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February 20th - US core PCE inflation rose more than expected in December, and various signs indicate that inflation will accelerate further in January, reinforcing market expectations that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates before June. Data released Friday by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that, excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core PCE index rose 0.4% month-over-month in December, compared to economists forecasts of a 0.3% increase. The core PCE inflation rate rose 3.0% year-over-year, compared to 2.8% in November. Core PCE is one of the Federal Reserves most favored indicators. This data is included in the fourth-quarter GDP forecast report released Friday. Although the US Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report released last week showed a moderate increase in Januarys CPI, inflation in the service sector still exhibits some lag. Economists also noted a surge in legal services prices in January.February 20th - U.S. economic growth lagged behind expectations at the end of last year, dragged down by a record government shutdown, weak consumer spending, and trade. According to preliminary estimates released by the U.S. government on Friday, the annualized growth rate of gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter, adjusted for inflation, was 1.4%, down from 4.4% in the previous quarter. Data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the overall economy grew by 2.2% last year. The weak economic performance fell short of all expectations in a Bloomberg survey of economists, as the U.S. government was shut down for nearly half of the three-month period during the quarter. The Bureau of Economic Analysis stated that the government shutdown reduced GDP by about one percentage point. Despite the slowdown at the end of the year, these figures still marked a solid year for the U.S. economy. The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter due to a surge in imports before tariffs took effect, but subsequently achieved one of its strongest growth rates in years. This turnaround was thanks to Trumps abandonment of the toughest tariffs and the Federal Reserves interest rate cuts, which propelled the stock market to record highs and enabled wealthy Americans to continue spending.February 20th - The U.S. economy slowed in the fourth quarter of last year, impacted by the record government shutdown and slowing consumer spending. Data released Friday by the Commerce Department showed that, after seasonal and inflation adjustments, the annualized growth rate of U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) in the fourth quarter was 1.4%. Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected a figure of 2.5%. The fourth-quarter growth rate was a significant slowdown from the astonishing 4.4% growth rate seen in the summer. Federal government spending fell by 16.6% in the fourth quarter.German Finance Minister Klingbeer on ECB President Lagardes term: This is just speculation, and I will not participate in speculation.Following the release of the latest economic data, U.S. short-term interest rate futures showed little change; traders continue to bet that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in June.

Egypt Will Sell Discounted Bread to Combat Inflation

Skylar Williams

Jan 17, 2023 11:16

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The Egyptian government will begin selling inexpensive bread to those who are not enrolled in its bread subsidy program, the minister of supply stated on Monday.


Ali Moselhy claimed that customers will be able to purchase 90g loaves at cost using prepaid cards beginning on Wednesday for a trial period. The price has not yet been established, but it will be less than one Egyptian pound ($0.03)


"The goal is to make this essential ingredient accessible without requiring exorbitant profit margins from commercial bakeries," he explained.


More than 70 million of Egypt's 104 million citizens currently receive substantial government bread subsidies. Plans to modify the subsidies have been postponed since the conflict in Ukraine has exacerbated the foreign currency deficit and inflation.


The most recent decision, according to Moselhy, might increase government bread sales by up to 10 percent.


Uncertain if this would require the General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) to increase grain imports. Separately, Moselhy claimed that with the recent receipt of funds from the World Bank, GASC would "present proposals weekly, God willing."


Egypt is one of the world's largest wheat importers, but in recent months, private sector importers and mills have struggled to pay for hundreds of thousands of tonnes of wheat stranded in ports, causing bread and flour costs to skyrocket.


Since March 2021, when the government was negotiating a $3 billion financial rescue package with the International Monetary Fund, inflation has reached five-year highs and the currency has lost over half of its value.


In an effort to reduce internal trade barriers, GASC has already begun selling flour to private mills and around 300,000 tonnes of wheat through a newly created commodities market.


Moselhy claimed that grain will also be made available on the exchange to alleviate a feed shortfall that led some farmers to butcher chickens. His statements follow GASC's announcement on Sunday of an unusual solicitation for yellow corn.


Moselhy stated that Egypt planned to acquire about 4 million tonnes of wheat during its local harvest season, which begins in April. In the prior year, the government acquired 4.2 million tonnes.