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On April 3, White House aide Peter Navarro said that US President Trump’s tariffs could increase revenue by three times the size of the World War II tax increase in 1942, and could become the largest tax increase in US history.On April 3, a research report by CLSA indicated that ChinaSoft International (00354.HK)s revenue fell 1% year-on-year to RMB 16.951 billion last year, and the first disclosed AI-related revenue was RMB 957 million, accounting for 5.6% of revenue. The companys price reduction strategy has led to a decline in gross profit margin, and the main reason for the lower-than-expected net profit is a one-time impact. The bank expects the companys fundamentals to improve this year, mainly because the number of employees increased in the second half of last year. The bank expects the companys net profit to reach RMB 748 million this year, up 45.8% year-on-year, and lowered the target price from HK$7 to HK$6.5, maintaining the rating of outperforming the market.On April 3, the Australian bond market has experienced a dovish turn since the White House announced its new tariff agenda. IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said that the market has priced in an 85% chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in May. Subsequent rate cuts are expected in August and November, with a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points by November. He added that US tariffs have far exceeded expectations, increasing the likelihood of a trade war and recession in the United States. He also said that since goods from countries such as Vietnam are now effectively shut out of the United States, cheap goods are expected to flood other Asian markets.Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi declined to comment when asked about the possibility of retaliation against U.S. tariffs.Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi: We believe that the recent US tariff measures may have a significant impact on the multilateral trading system, and we strongly call on the United States to exclude Japan from these measures.

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD is at a weekly bottom, and bulls are losing control below $24.00

Daniel Rogers

Jan 18, 2023 14:54

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Silver rebounds from the weekly low reached during Wednesday's Asian session and is currently in neutral zone, just below the $24.00 round-number mark.

 

Technically speaking, the price activity over the past month or so has formed an ascending channel, indicating a short-term positive trend. Moreover, the XAG/USD has been able to maintain a comfortable position above the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. This, in turn, favors bullish traders and enhances the likelihood of further near-term increases.

 

Nevertheless, oscillators on the daily chart have been losing traction, while oscillators on the 4-hour chart have just begun drifting into negative territory. Therefore, any intraday advance is more likely to encounter resistance in the vicinity of $24.30, followed by the multi-month top in the vicinity of $24.50. Before putting further wagers, bulls may wait for persistent strength beyond the aforementioned obstacles.

 

The XAG/USD may then climb to challenge the upper limit of the aforementioned trend channel, which is now located in the vicinity of $24.80-$24.85. Some subsequent buying over the $25.00 psychological level will signal a new breakout and open the way for a near-term advance. This, in turn, might propel the precious metal to the next significant barrier in the vicinity of $25.35-$25.40.

 

On the other side, the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, which is currently approaching $23.45, is expected to safeguard the immediate downside ahead of the trend-channel support near $23.30-$23.25. A convincing break below this level might make the XAG/USD susceptible to further declines below the $23.00 level and to the $22.60-$22.55 support region en route to the $22.10-$22.00 region.


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