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The China Earthquake Networks Center officially measured a 4.0-magnitude earthquake in Zhaosu County, Ili Prefecture, Xinjiang (43.36 degrees north latitude, 81.10 degrees east longitude) at 1:58 a.m. on June 22, with a focal depth of 20 kilometers.June 22 - According to Iranian sources on June 21, a member of the Iranian negotiating team revealed that the draft of a waiver for Iranian oil sanctions has been finalized, adding that the waiver will be issued soon. Administrative procedures for unfreezing Iranian funds are underway with the participation of a Qatari delegation.June 22 - According to foreign media reports, sources revealed that the ruling coalition led by German Chancellor Merz is preparing to support a proposal for a comprehensive reform of Germanys pension system, including the introduction of a market-based savings mechanism, tightening early retirement rules, and gradually raising the retirement age. These recommendations, drafted by a government-appointed committee, will be submitted on Tuesday. The plan proposes a gradual introduction of supplementary pension contributions equivalent to 2% of total wages, which would be managed through a public fund vehicle and invested in the capital markets. The committee also recommends gradually raising the retirement age in line with increases in life expectancy. Furthermore, the proposal would abolish a popular early retirement pathway that allows workers who have contributed for 45 years to retire early. Pension reform is one of the most divisive issues in the coalition government, which has been in power for 13 months, and continues to test the long-standing policy differences between Merzs conservative wing and Klinkes Social Democratic Party.According to Reuters, Iranian sources say that negotiations between Iran and the United States in Switzerland have been suspended, but have not ended.According to Iranian state media, a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry said that Sundays talks focused on ending the war, lifting sanctions, and releasing frozen Iranian funds.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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