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July 19 – U.S. Central Command announced that it completed another round of strikes against Iran at 11:30 p.m. (Eastern Time) on July 18, under the direction of the Commander-in-Chief. In the eighth consecutive night of airstrikes, Central Command forces successfully targeted Iranian military coastal surveillance and air defense facilities, naval combat capabilities, and missile and drone storage sites, in an effort to continue weakening Irans military capabilities. The U.S. military also targeted Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces, following their July 17 attack on U.S. service members in Jordan. Currently, more than 50,000 U.S. military personnel, both men and women, are deployed in the Middle East, maintaining a high level of vigilance, focus, lethality, and readiness.According to the New York Post: US President Trump stated that the US strikes prevented Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. He added that if Iran is not stopped, the region could descend into a wider conflict.July 19 – According to Irans Mehr News Agency, the Iranian militarys public relations department stated that, in response to repeated enemy aggression and attacks on bridges, infrastructure, and demilitarized zones, hours earlier, during the sixteenth phase of Operation Lightning, the Iranian military launched a large-scale drone strike against a US terrorist army ammunition depot at Camp Adir in Kuwait, as well as Patriot radar and air defense radar used by the invading forces at the Ali Salim base in Kuwait. Camp Adir is a key US military base, located 104 kilometers from the Iranian border, and serves as a crucial support and reorganization center for the US military. Disrupting the bases operations will significantly impact US support operations in the region.According to the Iranian news agency IRNA: A magnitude 5 earthquake with a depth of 12 kilometers struck the city of Sarand in Khuzestan province, Iran, a few minutes ago, according to a report from the Earthquake Center of the University of Tehran.The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre reports a 5.6-magnitude earthquake in central Peru.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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