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While traders focus on US/UK PMI, the GBP/USD establishes a floor around 1.1250

Daniel Rogers

Sep 23, 2022 14:19

截屏2022-09-23 上午9.44.16.png 

 

The GBP/USD pair is displaying a dissatisfying performance after breaking below the important 1.1350 resistance level early in the Asian session. In the run-up to tomorrow's PMIs report, the cable has been trading in a tight range of 1.1250 to 1.1266. At one point in the past, after experiencing intense buying interest close to 1.1200, the asset price rebounded rapidly. After the current corrective drop from 1.1350 ends, the rising trend should resume.

 

The pound bulls' wild volatility increased after the Bank of England's interest rate decision was made public (BOE). Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, recently announced a 50-basis-point (bps) interest rate hike and a new terminal rate of 2.25%. The interest rate is now higher than it was in 2008.

 

However, the UK has not taken an assertive monetary policy approach, so investors should be aware that the economy is facing headwinds from rising pricing pressures. Reasons to keep a level head include the economy's weak foundations, precarious labor market conditions, and a terrible labor market index. Borrowing Cost of Britain (BOE) authorities did not hesitate when boosting interest rates because they were not given any support from domestic economic factors.

 

The S&P Global PMI data for the UK will soon be the most talked about stories in the media. Assuming the latest economic data is as accurate as the previous edition, we should expect to see a rise in Manufacturing PMI to 47.5 from 47.3. In spite of this, the Services PMI is predicted to fall from 50.9 to 50.0.

 

Meanwhile, demand for the US dollar index (DXY) is falling as the Federal Reserve's (Fed) unusually aggressive attitude loses some of its sway. Investors' attention has shifted to the PMI data, which is expected to show a lackluster performance overall. Preliminary estimates place the Manufacturing PMI at a gentle 51.1, while the Service PMI surges sharply to 45.


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