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On June 21, a source in Switzerland close to the Iranian negotiating team stated that Iran has no plans to hold any negotiations with IAEA Director General Grossi, and his presence in Switzerland does not imply his participation in the negotiations. The source emphasized that the US had requested Grossis participation in the negotiations, but this proposal was opposed by Iran. The source indicated that the Iranian negotiating teams goals are limited to implementing Article 13 of the memorandum, with a focus on Article 1, as well as issues such as unfreezing Iranian assets and lifting oil sanctions.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially measured a 3.1-magnitude earthquake at 19:43 on June 21 in Haixi Prefecture, Qinghai Province (37.78 degrees north latitude, 95.37 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.June 21 – According to the Ministry of Emergency Management, Guizhou, Hubei, Hunan, and Anhui provinces face a high risk of flooding and disasters due to heavy rains over the next three days. Strengthened precautions are needed against flash floods, geological disasters, small and medium-sized river floods, and urban waterlogging that may be triggered by continuous heavy rainfall. On June 21, the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters Office and the Ministry of Emergency Management organized a joint consultation meeting with the China Meteorological Administration, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, the Ministry of Transport, and other departments to assess recent rainfall trends and the flood situation, and to plan and deploy flood prevention work in key areas. The meeting emphasized the need to strengthen the linkage between monitoring, forecasting, and early warning response; to increase the frequency of monitoring, provide rolling forecasts, and issue early warnings; to move the work focus forward; to promptly activate and adjust emergency responses; and to take decisive and rigid measures such as shutdowns and control measures as needed.A spokesperson for the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that a technical and expert group has been established to discuss the terms of the final agreement between the United States and Iran, and a follow-up group has been formed to implement the memorandum of understanding until the final agreement is reached.According to Irans Tasnim News Agency, sources close to the negotiating team said that the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen as long as the ceasefire agreement in Lebanon is not observed and the exemption for Iranian oil sales is not approved.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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