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Futures News, April 30th: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures surged in recent intraday trading, breaking through the key resistance level of $109.00, which had previously been our price target. This rally reflects a strong short-term bullish trend, with prices continuing to move along the upward trend line, providing support for current momentum. The bullish bias is further consolidated as prices remain above the 50-day EMA, showing continued dynamic support. However, after prices entered overbought territory, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown initial signs of a bearish crossover, which could limit further upside potential.On April 30, Zhao Leji, Chairman of the Standing Committee of the National Peoples Congress (NPC), presided over the closing meeting of the 22nd session of the 14th NPC Standing Committee. Zhao Leji stated that the session reviewed eight draft laws, passing two of them. The newly formulated Social Assistance Law, adhering to the principles of ensuring basic needs, providing a safety net, addressing emergencies, and ensuring sustainability, is of great significance for strengthening the social safety net, promoting social equity, and maintaining social harmony and stability. The revised Prison Law improves the prison management system, further standardizes and guarantees the correct execution of penalties in prisons, and is conducive to promoting a higher level of peace and rule of law in China. The meeting conducted a second review of the draft Medical Security Law and the Law on the Protection and Quality Improvement of Cultivated Land, and conducted the first review of the draft revisions to the Law on State-Owned Assets of Enterprises, the Agricultural Law, the National Defense Mobilization Law, and the Water Law. Relevant departments should carefully study the relevant opinions and suggestions and revise and improve the drafts. Zhao Leji emphasized that members of the NPC Standing Committee and its special committees, as well as NPC officials, should perform their duties with high quality.Philippine Trade Minister: ASEAN will accelerate free trade agreement negotiations.Hungarian Central Bank Governor Varga: Hopes to avoid a recurrence of high inflation and high inflation expectations.Futures Market News, April 30th: Zhengzhou rapeseed meal futures opened higher but then fluctuated. Canadian canola futures closed higher, with the benchmark contract rising 2.16%, following the upward trend in international crude oil futures. Rapeseed meal spot prices fell slightly. Canadian canola has not yet entered large-scale crushing, but ample supply is expected in the longer term, and downstream purchasing sentiment remains cautious. Attention should be paid to the recovery of demand from aquaculture.

Oil costs increase as supply restrictions trump economic worries

Charlie Brooks

Jul 05, 2022 11:12


Oil prices climbed on Monday as supply worries spurred by a decrease in OPEC production, unrest in Libya, and sanctions against Russia trumped fears of a worldwide recession that would diminish demand.


In June, Euro zone inflation hit an all-time high, boosting the case for rapid rate rises by the European Central Bank, while consumer sentiment in the United States reached an all-time low.


Brent oil rose $2.26, or 2%, to $113.89 a barrel as of 12:47 p.m. ET (1648 GMT), after shedding more than $1 in early trading. The price of U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.20, or 2%, to $110.63 despite the lack of trading activity over the Fourth of July holiday.


According to a Reuters survey, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) failed to meet its June goal of increasing production.


Thursday, authorities in OPEC member Libya declared force majeure at the Es Sidr and Ras Lanuf ports and the El Feel oilfield, claiming a reduction of 865,000 barrels per day in oil output (bpd).


Meanwhile, more than two weeks of unrest have caused Ecuador to lose almost 2 million barrels of production, according to Petroecuador, the country's state-owned oil company.


This week, a strike in Norway may restrict supply from the biggest oil producer in Western Europe and reduce overall petroleum production by 8 percent.


"This background of rising supply interruptions clashes with a probable shortage of spare production capacity among Middle Eastern oil producers," said Stephen Brennock of oil trader PVM, referring to the producers' limited ability to pump more oil.


And prices will climb if new oil production does not reach the market shortly.


On Monday, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked OPEC+ to raise oil output to tackle the growing cost of living.


As a consequence of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, supply concerns have sent Brent oil prices close to 2008's record high of $147 a barrel.


As a consequence of restrictions on Russian oil and limited gas supplies, surging energy prices have driven inflation in certain countries to multi-decade highs and stoked fears of a recession.