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On October 25th, local time, the second round of ceasefire talks between Pakistan and Afghanistan began in Istanbul, Turkey. The talks were hosted by Turkey and held at an Istanbul hotel. The Pakistani delegation included the militarys director of operations and security and intelligence officials. The Afghan delegation was led by Deputy Interior Minister Rahmatullah Najeeb.On October 25th, Belgorod Oblast Governor Ilya Gladkov announced that Ukrainian armed forces had damaged the Belgorod Reservoir Dam. He stated that Ukrainian forces might attempt to attack and destroy the dam again. If this were to happen, several streets in riverbanks and settlements near Kharkiv Oblast would be flooded, impacting the lives of approximately 1,000 residents. Gladkov stated that local authorities have advised residents at risk of flooding to move to temporary relocation sites. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded to this request.On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.On October 25th, the U.S. federal government shutdown entered its 24th day. More and more federal employees forced to take unpaid leave are facing the dilemma of not being able to pay their bills or mortgages, and many are forced to queue up at food banks for assistance. Jacobs, president of the local CDC union, stated that both parties are using the livelihoods of federal employees as bargaining chips in political negotiations, and that the current chaotic situation is unprecedented.On October 25, Lizhong Group responded to investors on an interactive platform, saying that the second phase of the companys project to produce 3.6 million ultra-lightweight aluminum alloy wheels annually in Mexico, with an output of 1.8 million wheels, has now been put into initial production. The company is actively promoting the running-in of the production line and the release of production capacity, striving to achieve the goal of full production and sales as soon as possible.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD will fall to $1,900 due to a strengthening US Dollar and mixed investor attitude

Alina Haynes

Jan 31, 2023 16:09

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In advance of Tuesday's European session, the gold market (XAU/USD) maintains its decline as sellers hit a crucial support level near $1,920. In doing so, the precious metal reverses the mid-Asian session retracement off the stated trend line support.

 

The metal's weakness may be attributable to the contradictory information contained in International Monetary Fund (IMF) updates, as the global lender acknowledged inflation risks while expressing optimism for economic growth. Recent action by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to defend the Yield Curve Control (YCC), which in turn puts a floor under global yields and weighs on the Gold price, may fall along the same line.

 

In addition, Monday's positive US data and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will do everything it takes to defend its hawkish monetary policy actions appear to impose downward pressure on the XAU/USD exchange rate.

 

Notably, the probable conclusion of Covid-led activity restrictions in the United States on May 11 and positive China PMIs previously drove the XAU/USD bounce from the $1,920 level.

 

US 10-year Treasury yields struggle to prolong a three-day rally near 3.54%, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) falls to 102.20 at the latest, reflecting the prevailing sentiment. In addition, both S&P 500 Futures and stocks in the Asia-Pacific area remain moderately available.

 

The US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting will garner the lion's share of attention from Gold traders.