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On April 3, White House aide Peter Navarro said that US President Trump’s tariffs could increase revenue by three times the size of the World War II tax increase in 1942, and could become the largest tax increase in US history.On April 3, a research report by CLSA indicated that ChinaSoft International (00354.HK)s revenue fell 1% year-on-year to RMB 16.951 billion last year, and the first disclosed AI-related revenue was RMB 957 million, accounting for 5.6% of revenue. The companys price reduction strategy has led to a decline in gross profit margin, and the main reason for the lower-than-expected net profit is a one-time impact. The bank expects the companys fundamentals to improve this year, mainly because the number of employees increased in the second half of last year. The bank expects the companys net profit to reach RMB 748 million this year, up 45.8% year-on-year, and lowered the target price from HK$7 to HK$6.5, maintaining the rating of outperforming the market.On April 3, the Australian bond market has experienced a dovish turn since the White House announced its new tariff agenda. IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said that the market has priced in an 85% chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in May. Subsequent rate cuts are expected in August and November, with a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points by November. He added that US tariffs have far exceeded expectations, increasing the likelihood of a trade war and recession in the United States. He also said that since goods from countries such as Vietnam are now effectively shut out of the United States, cheap goods are expected to flood other Asian markets.Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi declined to comment when asked about the possibility of retaliation against U.S. tariffs.Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi: We believe that the recent US tariff measures may have a significant impact on the multilateral trading system, and we strongly call on the United States to exclude Japan from these measures.

Silver Price Analysis: The XAG/USD pair appears susceptible as it consolidates in a range below $22.00

Alina Haynes

Feb 22, 2023 15:11

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Silver struggles to get traction on Wednesday and trades in a limited range during the early European session. The precious metal stays below the $22.00 round-number level, and the technical setup continues to favor bearish traders.

 

The aforementioned handle corresponds with the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and limits the recovery from the YTD low, which was reached last Friday in the $21.20-$21.15 range. In addition, oscillators on the daily chart are firmly entrenched in bearish area, lending credence to the dismal forecast for the immediate future. This shows that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD pair is down.

 

However, sustained purchasing above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent rise from October 2022, around the $22.15 area, could negate the negative bias and spark a short-covering rally. The XAG/USD could then accelerate into the $22.55-$22.60 supply zone en way to the $23.00 mark or the 61.8% Fibo. level, which could cap any further bullish advance.

 

In contrast, the 50% Fibo. level, located in the vicinity of $21.35, appears to operate as immediate support ahead of Friday's swing low, which is around the $21.20-$21.15 range. A decisive breach below $21.00 might send the XAG/USD to the $20.60 area. The downward trend might extend toward the $20.00 psychological level and the next significant support near the $19.75-$19.70 zone.



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