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On May 9, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced via social media that he had spoken with European Council President Costa, exchanging views on Ukraines cooperation with Europe and its integration into European integration. Zelenskyy stated that he and Costa focused on joint efforts to further Ukraines integration into Europe, clarifying Ukraines commitment to becoming a full member of the EU and that preparations are underway for initiating negotiations and subsequent decisions.On May 9th, the chairman of the Iranian Parliaments Energy Committee stated that production continues uninterrupted at multiple oil fields across the country. He asserted that the actions of adversaries targeting Iranian oil tankers are entirely illegal, and that pressure on Iranian oil exports has been ineffective. There are currently no official reports of an oil spill near Kharg Island. Earlier reports indicated that satellite images suggested a large-scale oil spill near Kharg Island, a key Iranian oil export hub, with pollution covering tens of square kilometers of sea surface.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, during which a report was heard on the construction of the national comprehensive transportation system. The meeting emphasized the need for coordinated advancement of transportation infrastructure construction, adhering to integrated planning and systematic integration, effectively utilizing existing resources and optimizing new supply. It stressed the importance of improving management and service levels, creating a more convenient travel environment to facilitate the smooth flow of people and goods, and promoting cost reduction, quality improvement, and efficiency enhancement in freight transportation. The meeting also called for deepening reform and innovation, building a unified and open transportation market, actively promoting the application of new technologies, developing new transportation business models safely and orderly, and cultivating more new growth points.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, which discussed and promoted work related to resolving local government debt risks. The meeting pointed out that since the implementation of the comprehensive debt reduction plan, significant progress has been made in resolving debt risks. It is necessary to continue focusing on key areas and weak links, improve policies supporting debt reduction, enhance local governments ability to repay debts independently, and ensure the timely completion of debt reduction tasks. It is also necessary to establish and improve a long-term mechanism to resolutely prevent the creation of new hidden debt.On May 9th, according to CCTV, Li Qiang chaired an executive meeting of the State Council, emphasizing the need to strengthen the planning and construction of water networks, new power grids, computing power networks, next-generation communication networks, urban underground pipe networks, and logistics networks. He stressed that efforts to ensure peoples livelihoods should focus on stabilizing employment and providing a safety net, while also improving education, healthcare, childcare, and rural development. He called for greater efforts and more concrete measures to strengthen basic research, placing it high on the agenda, identifying key areas and priorities based on both urgent national needs and long-term objectives, increasing investment through multiple measures, and fostering a favorable research environment.

June Gold Buyers May Face Difficulties at $1987.60

Larissa Barlow

Apr 14, 2022 10:14

The market's strength is being fueled by demand for a hedge against rising inflation during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, lessening pressure from expectations of an aggressive US interest rate hike, and the US Dollar's intraday reversal top.

 

June Comex gold futures are currently trading at $1982.70, up $6.60 or 0.33 percent from their previous close. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) is currently trading at $184.66, up $0.89 or 0.48 percent from its previous close.

 

Gold is regarded as an inflation hedge and a hedge against geopolitical concerns. However, higher interest rates in the United States would increase the opportunity cost of storing non-yielding bullion and strengthen the dollar against which it is valued.

 

However, the price action shows that gold buyers are seeking insurance against inflation and are not very concerned about opportunity costs at the moment. Despite all of the Fed's hawkish rhetoric and anticipation for aggressive rate hikes, we have yet to witness a shift in the direction of inflation.

 

Gold is likely to remain underpinned for the foreseeable future as long as the inflation arrow continues to point upward and the Ukraine war continues.

 

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Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the primary trend is upward. A move over the intraday high of $1985.50 reaffirms the uptrend. A break of $1916.20 will revert the major trend to the downside.

 

On the upside, the retracement zone between $1987.60 and $2009.90 is the nearest objective.

 

On the downside, the long-term Fibonacci level at $1958.70 serves as the initial support, followed by the short-term 50% level at $1932.90.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The June Comex gold futures market's path through Wednesday's close is likely to be dictated by trader reaction to the 50% level at $1987.60.

Scenario of Bullishness

A sustained move above $1987.60 will signal that buyers are present. This could provide the necessary momentum for a test of the Fibonacci level at $2009.90. This is a trigger point for an upside acceleration.

Scenario of the Bear

A persistent decline below $1987.60 indicates the existence of sellers. They intend to attempt the formation of a secondary lower top. This, if successful, might result in a break into $1958.70.