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July 6th - Oil prices fell as OPEC+ decided to increase production again. Following an online meeting on Sunday, the organization announced it would increase production by approximately 188,000 barrels per day in August, marking the fifth consecutive month of increases. However, analysts at ANZ Bank Research stated in a report, "Even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens, member countries may find it difficult to utilize this additional capacity due to ongoing risks to vessels." The analysts noted, "Over the weekend, several vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz along the Oman route were observed suddenly turning back."According to the Wall Street Journal, NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman flew a vintage fighter jet to the Washington Air Show despite objections from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Isaacman had invited White House officials, including Treasury Secretary Bessenter, White House Deputy Chief of Staff Dan Scavino, and Trump senior advisor Chris Lacivita, to ride with him, but these arrangements were ultimately canceled.Key Events and Data Preview for This Week – Fed Meeting Minutes; Chinas June CPI and June Foreign Exchange Reserves; SK Hynix ADR Makes its US Stock Market Debut 1. Monday: ① Data: Switzerlands June seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones July Sentix Investor Confidence Index, Eurozones May PPI (MoM), Eurozones May Retail Sales (MoM); US June S&P Global Services PMI (Final), US June ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, US June Global Supply Chain Stress Index. ② Events: Speeches by Fed Governor Waller, ECB Executive Board Member Schnabel, ECB Governing Council Member Winsch, and Swedish Central Bank Deputy Governor Seim. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Germanys May seasonally adjusted industrial production (MoM); UKs June Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index (MoM); Frances May trade balance; US ADP employment change for the week ending June 20, US May trade balance; Chinas June foreign exchange reserves. ② Events: Turkey hosts the NATO summit until July 8; the Office of the United States Trade Representative holds a public hearing to consider a proposal to impose additional tariffs on 60 economies worldwide. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; Japans May trade balance; New Zealands Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision for July 8; US May wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventories for the week ending July 3. ② Events: EIA releases its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman holds a monetary policy press conference. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (ending July 8) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (ending July 8) - bid-to-cover ratio; Chinas June CPI year-on-year rate; Germanys May seasonally adjusted trade balance; US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 4; US June existing home sales (annualized); US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending July 3. ② Events: Federal Reserve releases monetary policy meeting minutes; European Central Bank releases June monetary policy meeting minutes; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams speaks. 5. Friday: ① Data: Germanys final June CPI month-on-month rate; Frances final June CPI month-on-month rate; Switzerlands June consumer confidence index; Canadas June employment change; Chinas June M2 money supply year-on-year rate. ② Events: SK Hynixs American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are tentatively scheduled to list on Nasdaq on July 10; 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan speaks; IEA releases monthly oil market report. ③ Holiday: The New Zealand Stock Exchange is closed for one day. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of oil rigs in the United States for the week ending July 10.An advisor to the Ukrainian Interior Minister stated that approximately 15 explosions occurred in Kyiv within 10 minutes. Air raid sirens are still in effect. There is a possibility of cruise missile and further ballistic missile attacks.On July 6, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on July 5 that he will continue to oppose Irans nuclear program regardless of whether the United States and Iran reach an agreement. He said that in order to defend Israels fundamental interests, the Israeli government will never allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons.

Before Fed Hints And A Flood of U.S. Data, Gold's Early-year Rally Fizzles

Haiden Holmes

Jan 18, 2023 11:21

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The yellow metal held below a level not seen in eight months on Wednesday as markets remained cautious ahead of a flurry of Federal Reserve speakers and U.S. economic data due this week.


Despite the fact that projections of a less aggressive Federal Reserve and the possibility of a recession have spurred strong gains in gold over the past two weeks, traders are still looking for further confirmation of this trend. This week, several Fed officials are expected to appear, with Vice Chair Lael Brainard on Thursday being the most notable.


Numerous U.S. economic metrics will also shed insight on the performance of the world's largest economy in December, beginning with producer price index inflation, retail sales, and industrial output data expected Wednesday evening.


Spot gold remained constant at $1,908.74 per ounce at 19:19 EDT, while gold futures rose 0.1% to $1,911.30 per ounce (00:19 GMT). Tuesday saw declines of 0.5% for both assets.


Last week, gold climbed sharply to a more than eight-month high on the strength of a falling dollar and growing concerns of a recession this year. The yellow metal is presently trading almost $160 behind its all-time high due to an increase in wages that the Federal Reserve would hike interest rates at a slower pace this year.


This week, the dollar rebounded from a seven-month low against a basket of currencies, regaining some momentum. As traders awaited a Bank of Japan policy meeting slated for later in the day, dollar gains were limited.


Given that the BOJ's ultra-loose monetary policy tightening portends greater global economic headwinds, any signals of hawkishness from the central bank might shock the dollar and provide extra support for gold.


Other precious metals maintained tight ranges on Wednesday.


In response to signs of economic strength in China, the world's largest copper importer, copper prices dropped significantly on Wednesday.


Futures for high-grade copper fell 0.2% to $4.2272 a pound after gaining over 2% in the prior session.


According to figures released Tuesday, China's economic growth slowed sharply in 2022 compared to the previous year. However, better-than-expected growth in the fourth quarter, particularly in December, has fuelled optimism that the nation will enjoy a resurgence this year following the lifting of the majority of anti-COVID measures.