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February 14th - Gold and silver futures are poised for gains this week. The near-month gold contract rose 1.4% this week, marking its eighth consecutive week of gains in the past ten weeks. The near-month silver contract rose 1.5% this week, ending a two-week losing streak and marking its eleventh consecutive week of gains in the past 15 weeks. Antonio Di Giacomo of XS.com stated in a report that despite volatility in the precious metals market, demand for safe-haven assets remains, supporting the rise in gold and silver prices.Amazon-backed nuclear energy company X-Energy Reactor Co. has received approval from U.S. regulators for its nuclear reactor fuel.Lawyers say a Pennsylvania jury found Johnson & Johnson (JNJ.N) liable for a woman’s diagnosis of ovarian cancer.On February 14th, Polish Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sikorski stated in an interview in Munich, Germany, on February 13th that Europe, not the United States, is paying the price for the Russia-Ukraine conflict, therefore "we have the right to comment on the relevant agreements." Sikorski stated that the United States is no longer paying for supplies provided to Ukraine, and Europeans are bearing the costs. Despite Europes financial and military support for Ukraine, the United States is profiting from the war by selling weapons to Ukraine through European countries. Sikorski emphasized that the US presence in Europe will continue, but will be more limited and strategic. He stated, "We Europeans must deploy ground troops," and Germany has amended its constitution to achieve this goal; other countries must also take action to fulfill the commitments made at subsequent NATO summits.US President Trump: Hopes to reach an agreement with Iran.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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