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European Council: Urges Afghanistan to engage in dialogue with Pakistan.European Council: The EU reiterates that Afghan territory must not be used to threaten or attack other countries.The European Council called on all parties to immediately de-escalate the situation and cease hostilities following a sharp increase in violence in Afghanistan and Pakistan.Gaza Situation: 1. Market news: Gazas civil defense department reports at least 5 deaths from Israeli airstrikes. 2. The Israeli military claims to have killed several militants in southern Gaza. Iran Situation: 1. The Iranian military says it will respond "devastatingly" to US aggression. 2. Omans Foreign Minister: Iran has agreed not to possess "nuclear materials capable of making nuclear bombs." 3. Trump: Dissatisfied with negotiations with Iran. 4. The US aircraft carrier USS Ford arrives in Israel. 5. Chairman of the Iranian Parliaments Security and Foreign Policy Committee: Negotiations are limited to uranium enrichment; Iran will not relinquish its due rights. 6. Market news: All US Air Force refueling aircraft have withdrawn from Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. 7. According to CNN: There is no intelligence indicating that Iran is planning to develop an intercontinental ballistic missile capable of striking the United States. 8. Istanbul Airport data shows that three flights from Istanbul to Tehran, Iran, were canceled on Friday. 9. According to the Wall Street Journal: Local diplomats revealed that foreign embassies in Israel have developed contingency plans to deal with Iranian attacks. 10. Trump revealed that the US and Iran will continue negotiations and warned that "sometimes we have to fight." Trump reiterated that Iran cannot possess nuclear weapons. 11. Omans Foreign Minister met with the US Vice President, stating that US-Iran negotiations had made "unprecedented progress." 12. Multiple countries issued evacuation warnings from the Middle East: ① The US State Department ordered non-essential diplomats to evacuate Israel and Iraq. ② The US Ambassador to Israel warned the mission to leave Israel today. ③ The Chinese Foreign Ministry reminded Chinese citizens not to travel to Iran. ④ The Kazakh Foreign Ministry urged its citizens to leave Iran and temporarily avoid traveling to the country. ⑤ Italy urged its citizens to leave Iran and remain vigilant throughout the Middle East. ⑥ The British Foreign Office advised against travel to Israel and the Palestinian territories except for essential travel. ⑦ Greece advised its citizens to avoid travel to Iran and the Israeli-Palestinian region. ⑧ The French Foreign Ministry advised French citizens not to travel to Israel, Jerusalem, and the West Bank. Other: 1. The Afghan government claimed that Pakistani airstrikes hit Kabul and other areas. 2. Pakistani state television claimed that several Taliban strongholds were destroyed in the attacks. 3. The US State Department ordered non-essential diplomats to evacuate Israel. 4. Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya television, citing security sources, reported on the 27th that a large number of American citizens left Iraq via Baghdad International Airport in the past 24 hours. 5. Maersk diverted some of its ships to routes south of Africa. 6. The U.S. State Department announced that Secretary of State Marco Rubio will visit Israel from March 2nd to 3rd to discuss issues related to Iran, Lebanon, and Gaza.According to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi and Saudi Foreign Minister held multiple phone calls to discuss the latest situation.

Fears of a recession continue to weigh on oil prices, although a tightened supply mitigates losses

Aria Thomas

Jul 04, 2022 11:37


Oil prices dipped in early Asian trade on Monday, erasing the previous session's gains, as fears of a global recession weighed on the market despite the fact that supply remains tight due to lower OPEC output, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia.


Brent crude futures declined 35 cents, or 0.3%, to $111.28 a barrel at 00:16 GMT on Saturday, following a Friday increase of 2.4%.


Futures for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped 32 cents, or 0.3%, to $108.11 a barrel on Monday, after gaining 2.5% on Friday.


Fears of a recession have weighed on the market during the past two weeks, although supply concerns have prevented further price drops.


Tobin Gorey, a commodities analyst at Commonwealth Bank, observed, "Energy markets continue to be plagued by distinct supply risks, making shorting a nerve-racking exercise."


In June, the production of the 10 members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) declined by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 28.52 million barrels per day (bpd), a far cry from the 275,000 bpd increase they had expected.


Increases in Saudi Arabia and other major producers were offset by losses in Nigeria and Libya, and Libya faces additional supply disruptions as a result of rising political unrest.


Analysts at ANZ Research noted in a note, "This makes it even less likely that (OPEC) will be able to meet its newly increased output limits."


Last week, the National Oil Corp estimated that Libya's exports have reduced to between 365,000 and 409,000 bpd, a decrease of around 865,000 bpd compared to normal levels.


This week, a planned strike by Norwegian oil and gas workers may lower the nation's oil and condensate production by 130,000 barrels per day (bpd).


Traders will closely follow official oil prices for August from the world's largest oil supplier, Saudi Arabia, for signals of market tightness, with refiners anticipating another high increase close to the record established in May.


According to nine refinery sources evaluated by Reuters, the official selling price of Saudi Arabia's flagship Arab Light oil may rise by around $2.40 per barrel compared to the previous month.