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On September 6th, it was announced that the Ministry of Finance will soon issue 300 billion yuan in special treasury bonds to support eight central financial enterprises in replenishing their core tier-one capital. On the same day, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, Export-Import Bank of China, China Export & Credit Insurance Corporation, PICC, China Life Insurance Company, China Taiping Insurance, and China Reinsurance Corporation announced their respective capital increase plans. Industry insiders stated that the Ministry of Finances capital increase for these eight central financial enterprises is a forward-looking arrangement, a proactive measure to support the high-quality development of central financial enterprises and contribute to the steady and sustainable development of the macroeconomy.On September 6, Iranian Armed Forces Chief of Staff Abdollah Abdullah stated that Iran will not surrender to the United States, and that the USs efforts to pressure Iran through "soft power warfare," cognitive warfare, and economic warfare have failed to force Iran to change its stance. Abdullah claimed that the US misjudged Irans potential surrender before taking military action, but this assumption "will not come true." He stated that the US is currently attempting to compensate for its strategic failures in the military field through "soft power warfare," cognitive warfare, and economic pressure, but these measures are also unsuccessful. Abdullah also stated that Iran "has demonstrated a new model of resistance to the world."Lebanese President: Despite the attacks, we remain firmly committed to upholding Lebanons sovereignty and stability in the south.Lebanese President: The attack on the Ministry of Finance building shows a persistent pattern of attacks, reflecting an intent to strike state institutions.Lebanese President: Israels attacks went beyond the scope of the ceasefire agreement and the framework agreement for national institutions.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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