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Hong Kong-listed tech stocks rallied again in late trading, with Meituan (03690.HK) up over 15%, and JD.com (09618.HK) and Alibaba (09988.HK) up over 4%.March 25 – Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian held a regular press conference on March 25. It was reported that Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife will appear again in a U.S. federal court on March 26. A reporter from Venezuelas Southern Television asked at the conference what specific measures China is taking, together with the international community, to ensure the release of Maduro and his wife. Lin Jian stated that the U.S.s forceful control over a head of state clearly violates the purposes and principles of the UN Charter, international law, and the basic norms of international relations. China firmly opposes this. We support Venezuela in safeguarding its sovereignty, dignity, and legitimate rights.Türkiyes Energy Minister: Regional oil dependence is at a manageable level.March 25 – Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian held a regular press conference on March 25. An AFP reporter asked, “According to US media reports, US President Trump stated that he has proposed a peace plan to Iran and expressed optimism about ending the nearly month-long conflict. At the same time, Iran has also announced that it will allow ‘non-hostile’ oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz. What is China’s response to these latest developments?” Lin Jian stated that China is deeply concerned about the continued tension in the Middle East and its impact on regional and international peace and stability. A ceasefire is of paramount importance, and dialogue and negotiation are the way to break the deadlock. We support all efforts conducive to easing tensions, de-escalating tensions, and resuming dialogue.March 25th - Following the lifting of US sanctions, buyers rushed to purchase Russian crude oil, but adopted a more cautious approach to Iranian oil. Earlier this month, the Trump administration temporarily lifted restrictions on Russian and Iranian oil to address soaring energy prices caused by the Middle East wars. However, due to the short duration of the waivers and compliance issues, oil flows are unlikely to return to normal. Ship tracking data shows that approximately 18 oil tankers east of the Suez Canal, carrying about 13.5 million barrels of Russian crude oil, may be available for purchase. This is a decrease from the 25 tankers carrying approximately 19 million barrels of crude oil nearly two weeks ago. In contrast, according to data from Vortexa Ltd., since Iran received its waiver last Friday, its crude oil inventory in floating storage facilities has remained relatively stable at around 27 million barrels. Floating storage typically refers to oil tankers that remain idle at sea for at least a week. Vandana Hari, founder of Singapore-based consulting firm Vanda Insights, said: “I expect that countries will be more hesitant to buy Iranian oil than Russian oil if they receive a US waiver. Iranian oil may have quality issues and there are questions about the payment mechanism, while Russian oil does not have these problems.”

Canadian Dollar Outlook: CAD Extends Rally After Yesterday’s BoC Decision

Cory Russell

Apr 15, 2022 10:55

USD/CAD FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP

The USD/CAD exchange rate began lower this morning as a result of lower US Treasury rates (a lower expectation for US inflation) and a weaker dollar. The Bank of Canada's (BoC) 50 basis point rate boost yesterday spurred a CAD surge, clawing back recent losses. In the long run, though, I prefer the dollar because I don't believe the Canadian economy can keep up with the Fed's aggressive policy. As we go through the rightening cycle, the dollar should strengthen versus the loonie.


Crude oil prices are still high, but their impact on the USD/CAD has lessened since the US is now a net crude oil producer. This can be seen in the USD/CAD price movement, where the CAD has been relatively quiet in comparison to prior crude oil price increases.


We have a couple option expiries for the New York cut later today (see details below). As the cut approaches, prices on huge expiries tend to approach the strike price. USD/CAD is now slightly higher than the below strikes, suggesting a move down later in the day.


1.2550 (289M) USD/CAD, 1.2560-70 USD/CAD (923M)


USD/CAD ECONOMIC CALENDAR As we move into the Easter weekend, retail sales and consumer confidence in the United States will round off the week, while Canadian inflation will take center stage next week.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

USD/CAD seems to be headed for a retest of the psychological support level of 1.2500, which is part of a building bear flag. This gloomy prognosis is definitely plausible in the short term, but as I have said, USD upside is my favored strategy after Q2.

IG CLIENT SENTIMENT DATA: MIXED

Retail traders are now significantly LONG on USD/CAD, according to IGCS, with 62 percent of traders holding long bets (as of this writing).