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On August 16th, ahead of Nvidias (NVDA.O) highly anticipated $500 billion financing deal this week, investors were already concerned about approximately $70 billion in "shadow liabilities" that werent on the balance sheets of major AI companies but could surface in the worst-case scenario. With Nvidias latest move, the company may be providing tens of billions of dollars in so-called "residual value support" for debt transactions related to AI infrastructure development—essentially using its high credit rating to help control customers financing costs. With computing power demand surging, such guarantees are practically a "free lunch" for giants like Nvidia and Broadcom: they can expand sales to customers and AI companies without having to include the related debt on their balance sheets. These arrangements typically involve multiple stages: a special purpose entity borrows to purchase chips, the loan supported by cash flow generated from contracts with companies that will use the technology in the future. If the company stops making payments, the assets are re-leased or sold to repay the remaining debt. If a funding gap still exists, the guarantor makes up the difference. Theoretically, this process carries extremely low risk. However, some havent fully grasped this logic. DoubleLine portfolio manager Mariya Entina stated, "Its like playing the rules; youre trying to get special treatment from rating agencies to get the highest possible rating. Were entering an era of financial engineering. Thats one of my concerns: when financial engineering prevails, the true financial situation gets obscured."According to The Information, Nvidia (NVDA.O) is in talks to invest $3 billion in SB Energy as part of the OpenAI data center deal.According to Al Arabiya TV, local authorities in Marib stated that Houthi rebels fired four ballistic missiles and four drones at residential areas.The Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that Qatar invited an Iranian delegation to visit Qatar in April to receive a detailed briefing on the search and rescue operation, but Iran has not yet responded to the invitation.Qatars Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Search and rescue teams have found the remains of an Iranian pilot and have contacted Iran to discuss the handover.

At 1.2100, Bulls in the GBP/USD Market Are Challenging Bear Commitments

Alina Haynes

Mar 13, 2023 11:48

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GBP / USD is 0.33 percent higher after the pair rose from a low of 1.2063 to a high of 1.2103, its largest gain since January 6 as the US Dollar largely weakens following Friday's US employment report.

 

The markets have reduced their bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates as aggressively despite the rise in the unemployment rate and signs of wage inflation moderating. The United States added 311,000 positions in February and the unemployment rate increased to 3.6%. Reuters polled economists, who predicted that the United States would have added 205,000 jobs last month and that the unemployment rate would remain unchanged at 3.4%. After gaining 0.3% in January, average hourly earnings increased 0.2% in February, which was less than the 0.3% increase anticipated.

 

In addition, the United Kingdom's economy grew faster than expected in January, easing concerns about a recession. Following a 0.5% decline in December, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the British economy grew 0.3% month-over-month in January. A survey of economists conducted by Reuters indicated growth of 0.1%.

 

The bankruptcy of SVB Financial Group is the largest bank failure since the financial crisis. However, the Biden administration guaranteed on Sunday that all Silicon Valley Bank customers will have access to their funds on Monday. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and FDIC Chairman Martin J. Gruenberg announced in a joint statement on Sunday that the FDIC will compensate SVB and Signature's customers in full.

 

The imminent schedule is jam-packed with US consumer Price Index and UK labor market data. As official data continues to catch up to high-frequency indicators, analysts at TD Securities anticipate that the labor market will deteriorate in January, with the unemployment rate increasing and wage growth diminishing. Following last month's upside surprise, the Bank of England will be particularly pleased to see wage growth slow. The release of the US CPI later in the day may result in a muted market reaction, barring a significant surprise.

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