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On April 26, UBS said that the current market thinking is consistent with the banks basic forecast, that is, tariffs will be reduced from the current announced level for the rest of the year, and the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this year. However, as uncertainty in trade, economy and Federal Reserve policy remains high, expected volatility also remains high. However, UBS believes that the US stock market is attractive, and the S&P 500 index target continues to be 5,800 points by the end of the year. UBSs current basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 to 100 basis points this year, but in the short term, the Feds policy flexibility seems more limited because it must balance concerns about economic growth with the risk of inflation recovery.According to AFP: Senior officials said that Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump may meet in Rome.Spokesman for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has arrived in Rome to attend the Popes funeral.According to the Ukrainian National News Agency: Russian troops launched 414 attacks in the Zaporizhia region at night.Market news: Ukrainian President Zelensky and his wife arrived in Rome.

As a result of the Fed's hawkish stance, the AUD/USD has fallen below 0.6600, shifting market focus to PMI data

Alina Haynes

Sep 22, 2022 14:57

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The Australian dollar was trading below the 0.6600 US dollar support level during the Tokyo trading session. As a result of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, the asset is tumbling like a pack of cards (Fed). The two-day downtrend has resumed, and the asset is now trading below the round-number support of 0.6600. The asset is expected to have support close to the 0.65 level.

 

Investors believed the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) for a third time in a row. Volatile hawkish counsel has had an effect on risk-sensitive and commodity-linked currencies. The Fed has put off job growth, economic prospects, the housing market, and demand for durable goods in order to maintain price stability, which is its core goal.

 

The target for maturity rates is 4.6%, which is significantly higher than the previous peak of 3.6%. Because of this, the distribution of loans will be slowed and the market liquidity will decrease. Lenders may also see an increase in their delinquency fees as a result. Since fewer loans are being made available, some companies may delay expansion plans.

 

The financial markets in Australia will be closed on Thursday for National Mourning Day. Accordingly, the performance of the US dollar index will continue to be scrutinized closely (DXY). The S&P Australian PMI data is expected to be issued on Friday, and investors will continue to keep a close eye on it. It is expected that the Manufacturing PMI would rise from 53.8 to 54.0. While we expect the Services PMI to drop from its current 50 to a much more modest 47.7.


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