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Baogang Steel: The company plans to adjust the price of rare earth concentrate related transactions in the first quarter of 2026 to RMB 26,834/ton (dry weight, REO=50%) excluding tax.The Governor of the Bank of Thailand stated that regulations on gold imports have been tightened over the past three months.On January 9th, the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) issued a report stating that the domestic retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 59.1% in December. Due to the impending expiration of the NEV purchase tax exemption policy, NEVs exhibited a strong growth trend, exceeding that of gasoline vehicles by 32.6 percentage points. The nearly 60% NEV penetration rate signifies that the market has entered a new "new energy-dominated" stage, requiring timely policy adjustments to promote harmonious and high-quality development of the industry. From January to December 2025, Chinas domestic gasoline passenger vehicle exports reached 2.87 million, a 7% decrease, while domestic NEV exports reached 2.04 million, a 139% increase, accounting for 49.5% of domestic exports. With the growth of CKD (Completely Knocked Down) exports, Chinas passenger vehicle exports have shifted from simply selling cars to exporting the entire industry chain, and from rapid quantitative growth to a leap in quality.China Passenger Car Association: Tesla exported 3,328 vehicles to China in December.On January 9th, the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) issued a report stating that the policy incentives for commercial vehicle replacement will remain unchanged in 2026, while passenger vehicle scrapping and replacement will decrease by 20% based on the 2025 structure, with a maximum decrease of 30% based on the trade-in program. The growth effect of commercial vehicles is expected to be better than that of passenger vehicles in 2026. The passenger vehicle market in 2026 is expected to follow a "U-shaped" trend of "high-medium-low-high," with overall sales remaining flat compared to domestic retail sales in 2025. Exports will maintain a medium-to-high growth rate of over 10%, but domestic inventory pressure remains significant; therefore, overall passenger vehicle wholesale growth is projected to reach 1%.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD fluctuates within the $30 level as FOMC Minutes approach

Daniel Rogers

Feb 22, 2023 15:16

Gold price (XAU/USD) tests a two-day downturn as it floats around $1,835 at the start of Wednesday. As traders anticipate the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes, the precious metal maintains its trading range of approximately $30.00 from the previous week. Notably, geopolitical concerns and the US Dollar's weak movements around the multi-day peak appear to act as filters for XAU/USD traders.

 

In spite of this, stronger preliminary US S&P Global PMIs for February and hawkish Fed bets supported the US Dollar Index's first daily gain in three days, with the index closing down 0.07% intraday near 104.11 at the latest.

 

However, the weak movements of US Treasury bond yields near the three-month high reached the day before appear to have stifled the XAU/momentum USD's of late.

 

The hawkish bias around the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and rumors of an impending policy flip may also test Gold traders.

 

In addition, comments by US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Russian President Vladimir Putin have an impact on market mood and the price of gold, as both imply an escalation of tensions between Moscow and Kyiv, in which the West and China have recently played an indirect role. But, the absence of substantial updates in Asia appeared to have halted the risk-averse sentiment.

 

US 10-year and 2-year Treasury note rates oscillate around the three-month highs established the previous day, while S&P 500 Futures post modest gains despite Wall Street's negative closing price.

 

In the near future, conflicting sentiment and caution ahead of the FOMC Minutes could maintain XAU/USD on a precarious floor, but the hints for a Fed policy reversal will be sufficient to recall Gold purchasers.