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On September 8th, global mining giant Rio Tinto issued a statement saying it had agreed to acquire the Aurukun bauxite project in northeastern Australia from Glencore and Mitsubishi Development. A Rio Tinto spokesperson stated, "The acquisition price was not disclosed and is subject to approval from the Queensland government and other Australian regulatory bodies." The statement noted that Aurukun currently holds a mineral development license, but a mining lease has not yet been approved. The project is located near Rio Tintos bauxite mine west of Cape York.The SC crude oil futures contract rose by 2.00% intraday, currently trading at 702.30 yuan/barrel; the PTA futures contract rose by more than 2.00% intraday, currently trading at 6042.00 yuan/ton.September 8th - According to data from the General Administration of Customs, Chinas integrated circuit exports reached US$40.731 billion in August, a year-on-year increase of 129.8%; automobile exports reached US$18.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 43%; rare earth exports reached US$73.5466 million, a year-on-year increase of 33.7%; and mobile phone exports reached US$8.798 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.6%.On September 8th, YH Cha, a foreign exchange economist at Eugene Investment & Securities, stated that the recent strong rally in the Korean won may eventually subside if it rises to the 1250-1300 range against the US dollar. Strong exports driven by South Koreas semiconductor industry, a large trade surplus, and exporters repatriating dollar revenue have propelled the won to a 23-month high. The won has appreciated by over 12% against the dollar in the past three months. However, the won still faces long-term pressure from continued growth in South Korean personal overseas investment and the resulting increased demand for the US dollar.According to the General Administration of Customs, China imported 6,861.7 tons of rare earths in August, compared with 9,451.3 tons in July.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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