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On July 4, JPMorgan Chase published a research report, maintaining its positive view on Standard Chartered Group, pointing out that although Standard Chartered was involved in the lawsuit related to Malaysias 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB), and was accused of allowing more than 100 intra-bank transfers between 2009 and 2013 to help hide stolen funds, the lawsuit may take several years to resolve, and it is estimated that the groups distribution of more than US$8 billion from 2024 to 2026 and the repurchase plan of US$2.75 billion in fiscal 2025 will have limited impact. JPMorgan also pointed out that in the worst case, the fine is as high as US$2.7 billion, equivalent to 37% of the profit forecast of US$5.3 billion in 2027, which is estimated to bring a 72 basis point drag on the banks Tier 1 capital ratio (CET1) in 2027, which is still within the controllable range, and it is believed that the actual penalty amount will be much lower than this. Morgan Stanley continues to list Standard Chartered as its top choice among Hong Kong banking stocks, believing that Standard Chartered is less affected by the decline in HIBOR and the risks of Hong Kong commercial real estate; and is a major beneficiary of the internationalization of the RMB; and has a clearer digital asset development strategy, which allows it to better withstand the impact of stablecoins than its peers. The target price is HK$135 and the rating is "overweight".According to TASS: Russian air defense forces destroyed 48 Ukrainian drones at night.US President Trump: Letters regarding tariffs will be sent out starting this Friday. It is expected that 10 to 12 countries will receive relevant notifications on Friday.US President Trump: Will speak with Ukrainian President Zelensky on Friday. Disappointed with the call with Russian President Putin. Does not think Putin intends to stop the action.According to the Financial Times: British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves is expected to deliver a speech at the official residence on July 15 to announce the UK pension reform plan, including a review of the retirement reserves of companies and their employees.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD returns above mid-19.00s; bulls flirt with 100-day Simple Moving Average

Alina Haynes

Oct 26, 2022 15:25

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Silver rises on Tuesday's rebound from the 200-hour simple moving average support and adds follow-through momentum for the second consecutive day on Wednesday. The upward move takes the precious metal back over the mid-$19.00 range during the early European session, bringing it closer to Monday's nearly two-week high.

 

The XAG/USD is currently flirting with the 100-day simple moving average (SMA), which, if decisively broken, would open the way for a near-term advance. In the meantime, oscillators on hourly charts remain bullish and have only begun to move into the positive zone on the daily chart. This, in turn, increases the likelihood of a future breach of the aforementioned barrier.

 

The XAG/USD pair might then attempt to exceed the $20.00 psychological level and climb toward the next significant barrier near $20.50. Bulls might then attempt to retake the $21.00 round-number level. This corresponds to the 200-day exponential moving average, above which the momentum might finally drive spot prices back to the monthly swing high, around $21.25.

 

On the other hand, the $19.20 region appears to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $19.00 level and the 200-hour simple moving average, which is currently in the $18.80 zone. A convincing breach below could prompt some technical selling and make the XAG/USD susceptible to accelerate the decline towards the $18.30-$18.25 intermediate support en route to the next crucial level near $18.00.

 

Failure to defend the latter will nullify any near-term bullish bias and return the bias to favor bearish traders. The continuing decline has the potential to bring the XAG/USD pair closer to its September low of $17.55 for the year. The decline might extend to the next significant support near the $17.00 round-number mark.

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