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On October 16th, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration jointly issued the "Measures for the Supervision of Fair and Open Access to Oil and Gas Pipeline Network Facilities." These measures clearly define how to regulate fair and open access to oil and gas pipeline network facilities. They include a series of arrangements regarding "what to regulate, who will regulate, and how to regulate," providing a strong foundation for deepening regulation of natural monopolies in the oil and gas sector. The measures will take effect on November 1st. Furthermore, the "Measures for the Supervision of Fair and Open Access to Oil and Gas Pipeline Network Facilities" also clarify for the first time the service process for fair and open access to oil and gas pipeline network facilities, standardizing standards for user registration and business acceptance. Information on remaining capacity and operational status of pipeline network facilities must be disclosed in accordance with regulations to ensure both facility information security and user needs.Fitch: Frances pension reform suspension faces the risk of policy reversal after the 2027 general election.On October 16th, Juan Carlos Artigas, Head of Research at the World Gold Council, stated that despite gold having reached 45 all-time highs this year, speculative holdings and net long positions in the futures market have yet to reach historical peaks, indicating that the market is not yet saturated. Furthermore, global central banks are continuing their gold-buying trend, potentially leading to further inflows. Golds safe-haven and inflation-fighting properties remain attractive amidst rising economic uncertainty, making it inappropriate to simply judge market overheating based on short-term gains. The fundamental reason for golds continued rise is the markets search for alternatives to US dollar assets. The previous catalyst was the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which led to increased gold holdings to avoid freezing US dollar assets. The current catalyst is US policy uncertainty and high government debt in developed countries. Overall, some investors are taking a wait-and-see approach due to concerns about a potential correction after entering the market due to the already high gold price. However, long-term macroeconomic support remains.Frances CAC40 index rose 0.7% as French Prime Minister Le Corny survived a no-confidence motion.According to Interfax: The Caspian oil pipeline transported about 54 million tons of crude oil from January to September.

Despite growing chances of BOE-BOJ policy divergence, the GBP/JPY exchange rate is falling toward 162.00

Daniel Rogers

Sep 22, 2022 15:05

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The pound to yen exchange rate has given up the key support level of 162.20 during the Asian session and is now slowly descending toward the 162.00 level. Since breaking down below the consolidation range formed between 162.80-164.47, the asset has been trending downwards. The cross has been trending downwards despite growing expectations of further growth in policy divergence between the Bank of England (BOE) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

 

British households are facing headwinds due to price pressures inside the British economy. The latter is obligatory in order to provide dividends that are adjusted for inflation and yield a net gain of one cent per year. The current state of the labor market, GDP forecasts, and energy costs all argue against a rate hike by the BOE. Although unpleasant, the Governor of the Bank of England (BOE) must bite the bullet and announce a rate increase of 50 basis points (bps).

 

Some of Liz Truss's economic measures, such as her announcement of a reduction in tax brackets, an energy and electricity cost ceiling, and a trade pact with the United States, look to be beneficial to the economy. The pound bulls aren't getting stronger despite this.

 

As a result of the BOJ's reluctance to intervene in the currency market, the Japanese yen has risen on the Tokyo financial scene. It has been reported by Bloomberg news wires that Japan's former vice foreign minister, Tatsuo Yamasaki, has said that the Japanese government is prepared to intervene in the currency markets at any time. The yen doesn't need America's blessing, he said, so the government won't be changing it.

 

Given the continued need to monitor the economy's growth prospects and inflation drivers, it is expected that the BOJ would maintain a "neutral" stance on monetary policy. The policy gap between the BOE and BOJ will widen as a result.