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Futures July 2, as of June 28, Japans commercial crude oil inventories increased by 43,529 kiloliters from the previous week to 12,287,738 kiloliters. Japans gasoline inventories fell by 108,464 kiloliters from the previous week to 1,673,044 kiloliters. Japans kerosene inventories increased by 102,849 kiloliters from the previous week to 2,099,122 kiloliters. The average operating rate of Japans refineries was 88.2%, compared with 84.4% in the previous week.July 2, Phillip Nova senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva wrote in a report that oil futures may trade in a narrower range this week as OPEC+ is widely expected to agree to increase production by another 411,000 barrels per day in August. OPEC+ supply is under the control of investors; however, prices seem to have digested the increase in production and are unlikely to catch the market off guard again in the short term. However, a weaker dollar could prolong any upward momentum.July 2, Goldman Sachs said that if OPEC+ decides to increase production on Sunday, the market is not expected to react much, because the general market expectations have shifted to this result. Goldman Sachs expects the August production increase to be the last, as the large influx of shale oil from non-OPEC countries affects the supply and demand balance, but the risk tends to be a further increase in OPEC+ quotas after August.Canada remains committed to removing all Trump tariffs in its trade deal with the United States, the country’s ambassador to Washington said.Goldman Sachs: If OPEC+ decides to increase production on Sunday, the market is not expected to react much as the general market expectations have shifted to this outcome.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD maintains rises above $1,900; downside appears bolstered by robust yields

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 14:56

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During the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) exhibits a sideways auction profile above the round-level support of $1,900.00. The precious metal is able to maintain a price above $1,900.00. Tom Barkin, president of the Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank, made hawkish remarks that boosted US Treasury yields. However, the downside appears to be supported by the rising yields.

 

According to Fed officials, the economy has passed the inflation peak, but we are still far from the Consumer Price Index median (CPI). Therefore, a premature retreat from interest rate hikes is undesirable. 

 

Meanwhile, market volatility is increasing as risk-perceived assets lose traction. Futures on the S&P 500 have accelerated their losses, indicating that the risk-aversion theme is gaining traction. A drop in market participants' risk appetite has impacted the demand for US government bonds. This has caused 10-year US Treasury yields to rise above 3.54 percent.

 

In the future, investors will pay close attention to the United States Producer Price Index (PPI) (December) and monthly Retail Sales (December) statistics. According to estimates, the headline PPI (Dec) is anticipated to decline to 6.8%, while the core PPI is anticipated to decline to 5.9%. In addition, monthly Retail Sales statistics may indicate a 0.1% growth as opposed to the 0.6% decrease previously reported. A rise in Retail Sales statistics could increase the likelihood of a rebound in inflation estimates.


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