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Futures July 4 news, last nights non-agricultural data was unexpectedly better than expected, the number of new jobs rebounded, the unemployment rate fell, and the initial jobless claims, PMI and other data also showed good resilience. The markets expectations for the Feds future interest rate cuts were adjusted again, which put pressure on precious metals to adjust back during the session, but silver performed more strongly relative to gold, perhaps due to the return of the gold-silver ratio and further driven by fundamental factors. However, as the trade negotiation deadline set by the Trump administration is gradually approaching, and as the "Big and Beautiful" bill continues to advance, the debt and deficit problems of the United States may further deepen in the future, so it is expected that precious metals will continue to maintain a strong trend overall.On July 4, the State Administration for Market Regulation revised and issued the national standard "Special Requirements for Intelligent Technology Refrigerators for Smart Household Appliances", which will be officially implemented on December 1, 2025. The standard stipulates the data management specifications, intelligent function requirements and supporting test methods for smart refrigerators, and proposes the calculation of the intelligent index and the star rating system.Italys retail sales annual rate was 1.3% in May, compared with 3.70% in the previous month.Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT): New car registrations in the UK increased by 6.7% year-on-year in June to 191,316.Italys seasonally adjusted retail sales month-on-month rate in May was -0.4%, in line with expectations of 0.20% and the previous value of 0.70%.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD Weakness Dependent on $1,920 Breakout and Fed Decision - Confluence Detector

Daniel Rogers

Jan 30, 2023 15:27

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Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a defensive stance near $1,930, posting modest gains ahead of Monday's European session, as traders begin the crucial week including the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy and the January US employment report. China's return after a one-week holiday might bolster the cautious optimism of XAU/USD traders, as could prospects for a dovish raise from the Fed and disappointing Nonfarm Payrolls data (NFP).

 

Notably, a slower start to a pivotal week with a high economic data load also appears to underpin the Gold prices' corrective rebound from a short-term major support confluence. However, the metal's short-term movements depend on the Fed's ability to push back the dovish inclination despite the confirmation of the impending policy shift.