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Citadel Securities predicts that new debt financing for artificial intelligence chips will exceed $500 billion by 2028.On August 3rd, Luckin Coffee released its second-quarter financial report, achieving revenue of RMB 15.89 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.5%, and opening over 5,000 new stores in the first half of the year. The report shows that Luckin Coffees performance growth was mainly driven by the increase in stores and the growth in the number of monthly transacting customers. Luckin Coffees average monthly transacting customers in the second quarter reached 112.7 million, a year-on-year increase of 22.9%. However, affected by the high base from last years food delivery war, the same-store sales growth rate of Luckins self-operated stores in the second quarter was -5.3%, compared to 13.8% in the same period of 2025. But as the market returns to rationality, Luckins operating profit from self-operated stores in the second quarter was RMB 2.47 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.9%, with the store operating profit margin remaining flat compared to the previous year. In response to analyst questions, Guo Jinyi believes that the Chinese coffee market is still in a rapid growth phase with continuously increasing penetration and steadily rising consumption frequency, and the ceiling for coffee store expansion is still very high. As coffee penetration and consumption frequency increase, this ceiling continues to rise, and Luckin Coffee will continue to maintain its store opening pace to increase its market share.On August 3, Windward Maritime Analysis, a UK-based company, released ship tracking data showing that six Saudi Arabian oil tankers are heading towards the Cape of Good Hope, bypassing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and the Red Sea to avoid security risks posed by the Houthi rebels in Yemen to Saudi-related vessels. The companys analysis indicates that for some tankers bound for the United States, the route around the Cape of Good Hope will add approximately six to seven days to the journey compared to the direct route via the Suez Canal and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Windward believes that the fact that all six tankers chose to detour during empty segments suggests a broader Saudi operational policy to avoid its vessels entering the relevant waters, rather than a temporary measure targeting specific cargo risks.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi: We come here once a year (to Najaf, Iraq) to draw energy and then leave.BNP Paribas raises its price target for Western Digital (WDC.O) from $1,050 to $1,275.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD nears $1,850 resistance on China, yields favor DXY decline

Daniel Rogers

Feb 16, 2023 14:42

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Gold price (XAU/USD) shows modest increases near $1,840 as traders lick their wounds during Thursday's early slow activity. In doing so, the precious metal recovers from its largest daily decline in two weeks by drawing cues from cautious market optimism and a weakening U.S. dollar.

 

However, news reports concerning China and the U.S. debt ceiling appear to have supported the recent improvement in the risk profile. Consequently, Chinese President Xi Jinping crossed wires while demonstrating his willingness to expand industrial and investment cooperation with Asia. According to Chinese official media, he was followed by optimistic remarks from Chinese Finance Minister Liu Kun, who stated that 2023 fiscal revenue will increase this year, albeit at a moderate rate. Moreover, the chatter surrounding the US debt-ceiling crisis, as warned by the US Congressional Budget Office (CBO) on Wednesday according to Reuters, appeared to have raised hopes for a speedier resolution of the major issue in the coming days and probed the upward movement of US Treasury bond yields.

 

It should be noted that the World Gold Council's (WGC) update indicating China's massive Gold imports in 2022, the largest since 2018, appeared to have stabilized the XAU/USD exchange rate, particularly following the previous day's decline.

 

The US data-driven hawkish Fed bias and a rise in US Treasury bond yields appear to present the greatest threat to Gold buyers.

 

In this context, S&P 500 Futures post modest gains around 4,165 while extending yesterday's gains, while US 10-year Treasury note rates retreat following Wednesday's surge to a 1.5-month high, falling two basis points to approximately 3.78% as of press time. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) fell 0.20% to 103.65 at the latest, after reaching a 1.5-month high the day before.

 

For new impetus, gold traders should focus on secondary US statistics about the housing market, industrial activity, and producer prices.