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On August 30th, according to a report by Axios, citing sources familiar with the matter, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, during a secret visit to Moscow earlier this week, proposed a trilateral summit between US President Donald Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to push for an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Sources said that part of Ratcliffes visit was to assess whether the head of Russian intelligence could persuade Putin to return to the US-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. This marks Ratcliffes first involvement in diplomatic efforts to achieve a breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine relations. The report stated that US officials briefed Zelenskyy on Ratcliffes talks in Moscow on Friday (August 28th) and the proposal for a trilateral summit between the US, Russia, and Ukraine.Conflict Situation: 1. Israel launches attacks in southern Lebanon. 2. Iran claims to have destroyed a US-Israeli "terrorist group" within its territory. 3. Iranian Army Commander-in-Chief: The enemy failed to achieve its war objectives; Iran has won. 4. Palestinian residents attempting to protect their properties are attacked by Israeli settlers. 5. NBC News team is attacked and beaten with sticks by Israeli settlers in the West Bank. 6. Israel Defense Forces: A Noukba company commander and a Hamas sniper are killed in the Gaza Strip. Strait of Hormuz: 1. Irans Deputy Foreign Minister states there is no rush to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. 2. Iran claims the Strait of Hormuz is "completely closed": all transit vessels have received Iranian permission. 3. Bessant claims 130 million barrels of crude oil are being channeled through the strait; Iranian Parliament Speaker: This is a lie. 4. According to Irans Press TV: Security sources indicate that claims about large quantities of oil being transported through the southern route of the Strait of Hormuz are inconsistent with the actual situation. Claims that the US is transporting oil through the southern Strait of Hormuz are part of a US strategy to lower energy prices. Other matters: 1. Iran says US military bases in the region are only for protecting Israel. 2. US Central Command says approximately 50,000 US troops are deployed in the Middle East. 3. The US military plans to punish the sailors who jumped aboard the USS Lincoln. 4. Iranian media: $7.5 billion in oil revenue has been transferred to the Central Bank of Iran. 5. Qatari and Turkish foreign ministers spoke by phone to discuss easing tensions in the Middle East. 6. Iranian Foreign Minister: US government officials are manipulating the energy market for personal gain. 7. US sanctions against Egyptian banks UAE branch; UAE Central Bank to conduct emergency inspection. 8. Israels National Security Agency: Previously, they urgently "rescued" Netanyahus eldest son from the US. 9. US Embassy in Lebanon: Hezbollah continues to refuse to negotiate with the US and Israel on disarmament. 10. Iranian government statement: Iran pledges to resolutely resist US sanctions; diplomacy and defense are "complementary and inseparable."August 30th - A press conference on the "8.26" mudslide disaster in Gyirong, Tibet, was held today (August 30th) in Gyirong Town. On the morning of August 26th, a mudslide on the Nepalese side caused significant casualties and missing persons at the Gyirong Port in Gyirong County, Shigatse City, Tibet. Analysis indicates that the most prominent risk hindering the disaster response was the landslide dam located above the core area of the border crossing. The dam has already overflowed and is currently in stable condition, with a low probability of a complete collapse.On August 30th, a press conference was held in Gyirong Town, Tibet, regarding the "8.26" mudslide disaster. On the morning of August 26th, a mudslide occurred on the Nepalese side, causing significant casualties and missing persons at the Gyirong Port in Gyirong County, Shigatse City, Tibet. The conference explained that this disaster was caused by glacial instability due to long-term climate warming. The disaster was sudden, with a large peak flow, rapid movement, strong destructive power, and a wide impact area, representing a new and significant characteristic of cryosphere disasters in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and surrounding areas. Monitoring revealed that the ice avalanche took only about 6 to 7 minutes from its occurrence to its impact on the Gyirong Port in my country.On August 30, it was learned from a press conference held by the Information Office of the Peoples Government of Tibet Autonomous Region that, through a joint comprehensive search and comparison of clues conducted by multiple departments including foreign affairs, public security, culture and tourism, and emergency response, 261 missing foreign nationals have been identified in the investigation of the Gyirong landslide disaster in Tibet. These individuals come from 23 countries: Kazakhstan (1), Malaysia (3), Nepal (104), India (49), South Africa (4), Ireland (2), Estonia (2), Germany (3), Russia (3), France (2), Finland (1), Netherlands (2), Latvia (33), Lithuania (1), Portugal (1), Ukraine (1), Spain (1), Hungary (1), United Kingdom (15), Canada (6), United States (18), Australia (6), and New Zealand (2). The Chinese side has notified the relevant embassies and consulates in China.

Fears of a recession continue to weigh on oil prices, although a tightened supply mitigates losses

Aria Thomas

Jul 04, 2022 11:37


Oil prices dipped in early Asian trade on Monday, erasing the previous session's gains, as fears of a global recession weighed on the market despite the fact that supply remains tight due to lower OPEC output, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia.


Brent crude futures declined 35 cents, or 0.3%, to $111.28 a barrel at 00:16 GMT on Saturday, following a Friday increase of 2.4%.


Futures for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped 32 cents, or 0.3%, to $108.11 a barrel on Monday, after gaining 2.5% on Friday.


Fears of a recession have weighed on the market during the past two weeks, although supply concerns have prevented further price drops.


Tobin Gorey, a commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank, observed, "Energy markets continue to be plagued by distinct supply risks, making shorting a nerve-racking exercise."


In June, the production of the 10 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) declined by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 28.52 million barrels per day (bpd), a far cry from the 275,000 bpd increase they had expected.


Increases in Saudi Arabia and other major producers were offset by losses in Nigeria and Libya, and Libya faces additional supply disruptions as a result of rising political unrest.


Analysts at ANZ Research noted in a note, "This makes it even less likely that (OPEC) will be able to meet its newly increased output limits."


Last week, the National Oil Corp estimated that Libya's exports have reduced to between 365,000 and 409,000 bpd, a decrease of around 865,000 bpd compared to normal levels.


This week, a planned strike by Norwegian oil and gas workers may lower the nation's oil and condensate production by 130,000 barrels per day (bpd).


Traders will closely follow official oil prices for August from the world's largest oil supplier, Saudi Arabia, for signals of market tightness, with refiners anticipating another high increase close to the record established in May.


According to nine refinery sources evaluated by Reuters, the official selling price of Saudi Arabia's flagship Arab Light oil may rise by around $2.40 per barrel compared to the previous month.