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US judge: Bank of America (BAC.N) has reached a "settlement in principle" with the civil lawsuit brought by the plaintiffs in the Jeffrey Epstein case.March 16 – Following last weeks agreement to release a record amount of emergency oil reserves, the International Energy Agency (IEA) stated that it could provide even more reserves if needed. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said, "The IEAs swift action has had a stabilizing effect on the market. However, while our inventory releases are currently providing a buffer, this is not a long-term solution." Birol emphasized that for the oil and gas industry, "the most important thing" is to restore normal passage through the crucial Strait of Hormuz, which has been disrupted by the war in the Middle East. He stated that more oil is flowing into Asian markets, which are most dependent on oil supplies from the Middle East.The SC crude oil futures contract narrowed its losses to 4.26%, currently trading at 737.7 yuan per barrel, after previously falling by more than 7%.The BBC filed a motion in a Florida federal court on Monday seeking to dismiss US President Donald Trumps $10 billion defamation lawsuit.On March 16th, a $10 million profit was realized from an options trade targeting short-term interest rates, driven by this months sharp rise in oil prices and a downward revision of market expectations for further easing by the Federal Reserve. This bet, placed in January in the form of options related to the overnight funding rate, which is closely correlated with the Feds policy direction, was reflected in the CME Groups positioning data covering Fridays trading, released Monday. The data showed that selling of the options at the end of last week matched the profit-taking on the position. This bet, which existed before the outbreak of war in the Middle East, indicated that the Feds interest rates would be higher by mid-2028 than was generally expected in January. The bet turned profitable last week as the conflict caused oil prices to rise to their highest level since 2022, raising concerns about inflation and prompting traders to expect the Fed to maintain higher interest rates for a longer period.

GBP / USD Advances To 1.1950 As Investors Ignore Aggressive Fed Bets And Concentrate On UK Data

Alina Haynes

Mar 10, 2023 11:35

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During the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair successfully relocated its business above 1.1950. The Cable is attempting to extend its recovery towards 1.1950 despite investors' lack of concern regarding the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Moreover, investors have begun to disregard the volatility associated with aggressive Fed rate hike wagers. Investors are aware that higher inflation could be contained by restrictive Fed measures; consequently, an increase in Fed interest rates is likely.

 

In the Asian session, S&P500 futures have extended their losses from Thursday, when investors were discouraged by higher taxes on corporations, billionaires, and wealthy investors. Higher taxes on corporations will reduce their Net Profit margins, resulting in lower dividends for shareholders.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below Thursday's low of 105.13 on expectations that the US labor market is not as robust as previously thought. The US labor market may decelerate soon, according to an increase of 11% in Initial Jobless Claims and a quadrupling of planned layoffs by US companies. This may compel the Fed to continue its gradual pace of rate increases.

 

Notwithstanding, the release of the US NFP will be of the utmost importance to the market. The number of payrolls in the United States increased by 203K in February, as predicted. It is anticipated that the unemployment rate will remain at 3.4%.

 

On the front of the British Pound, manufacturing sector data will be intently observed. Monthly Manufacturing Production (January) and Industrial Production are anticipated to decrease by 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively.

 

Investors should be aware that the performance of the manufacturing sector in the United Kingdom has remained fragile over the past few months. This may compel the Bank of England (BoE) to pause policy tightening for the time being, allowing current monetary policy to demonstrate its impact.