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On September 15th, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that in August, the year-on-year decline in new residential property prices in first-tier cities was 0.9%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 2.3%, 1.9%, and 2.3% respectively, while Shanghai saw an increase of 3.0%. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in new residential property prices were 2.7% and 4.1% respectively, both narrowing by 0.1 percentage points. In August, the year-on-year decline in existing residential property prices in first-tier cities was 2.7%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage point compared to the previous month. Specifically, prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen fell by 3.5%, 0.8%, 3.8%, and 2.7% respectively. In second- and third-tier cities, the year-on-year declines in existing residential property prices were 4.9% and 5.6% respectively, both narrowing by 0.2 percentage points.New Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August new residential housing prices -0.2% month-on-month (previous value -0.3%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.3%). 2. Shanghai: August new residential housing prices +0.4% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), +3.0% year-on-year (previous value +3.0%). 3. Guangzhou: August new residential housing prices +0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.1%), -1.9% year-on-year (previous value -2.2%). 4. Shenzhen: August new residential housing prices +0.2% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%), -2.3% year-on-year (previous value -2.9%). Second-hand Residential Housing Prices: 1. Beijing: August second-hand residential housing prices -0.1% month-on-month (previous value 0.0%), -3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%). 2. Shanghais existing home prices in August increased by 0.3% month-on-month (previous value +0.3%) and decreased by 0.8% year-on-year (previous value -2.0%). 3. Guangzhous existing home prices in August remained unchanged month-on-month (previous value +0.4%) and decreased by 3.8% year-on-year (previous value -4.7%). 4. Shenzhens existing home prices in August increased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0.2%) and decreased by 2.7% year-on-year (previous value -3.6%).National Bureau of Statistics: Beijings second-hand housing prices in August decreased by 0.1% month-on-month (previous value +0%) and decreased by 3.5% year-on-year (previous value -4.5%).According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the price of second-hand residential properties in Shenzhen rose 0.1% month-on-month in August (up 0.2% in the previous month) and fell 2.7% year-on-year (down 3.6% in the previous month).September 15th - The 2026 China Carbon Market Conference was held in Wuhan, Hubei Province this morning, and the "National Carbon Market Development Report (2026)" was released at the conference. Reporters learned that as of the end of August, the national carbon emission trading market had accumulated transactions exceeding 900 million tons, with a transaction value exceeding 60 billion yuan. The national carbon market has grown from nothing to a significant stage, playing a crucial role in promoting the achievement of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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