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According to the Wall Street Journal: Ford Motor (FN) further cuts 1,000 jobs in Germany due to continued weak demand for electric vehicles.The European Parliaments head of metals will visit Kyiv, MEPs said.September 17th news: On September 17th local time, Krasnodar Airport in southern Russia received the first flight since its suspension of operations. This is also the first time the airport has resumed formal operations since its closure since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022.The number of rate cuts this year is expected to increase. 1. JPMorgan Chase: The updated dot plot indicates room for three rate cuts this year, one more than the June dot plot. 2. Deutsche Bank: The updated dot plot median may indicate a total of 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, 25 basis points more than the June forecast. 3. Barclays: The dot plot indicates three rate cuts this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term rate forecast remains unchanged at 3.0%. 4. Bank of Montreal: The median rate forecast for the end of 2025 is expected to be lowered to reflect the possibility of 25 basis point cuts at both the October and December meetings. The dot plot remains unchanged from June. 1. Pepperstone: The Federal Reserve is likely to disappoint market expectations. The dot plot median is likely to remain unchanged, still indicating only a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points this year. 2. UBS: The dot plot will show two rate cuts this year, while the market expects closer to three. Participants economic outlook forecasts will also be in focus. 3. Bank of America: With macroeconomic forecasts largely unchanged, the median Fed rate forecast for 2025 will continue to indicate a 50 basis point cut, despite a downward shift in the overall dot plot. 4. Goldman Sachs: We expect the updated dot plot to show two rate cuts this year, to 3.875%. While the Fed may currently be planning three consecutive rate cuts this year, it may decide that forcing this into the dot plot is unnecessary. 5. Morgan Stanley: We expect the median dot plot to still show two rate cuts this year, but actual economic data may push the Fed to continue cutting rates throughout the rest of the year, extending this round of cuts into January. Other Views: 1. Citigroup: The updated dot plot is likely to indicate two to three rate cuts this year, and the median rate forecast for 2026 may also be revised downward.The UKs core CPI monthly rate in August was 0.3%, in line with expectations and the previous value of 0.2%.

Major Indexes Continue To Be Outperformed By Energy & Metals

Skylar Shaw

Apr 14, 2022 11:10


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Capital has been flowing into ETFs such as XOP (S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production), XME (S&P Metals & Mining), and XLU (Utilities). DIA (30-Industrials), SPY (500-Large Caps), IWM (2000-Small Caps), IYT (Transports), and QQQ (100-Nasdaq Largest Non-Financial) are still losing money for the year.


Our recent transactions in the major stock index ETFs yielded partial position profits, with the remaining positions stopping out for a little break-even profit.


We are keeping our cash on hand and constantly watching important ETF sectors in comparison to major stock index benchmarks for hints indicating our placement within the broader economic cycle as we see record inflation statistics announced and central banks rising lending rates.

TACTICAL ETFs FOR ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES

We receive queries about inverse and leveraged ETFs from time to time from our subscribers. Not everyone should invest in inverse and/or leveraged ETFs. These tactical ETFs, on the other hand, may give alternate tactics for usage in a bad market for certain experienced traders.


An inverse ETF is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that profits from a drop in the value of an underlying benchmark by employing different derivatives. When the market or the underlying index falls, inverse ETFs enable investors to profit without having to sell anything short.


A leveraged exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a marketable product that leverages the returns of an underlying index by using financial derivatives and loans. A leverage ETF may be built for a 2:1 or even a 3:1 ratio, while a regular exchange-traded fund normally follows the assets in its underlying index on a 1:1 basis.


These exchange-traded funds (ETFs) mirror the underlying S&P 500 benchmark, which represents 500 big US companies as chosen by S&P's Index Committee. Inverse and leveraged ETFs are represented by the following ETFs:


SPY vs. SH (1:1 or 1x leverage) — SPY (Bull) is the most well-known ETF, and it is often included among the top ETFs by AUM and trading volume. SH (Bear) gives inverse exposure to the S&P 500 at a 1:1 ratio.


SSO vs. SDS (2:1 or 2x leverage) - SSO (Bull) aims for a daily S&P 500 return of 2x. SDS (Bear) gives inverse exposure to the S&P 500 by a factor of 2:1.


UPRO vs. SPXU (3:1 or 3x leverage) - UPRO (Bull) aims for a daily S&P 500 return of 3x. SPXU (Bear) offers inverse exposure to the S&P 500 at a 3:1 ratio.


SPY – SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST – DAILY S&P 500 COMPARISON CHART

The figure below shows how the ETFs listed above have performed in comparison to each other during the last 15 months. It should be mentioned that inverse ETFs come with their own set of hazards that traders should be aware of before investing. Compounding risk, derivative securities risk, correlation risk, and short sale exposure risk are some of the hazards associated with inverse ETFs.

KNOWLEDGE, WISDOM, AND APPLICATION ARE NEEDED

It's vital to note that we're not claiming that the market has reached its peak and is now heading down. This post will throw light on several fascinating studies that you should be aware of. We track price simply as technical traders, and once a new trend has been proven, we will adjust our positions appropriately. Our ETF transactions are available to our members, and the past six trades we placed in March have all ended in profit! Our algorithms are constantly monitoring price movements in a wide range of markets, asset classes, and worldwide money flows. As fresh information regarding trends or changes in trends is generated by our models, we will quickly disseminate these signals to our subscribers and those on our trading weekly email list.


When it comes to trading, it's not just about knowing when to purchase or sell stocks or commodities.


When it comes to being a consistently effective trader, money and risk management are crucial. Stop-loss orders, when used correctly, enable to protect your investment money and allow traders to manage their portfolios according to their specified risk boundaries. Scaling out of positions by taking gains and adjusting stop-loss orders to breakeven may also help a trader succeed.

WHAT STRATEGIES CAN HELP YOU NAVIGATE The CURRENT MARKET TRENDS?

Learn how we employ unique methods to find strategic entry and exit locations for trades by understanding market cycles, set-ups, and price target levels in different sectors. We foresee extremely big price fluctuations in the US stock market and other asset classes throughout the world during the next 12 to 24 months. We think the markets have entered a revaluation period as global traders strive to discover the next significant trends, moving away from the sustained central bank support rally. As traders and investors seek safe havens in Metals and other safe havens, precious metals will likely begin to operate as a good hedge.