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February 17th - A Russian diplomatic source stated late on the 16th that a Russian delegation led by Presidential Aide Medinsky had departed and was expected to arrive in Geneva, Switzerland, early on the 17th to participate in trilateral talks between Russia, the United States, and Ukraine. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the talks. The source said the Russian delegation would arrive in Geneva around 6:00 AM local time on the 17th. The US is technically involved in coordinating the necessary permits for the Russian delegations arrival in Geneva via the EU. The source said the trilateral talks plan to discuss key factors in resolving the Ukrainian issue, including military, political, and humanitarian issues. The duration of the talks is currently unknown. Bilateral contacts between Russia and Ukraine are possible during the Russia-US-Ukraine talks.BHP Billiton (BHP.N): The Escondida copper mine is expected to produce between 1 million and 1.1 million tons in fiscal year 2027.BHP Billiton (BHP.N) reported a net profit of $5.64 billion for the first half of the year, up 28% year-on-year; revenue for the first half was $27.902 billion, higher than the market estimate of $26.907 billion.February 17th - BHP Billiton (BHP.N) announced that it has signed a long-term working capital agreement with Wheaton Precious Metals International Limited. The agreement stipulates that BHP Billiton will receive a $4.3 billion upfront payment upon completion of the transaction. BHP Billiton will deliver silver to Wheaton in accordance with its share of silver production at the Antamina mine. Under the agreement, Wheaton will pay BHP Billiton 20% of the spot price of silver at the time of delivery.Conflict Status: 1. Russian Ministry of Defense: Shot down 345 Ukrainian drones within 24 hours. 2. Russian Ministry of Defense: Recaptured Pokrovka and Minkivka in eastern Ukraine. 3. Local authorities stated that the fire in the Russian port of Taman has been extinguished. Peace Talks: 1. Sources: Talks on the Ukraine issue and the Iran issue will be held simultaneously in Geneva on February 17. 2. Russian Presidential Press Secretary Peskov: The trilateral talks in Geneva will include the territorial issue. 3. Market news: The Russian delegation to the Geneva talks will expand to approximately 20 people. 4. Swiss Foreign Ministry: The Geneva talks on the Ukraine issue will be held behind closed doors. 5. Zelensky: Ukraine will not relinquish its territory. Further Russian attacks will make reaching an agreement more difficult; Russia will launch a new round of large-scale energy strikes. Other Status: 1. Hungarian Prime Minister Orbán: Ukrainian President Zelensky must organize elections. 2. Ukrainian National Anti-Corruption Service: The former Ukrainian Energy Minister is accused of money laundering. 3. Russian media: Hungary and Slovakia have requested Croatia to allow Russian oil to transit through their borders. 4. Following the attack on Russian ports, European coal futures prices continued to rise.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD extends advances after attracting bids near $1,650; yields target 4%

Alina Haynes

Oct 26, 2022 15:06

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The gold price (XAU/USD) has extended its advances to around $1,657.50 after a more robust recovery from $1,650.00, the key support level. Thursday's announcement of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data is anticipated to keep investors on the edge of their seats about the precious metal.

 

The risk profile exhibits conflicting responses as S&P500 futures seek a rebound following a large decline in Tokyo. The failure of the US dollar index (DXY) to sustain above the round-level resistance of 111.00 implies a drop in the appeal of safe-haven assets.

 

As investors have abandoned the risk-aversion thesis, the alpha generated by US Treasuries is seeking greater downside. The yields on 10-year US Treasuries have fallen below 4.10 percent, and the present downward momentum could weigh on future pressure.

 

On Thursday, the announcement of US GDP statistics is anticipated to cause extreme price volatility in gold. According to preliminary estimates, the US growth rate for the third quarter of CY 2022 is 2.4%, up from a previously reported negative rate of 0.6%.

 

After falling below the horizontal support established by Thursday's high of $1,640.55, gold prices have rebounded strongly on an hourly scale. The downward-sloping trendline drawn from the high of October 13 at $1,682.53 will act as significant resistance for gold prices going forward.

 

As the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has moved into the 40.00-60.00 zone, a sideways trend is anticipated for the precious metal in the future. Near $1,651.50, the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is providing significant support for the currency.


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