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July 4th - A Reuters survey showed that OPEC crude oil production rebounded sharply in June, increasing by approximately 3.3 million barrels per day to 19.43 million barrels per day, a significant rebound from the more than two-decade low reached in May, but still far below quota levels. This production increase was mainly driven by the resumption of supply from Gulf countries, with Kuwait seeing the largest increase, followed by Iran, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq. Nigeria and Libya also saw slight increases in production. The UAE withdrew from OPEC on May 1st and is no longer included in the statistics. The report noted that the previous war with Iran and the de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz had caused supply disruptions, but the subsequent lifting of restrictions on ships at Iranian ports by the United States helped to restore some production. Although OPEC+ had planned to increase production in June, it could not be fully implemented due to the war. Overall, global crude oil supply is recovering, but has not yet returned to normal levels.Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf: The United States must "accept the established realities in the trade arena."Hang Seng Index futures closed down 0.2% at 23,253 points in overnight trading, a discount of 97 points.On July 4th, Labour politician Andy Burnham stated that if he succeeds Starmer as Prime Minister, he will not dissolve Parliament early and call a new general election. Instead, he will continue to implement Labours campaign promises from the 2024 general election, including maintaining the triple lock on pensions. He also outlined several policy positions: advocating for stronger regulation in the public service sector, even considering nationalization in some industries; supporting further improvements in UK-EU relations; willing to negotiate with countries including Afghanistan to repatriate rejected asylum seekers; supporting electoral reform; ensuring adequate funding for defense investment programs; and explicitly stating continued firm support for Ukraine. If the party nomination proceeds smoothly and without competition, he could become Labour leader in mid-July and subsequently become Prime Minister.July 4th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract rose 0.81%, the Shanghai Silver futures contract rose 1.61%, and the SC crude oil futures contract fell 0.16%.

International gold prices break away from a week and a half high, investors wait for heavy data to be released

Oct 26, 2021 10:58

On Tuesday (October 5), international gold prices fell and left the high of $1,770.44 per ounce set overnight since September 23, as the U.S. dollar benefited from sluggish risk sentiment. Prior to the release of employment data in the United States this Friday, gold prices are expected to fluctuate, as the data may influence the Fed's debt purchase reduction plan.

At GMT+8 16:14, spot gold fell 0.60% to US$1759.06 per ounce; the main COMEX gold contract fell 0.46% to US$1759.4 per ounce; the US dollar index rose by 0.12% to 93.920.


The rise in the dollar index has made gold more expensive for buyers who hold other currencies. But the stock market slid as investors worried that soaring energy prices would inhibit economic growth. In addition, the US debt ceiling deadlock has also limited the downside of gold prices.

OANDA Asia Pacific senior market analyst Jeffrey Halley said that the downturn in the stock market prompted Asian investors to buy US dollars, putting pressure on gold. He added that before the US employment report is released, the price of gold will be in the range of $1750-1785.00.

U.S. President Biden said on Monday (October 4) that unless Republicans and Democrats work together to vote to increase the debt ceiling in the next two weeks, the federal government may exceed the $28.4 trillion debt ceiling and default on an unprecedented level. .

Halley said: "Gold may find support when it drops to $1750.00 this week because of inflation and US fiscal concerns." Halley added that although these uncertainties will support gold to a certain extent, U.S. monetary policy Direction will be the ultimate key factor.

It is expected that the number of non-agricultural employment in the United States in September will show continued improvement in the labor market, which may cause the Fed to begin to reduce stimulus measures before the end of the year. Reduced stimulus measures and increased interest rates have increased bond yields, putting pressure on gold because the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold bars will increase.

However, some market participants said that the US's reduction of debt purchase issues may have limited impact on gold because investors have already digested this expectation. Now the main force determining the direction of gold prices has turned to the magnitude and pace of the Fed's rate hike.

St. Louis Fed President Brad said on Monday that for the first time in years, American companies have encountered no problems in raising prices to customers. While the market is worried that expectations of high inflation have become entrenched, he warned that inflation may remain high for some time to come.

Brad is one of the strongest supporters in the Federal Reserve that believe that positive measures should be taken to curb higher-than-expected inflation. He believes that two interest rate hikes are needed in 2022. At present, interest rates are still at a level close to zero, which has been at this level since the outbreak of the new crown pandemic in early 2020.