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On September 19th, the Shaanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics released its report on the provinces economic performance in the first eight months of the year: industrial production steadily rebounded, consumer demand continued to be released, and the economy showed a steady and positive development trend. According to relevant personnel from the Provincial Bureau of Statistics, in the first eight months, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 4.6% year-on-year, an acceleration of 0.5 percentage points compared to the first seven months. Industrial production steadily rebounded, and product output grew steadily. Looking at the three major sectors, the added value of mining increased by 7.7% year-on-year, manufacturing by 1.5%, and the added value of electricity, heat, gas and water production and supply by 2.5%. Key industries performed well, with the added value of coal mining and washing increasing by 9.0% year-on-year and the added value of oil and gas extraction increasing by 9.7%. Product output grew steadily, with raw coal output increasing by 3.8% year-on-year and natural gas output increasing by 7.3%.September 19th - According to Shenzhen Railway authorities, the railway transportation period for this years Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays will run from September 23rd to October 8th, lasting 16 days. Shenzhen Railway expects to transport 5.7312 million passengers, averaging 358,200 passengers per day, an increase of 21,500 passengers per day compared to last year, representing a 6.39% increase and setting a new record for the same period. Among them, Shenzhen North Station is expected to transport 3.856 million passengers, averaging 241,000 passengers per day, an increase of 10,400 passengers per day compared to last year, representing a 4.3% increase.On September 19th, French President Emmanuel Macron stated on September 18th that France will push the EU to take action to address energy issues. He also believes that the US and Iran are unlikely to reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz in the short term. Macron stated that the sharp rise in fuel prices in recent weeks has created difficult circumstances for French citizens and families. Fuel prices at French gas stations have reached historic highs, causing considerable hardship and exacerbating purchasing power issues. Natural gas prices and the overall energy situation are also worrying, and these circumstances are entirely due to the war and the international situation. Macron said that France hopes to take action at the EU level and will communicate with the President of the European Commission on this matter.September 19 - Local time early on the 19th, Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, was attacked by airstrikes, and the sound of missile interception could be heard in the sky.Saudi civil defense officials said the danger in the Khairji area has been averted.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.

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