Russian President Vladimir Putin: Ukraines 40-day "influence operation" against Russia has failed to change the situation, and Russian forces are continuing their advance.On August 23, affected by Typhoon Zitan (No. 19 of this year), many parts of Guangxi experienced heavy to torrential rain, with some areas experiencing extremely heavy rain. Several rivers exceeded warning levels, and some towns in Fangchenggang and Chongzuo cities faced flooding risks. On August 23, Guangxi held a video conference to coordinate flood and typhoon prevention efforts. According to statistics, as of 6 PM on August 23, 64 townships (subdistricts) in 17 counties (cities, districts) of 6 cities including Fangchenggang, Chongzuo, and Nanning experienced heavy torrential rain, with some areas experiencing extremely heavy rain. 92 townships (subdistricts) in 30 counties (cities, districts) of 10 cities experienced heavy rain. 15 stations on 10 rivers, including the Mingjiang River and its tributaries Gongan River and Pailian River, and the Zuojiang River and its upstream Pinger River, exceeded warning levels. The typhoon has affected 61,000 people, with 54,000 relocated and 8,087 people urgently relocated and resettled. All flood control and disaster relief work is being carried out in an orderly and solid manner.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.