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On May 15th, Reuters reported that Milan formally submitted his resignation to the Federal Reserve on Thursday, setting his departure date to be either or shortly before Warshs swearing-in as Fed chairman. Warsh is expected to be sworn in as Fed chairman in the coming days. In his resignation letter, Milan continued to warn that interest rates may be too high. He wrote that broader economic trends such as slowing population growth and deregulation will, on their own, reduce inflation, giving the Fed an opportunity to ease policy. He also argued that the technical challenges of measuring inflation could lead to inflation statistics being higher than they actually are.Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: If we had not waged two wars against Iran, we would be facing an entity with nuclear weapons, which would pose an existential threat to us.GFZ (German Center for Geosciences): A 6.37-magnitude earthquake struck the Banda Sea region.Iranian Foreign Ministry: Foreign Minister Araghchi met with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov, and the two sides discussed and reviewed cooperation between Tehran and Moscow in the fields of politics, energy, transportation, and regional cooperation. They also exchanged views on the latest developments in West Asia and negotiations related to the Iranian nuclear issue.On May 15th, local time, an emergency meeting of interior ministers from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states was held in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, on May 14th. The meeting was chaired by Bahrain. The UAE delegation was led by Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Interior Saif al-Islam. Saif stated that the UAEs participation in this meeting demonstrates the UAEs consistent adherence to the principle of "indivisible security within the GCC," meaning that any threat to GCC member states will directly affect the security and stability of the entire region. Saif stated that the UAE will continue to be committed to strengthening national security, safeguarding development achievements, consolidating social cohesion, and responding to all attempts to undermine the security and stability of GCC member states.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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