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The number of rate cuts this year is expected to increase. 1. JPMorgan Chase: The updated dot plot indicates room for three rate cuts this year, one more than the June dot plot. 2. Deutsche Bank: The updated dot plot median may indicate a total of 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, 25 basis points more than the June forecast. 3. Barclays: The dot plot indicates three rate cuts this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term rate forecast remains unchanged at 3.0%. 4. Bank of Montreal: The median rate forecast for the end of 2025 is expected to be lowered to reflect the possibility of 25 basis point cuts at both the October and December meetings. The dot plot remains unchanged from June. 1. Pepperstone: The Federal Reserve is likely to disappoint market expectations. The dot plot median is likely to remain unchanged, still indicating only a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points this year. 2. UBS: The dot plot will show two rate cuts this year, while the market expects closer to three. Participants economic outlook forecasts will also be in focus. 3. Bank of America: With macroeconomic forecasts largely unchanged, the median Fed rate forecast for 2025 will continue to indicate a 50 basis point cut, despite a downward shift in the overall dot plot. 4. Goldman Sachs: We expect the updated dot plot to show two rate cuts this year, to 3.875%. While the Fed may currently be planning three consecutive rate cuts this year, it may decide that forcing this into the dot plot is unnecessary. 5. Morgan Stanley: We expect the median dot plot to still show two rate cuts this year, but actual economic data may push the Fed to continue cutting rates throughout the rest of the year, extending this round of cuts into January. Other Views: 1. Citigroup: The updated dot plot is likely to indicate two to three rate cuts this year, and the median rate forecast for 2026 may also be revised downward.The UKs core CPI monthly rate in August was 0.3%, in line with expectations and the previous value of 0.2%.The UKs core retail price index was 4.4% year-on-year in August, compared with 4.70% in the previous month.The UKs retail price index rose by 0.4% in August, in line with expectations of 0.5% and the previous reading of 0.40%.The UKs CPI monthly rate in August was 0.3%, in line with expectations and the previous value of 0.10%.

The conclusion of the Argentine truckers' strike increases grain shipments

Charlie Brooks

Jul 01, 2022 11:36


The Argentine truckers' strike ended on Thursday, when several unions incensed by fuel shortages reached an agreement to terminate the one-week protest near the vital port of Rosario, which is expected to assist future grain exports.


The truck driver's protest over high gasoline prices has halted shipments of corn and other goods, just as the bulk of the harvest was making its way to ports for export to worldwide markets.


Due to the exclusion of a few tiny truckers groups from the deal, however, it is possible that certain protests may continue.


Argentina is the second-largest exporter of maize, the top exporter of processed soy oil and meal, and a major supplier of wheat and beef.


One of the unions, Autoconvocados Unidos, issued the following statement: "Despite our dissatisfaction (with the latest settlement of truck freight rates) and in light of the present crisis in our country, we have chosen to halt the strike."


The union described their action as an act of kindness.


The number of trucks entering ports surged by 70 percent on Thursday compared to the previous day, reaching approximately 1,500 vehicles, as reported by the Rosario grains market.


The Rosario ports are the departure point for 80 percent of Argentina's agricultural exports, the vast majority of which are transported by truck.


The ability of trucks to access the port is returning to normal, according to the manager of the country's marine port chamber, Guillermo Wade.


Additionally on Wednesday, the transport ministry secured a deal with non-striking agricultural and transport groups to hike grain freight charges by 25%.


However, the majority of protesting unions, led by the UNTRA truckers' union, felt the rate increase insufficient and chose to dismantle highway blockades.


The head of the UNTRA, Carlos Geneiro, said, "We have far greater expenses than that."