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Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po stated today (December 14th) that public consultation on the new fiscal years budget is about to begin. One of the key issues will be how to further expand the scope and areas of economic development, accelerate the cultivation and application of innovative technologies, expedite the optimization of the industrial structure, create more high-quality jobs, and add momentum to high-quality development. We look forward to more concrete suggestions from everyone, working together to build a better future for Hong Kong.On December 14, the Sansha Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning stating that rocket debris will fall in certain waters of the South China Sea between 10:15 and 12:15 on December 16, and entry is prohibited.On December 14th, a political funds income and expenditure report revealed that at least five branches of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in Mie, Osaka, Yamaguchi, Nagasaki, and Kagoshima prefectures used political funds to pay for entertainment venues such as bars and nightclubs. In 2023, these expenditures totaled approximately 1.11 million yen (about 50,000 yuan). According to regulations, LDP branches are not required to record single political fund expenditures of less than 50,000 yen (about 2,264 yuan), suggesting the actual amount of political funds involved in the alleged misuse may be higher. In response to the allegations, the Osaka branch claimed the expenditures were "intended to create a smooth communication environment." The Mie and Nagasaki branches stated they would strengthen their management.On December 14th, the U.S. Department of Defense announced that two U.S. Army soldiers and one civilian translator were killed and three others wounded in an attack in Syria on December 13th. The Department of Defense stated that the attack was carried out by militants from the extremist group ISIS, and the attackers were killed. In response, U.S. President Trump stated that retaliatory action would be taken. Also on December 13th, Nourdin Baba, a spokesman for the Syrian transitional governments Interior Ministry, said that the gunman who attacked a joint Syrian-U.S. patrol in Homs province in central Syria was a Syrian security officer who may have held extremist views.On December 14th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine is preparing for meetings with the United States and European allies in the coming days. He will travel to Berlin to meet with US and European representatives to discuss "building the foundations of peace." Zelenskyy stated that this series of consultations is "decisive" for Ukraine, and that Ukraines core objective is "to achieve a decent and just peace." Earlier that day, Germany announced that it would host a US and Ukrainian delegation on the 14th to hold talks on issues such as the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and to prepare for the summit of European leaders, including Zelenskyy, to be held in Berlin on the 15th. According to previous reports, US Presidential Envoy Witkov and former White House senior advisor Jared Kushner have already departed for Germany to meet with Zelenskyy and other European leaders.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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