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On June 7th, US President Trump stated that it would be a mistake for Federal Reserve policymakers to raise interest rates after the US jobs data significantly exceeded expectations. He also insisted that he did not want to influence Kevin Warsh before his first Fed meeting. In an interview with NBC, Trump said, "These days, whenever the economic data is good, the market goes down because everyone thinks the Fed will raise rates. But theres absolutely no reason to raise rates." Trumps remarks further increased the economic and political pressure on Warsh. Trump stated, "Raising the benchmark interest rate is the wrong thing to do. In fact, we should lower rates." Trump added, "I work with Kevin now. I have a lot of respect for him, but my view is that when a countrys economy is doing well, it shouldnt be punished immediately by raising interest rates." He further added, "We have a debt problem, and a lot of other things to deal with, a lot of plans to move forward. I want to further increase defense spending."June 7th - According to a communique released after Sundays OPEC meeting, the seven OPEC+ member countries (Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman) decided to raise their daily crude oil production ceiling by 188,000 barrels starting in July. The communique stated that the countries reiterated the importance of a cautious approach and will retain full flexibility to increase, suspend, or reverse voluntary production cuts. The seven countries will meet again on July 5th.US President Trump: There is no reason to raise interest rates (regarding the Federal Reserve).1. Monday: ① Data: Japans April trade balance; Switzerlands May consumer confidence index; Eurozones June Sentix investor confidence index. ② Holiday: Australia closed for the day. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Chinas May trade balance; Germanys April seasonally adjusted trade balance and industrial production month-on-month; US April trade balance, NFIB small business confidence index, ADP employment change week-on-week, May existing home sales report, and April wholesale sales month-on-month report. ② Event: Apples WWDC developer conference, until June 13. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventory weekly report, May CPI; Chinas May CPI, PPI, M2 and other financial data (time to be determined). ② Event: EIA releases monthly short-term energy outlook report; Bank of Canada interest rate decision, press conference by the governor and senior deputy governor. ③ Earnings report: Oracle. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US initial jobless claims, May PPI, and EIA natural gas storage weekly report. ② Events: US 10-year Treasury auction; ECB interest rate decision and ECB presidents press conference; OPEC monthly report. 5. Friday: ① Data: German and French May CPI; UK April three-month GDP month-on-month rate, manufacturing output month-on-month rate, seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, industrial production month-on-month rate; US June one-year inflation rate expectation preliminary value, University of Michigan consumer sentiment index preliminary value. ② Events: Huawei Developer Conference, SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, World Cup officially starts. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending June 12.According to Saudi media Alhadath, Israel notified the United States in advance before attacking the southern suburbs of Beirut.

E-mini S&P Bulls Facing Next Challenge at 4447.25 – 4530.50

Cameron Murphy

Apr 14, 2022 11:05


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As investors absorbed sizzling inflation data and a mixed bag of quarterly profits, June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures are trading higher late in the session on Wednesday, buoyed by a rally in market-leading growth companies.


June E-mini S&P 500 Index futures were at 4443.50 at 20:22 GMT, up 50.50 or 1.15 percent. The S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY) is now trading at $443.40, up $5.11 or 1.17 percent from its previous close.

Mixed Earnings Results

JPMorgan Chase & Co kicked off the first-quarter results season on a sour note, citing a 42 percent reduction in quarterly profit. The largest US lender's stock dropped 3.2 percent as a consequence of its disappointing earnings.


Delta Air Lines' earnings above forecasts, and the company forecasted a current-quarter return to profit owing to "historically strong" demand. According to Reuters, the 5.9% share price increase spread to the larger S&P 1500 airline index, which rose 6.5 percent.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is down. The return of the decline will be signaled by a trade through 4382.25. The major trend will turn to up if the price breaks through 4588.75.


4800.00 to 4094.25 is the major range. The next upward target range is the retracement zone from 4447.25 to 4530.50. A small pivot at 4506.75 is located inside this zone. This is also a source of possible opposition.


4094.25 to 4631.00 is the short-term range. Support is seen in the retracement zone of 4362.50 to 4299.25. This region is in charge of the index's short-term direction.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Forecast

Trader response to the major 50 percent milestone at 4447.25 is expected to influence the direction of the June E-mini S&P 500 Index early Thursday.

Possibilities for Growth

The presence of buyers will be shown by a prolonged advance over 4447.25. Look for purchasing to continue into 4506.75 to 4530.50 if this move is able to build adequate near-term momentum.


Because the overall trend is down, traders must keep an eye out for sellers. They might attempt to construct a bearish secondary lower top.

Scenario that is bearish

The presence of selling will be signaled by a prolonged move below 4447.25. Look for the selling to continue through yesterday's bottom around 4382.25, then the short-term retracement zone of 4362.50 to 4299.25 if this provides enough bearish momentum.