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On January 13th, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announced that its newly formed Financial Policy Committee has finalized its seven members, including two external appointees. The committee will hold its first meeting in February. This move stems from several surveys conducted last year regarding competition in New Zealands banking sector, which recommended that the RBNZ strengthen its financial policy-making capabilities. With the support of Finance Minister Willis, the RBNZ Board of Governors established the committee to enhance the professionalism of policy decisions. The committees responsibilities include setting prudential regulatory requirements for financial institutions and making decisions on macroprudential policy. In addition, the committee will advise the Finance Minister on legislative reforms, regulatory measures, or other regulatory activities, and will be responsible for approving the central banks semi-annual Financial Stability Report.On January 13th, former Bank of Japan (BOJ) policy board member Makoto Sakurai stated that the BOJ may raise interest rates as early as April due to the continued weakness of the yen caused by escalating market concerns about Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis "dangerous" fiscal policies. "The BOJ must raise rates at least once before June or July, but the action could come in April." (The market generally expects the BOJ to raise rates approximately every six months, so an April rate hike would be earlier than the market consensus.) These remarks came as the yen further depreciated following reports in Japanese media that the Takaichi municipal government was considering holding an early general election next month. Sakurais comments indicate that he believes the BOJ will not take action to support the yen at its next two meetings, and if the yen continues to depreciate, the responsibility for maintaining the exchange rate during this period will fall on the Ministry of Finance.On January 13th, Zhou Haibing, Vice Chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), stated at a regular press conference that it is necessary to clarify the boundaries of responsibility between the government and enterprises, adhere to the principle of "whoever pollutes, cleans up," and prevent situations where "enterprises make money but leave behind pollution," making the government and the public pay the price. Going forward, the NDRC will work with relevant departments to improve supporting systems, issue management measures for the comprehensive utilization of power batteries for new energy vehicles, revise the guidance catalog for industrial restructuring, and intensify restrictions and elimination of outdated technologies and equipment.On January 13, Zhou Haibing, Vice Chairman of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), stated that this year the NDRC will lead the formulation of the 15th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Circular Economy, clarify the development goals and tasks for the circular economy in key areas, deploy key measures for the recycling and utilization of traditional renewable resources, rare and precious metals, and "new three types" of solid waste, improve the guarantee system, further improve resource utilization efficiency, strengthen resource security, support green and low-carbon transformation, and promote new achievements in the high-quality development of the circular economy.On January 13th, the Ministry of Civil Affairs held a special press conference. Jiang Wei, Deputy Director of the Trademark Application and Promotion Department of the State Intellectual Property Office, stated that the office will strengthen guidance and services for trademark use, continuously regulate irregular trademark use such as "brand imitation," strengthen trademark and brand protection, and support elderly care service operators in cultivating trademark brands for elderly care services. Going forward, the State Intellectual Property Office will further strengthen communication and cooperation with the Ministry of Civil Affairs to fully support the implementation of the "Several Measures on Cultivating Elderly Care Service Operators and Promoting the Development of the Silver Economy," vigorously promote the in-depth implementation of trademark and brand strategies by elderly care service operators, leverage the leading role of trademarks and brands, cultivate more well-known trademark brands supported by technology, quality, and reputation, increase publicity and promotion of elderly care service brand image, and enhance the social benefits and market value of elderly care services.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.