Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Breaks Below the 200-Day Moving Average and Extends Its Drop Below $21.90

Silver price remains below the bottom-trendline of a megaphone formation and below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 21.95, a bearish indication for the white metal. A daily close below the latter would open the path for more losses, it should be noted. XAG/USD trades at $21.84 per troy ounce at the time of writing, following reaching a daily high of $23.

After falling below the bottom trendline of a megaphone formation, the XAG/USD has been unable to rebound $22.50, exposing the 200-day exponential moving average. A daily close is required to further solidify a change in the neutral bias to neutral-downwards, and it will reveal support zones that have not been tested since December of 2022.

If this scenario materializes, the first support for XAG/USD would be the daily low of $20.87 from November 28, followed by the swing low of $20.59 from November 21. Once the psychological level of $20.00 was cleared, it would be up for grabs.

In an alternative scenario, the XAG/initial USD's point of resistance would be the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $21.94, preceding the $22.00 level. Once broken, Silver might target inside the megaphone formation, but first it must break the $22.20 support trendline.

It should be noted that oscillators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicate a negative continuation, whereas the Rate of Change (RoC) indicates that sellers are losing momentum. Consequently, the XAG/USD may settle in the region between $21.60 and $22.00, expecting a new catalyst before establishing its direction.