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A Reuters poll found that 66 out of 74 economists believe the European Central Bank will keep its deposit rate at 2.00% until 2026.On February 12th, the State Financial Regulatory Commission released key regulatory indicators for the banking and insurance sectors in the fourth quarter of 2025. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the balance of non-performing loans (NPLs) of commercial banks was 3.5 trillion yuan, a decrease of 24.1 billion yuan from the end of the previous quarter; the NPL ratio was 1.50%, a decrease of 0.02 percentage points from the end of the previous quarter. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the balance of performing loans of commercial banks was 230.2 trillion yuan, of which the balance of normal loans was 225.1 trillion yuan and the balance of loans under special mention was 5.1 trillion yuan. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the balance of loan loss provisions of commercial banks was 7.2 trillion yuan; the provision coverage ratio was 205.21%, and the loan loss provision ratio was 3.07%.On February 12th, the State Financial Regulatory Commission released key regulatory indicators for the banking and insurance sectors in the fourth quarter of 2025. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the total assets of my countrys banking financial institutions in both local and foreign currencies reached 480 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%. Among them, the total assets of large commercial banks in both local and foreign currencies reached 210.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.8%, accounting for 43.9% of the total; the total assets of joint-stock commercial banks in both local and foreign currencies reached 77.8 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%, accounting for 16.2%. At the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, the total assets of insurance companies and insurance asset management companies reached 41.3 trillion yuan, an increase of 15.1% compared to the beginning of the year. Among them, property insurance companies reached 3.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 7.5% compared to the beginning of the year; life insurance companies reached 36.4 trillion yuan, an increase of 15.4% compared to the beginning of the year; reinsurance companies reached 857.3 billion yuan, an increase of 3.5% compared to the beginning of the year; and insurance asset management companies reached 145.6 billion yuan, an increase of 14% compared to the beginning of the year.Frances energy planning law sets a new target of 70 to 90 terawatt-hours for transport biofuels by 2035.Frances energy planning law sets a target of 35 to 40 gigawatts of new onshore wind power capacity by 2035.

EUR/USD approaches 1.00 despite a potential German energy crisis; Jackson Hole forecasts a pullback

Daniel Rogers

Aug 25, 2022 14:59

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The EUR/USD has detected buying activity after trading sideways at 0.9960 throughout the Tokyo session. As the US dollar index (DXY) trades badly at the open, the pair is climbing to reclaim the fabled 1.0000 level. The DXY has fallen to approximately 108.50 after experiencing selling pressure close to 108.50.

 

The contrasting reactions of market players to Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell's remarks on interest rate guidance at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium have perplexed investors. The DXY is volatile due to two schools of thought regarding the Fed's stance on interest rates following a decline in the private sector.

 

As a result of the Fed's aggressive interest rate rises, PMI numbers have decreased dramatically. As a result, one school of thought contends that the Fed should slow down because a decline in economic activity could hurt the confidence of the private sector. In addition, the second school of thought favors maintaining the existing rate of interest rate hikes, as price stability is the primary objective.

 

On the Eurozone front, the probability of a German energy crisis is rising as the energy-supplying Nord Stream 1 pipeline from the Baltic Sea to Germany undergoes unscheduled maintenance over the last three days of August. During a time when the German energy market is already suffering supply difficulties, new supply constraints may cause energy prices to skyrocket.


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