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On August 29th, NBC News, citing two sources familiar with the matter, reported that US Defense Secretary Peter Hegseth has been discussing the possibility of running for president in 2028 with close associates in recent months. Hegseth and his wife believe he shares some similarities with Trump, including a tough, confrontational style and conservative stances on social issues, which could garner support from the MAGA base. This month, Hegseth also traveled to Iowa to campaign for Republican lawmakers. Iowa has long been a key outpost in US presidential elections, further fueling speculation that he is preparing to run. If he does run, Hegseth could compete with Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Rubio, and others. However, a Pentagon spokesperson denied the claims, stating that "Secretary Hegseth will not run for president," and that his primary focus remains leading the Department of Defense. The report points out that the ongoing war with Iran could be a major political burden for Hegseth, with 18 US military personnel already killed and the average US gasoline price rising from less than $3 per gallon to slightly over $4.On August 29th, Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian stated that todays changes in the US Treasury yield curve released two signals. The spread between the 2-year and 10-year yields narrowed by approximately 7 basis points, and the spread between the 2-year and 30-year yields narrowed by approximately 10 basis points, showing a flattening trend. El-Erian believes this reflects a dual interpretation in the fixed-income market: in the short term, it represents a hawkish repricing following Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs firm commitment to the inflation target; in the long term, it reflects recognition of the Federal Reserves long-term credibility.According to NBC News, U.S. Defense Secretary Hergsays is considering running for president in 2028.On August 29th, Deutsche Bank economists predicted that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September and December. Fed Chairman Warsh, in his Jackson Hole speech, emphasized the need to bring inflation back to the 2% target and released a clearly hawkish signal. Deutsche Bank believes that unless future economic data is "significantly weaker than expected," the threshold for avoiding a 25 basis point rate hike in September is already very high. The market has also quickly increased its bets on rate hikes: CME data shows that the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points or more by December has risen to 51%, up from only 29% the previous day; the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 38%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is only 11%. Following Warshs speech, market bets on a September rate hike have also clearly intensified.US President Trump criticized New York Governor Hoher for "taking Canadas side," refusing to use the name "American Lake," and "preferring Canada to win," while also supporting Blackman as the next governor of New York.

The conclusion of the Argentine truckers' strike increases grain shipments

Charlie Brooks

Jul 01, 2022 11:36


The Argentine truckers' strike ended on Thursday, when several unions incensed by fuel shortages reached an agreement to terminate the one-week protest near the vital port of Rosario, which is expected to assist future grain exports.


The truck driver's protest over high gasoline prices has halted shipments of corn and other goods, just as the bulk of the harvest was making its way to ports for export to worldwide markets.


Due to the exclusion of a few tiny truckers groups from the deal, however, it is possible that certain protests may continue.


Argentina is the second-largest exporter of maize, the top exporter of processed soy oil and meal, and a major supplier of wheat and beef.


One of the unions, Autoconvocados Unidos, issued the following statement: "Despite our dissatisfaction (with the latest settlement of truck freight rates) and in light of the present crisis in our country, we have chosen to halt the strike."


The union described their action as an act of kindness.


The number of trucks entering ports surged by 70 percent on Thursday compared to the previous day, reaching approximately 1,500 vehicles, as reported by the Rosario grains market.


The Rosario ports are the departure point for 80 percent of Argentina's agricultural exports, the vast majority of which are transported by truck.


The ability of trucks to access the port is returning to normal, according to the manager of the country's marine port chamber, Guillermo Wade.


Additionally on Wednesday, the transport ministry secured a deal with non-striking agricultural and transport groups to hike grain freight charges by 25%.


However, the majority of protesting unions, led by the UNTRA truckers' union, felt the rate increase insufficient and chose to dismantle highway blockades.


The head of the UNTRA, Carlos Geneiro, said, "We have far greater expenses than that."


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