EUR/USD 1.14201
0.056%
Gold 4058.20
1.266%
Oil 83.411
1.399%
USD/JPY 162.735
0.154%
GBP/USD 1.34087
-0.159%
GBP/JPY 218.211
-0.003%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
July 21 – Nuveen Global Investment Strategist Laura Cooper stated in a report that the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting this week after the June rate hike, but will maintain a tighter tone. Cooper said the ECB would remain open to further tightening if renewed tensions drive up energy prices. She said inflation is more moderate than feared, with little sign of renewed acceleration in the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) pricing sub-index, while producer price data confirms that upstream cost pressures are easing. “These factors provide a reason to hold rates steady this month,” she said. The complexity lies in renewed disruptions to commodity supplies, which could reignite energy price pressures at a time when the ECB is gaining confidence in the path of declining inflation.According to the Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI), Saudi Arabias domestic refineries increased crude oil processing by 175,000 barrels per day in May, reaching 2.386 million barrels per day.According to the Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI), Saudi Arabias crude oil inventories increased by 2.827 million barrels in May, reaching 142.794 million barrels.According to the Joint Oil Data Institute (JODI), Saudi Arabias direct crude oil burning increased by 107,000 barrels per day in May, reaching 647,000 barrels per day.According to the Joint Oil Database (JODI), Saudi Arabias petroleum product exports increased by 74,000 barrels per day in May, reaching 1.083 million barrels per day.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

image.png 

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

Suggestion