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Malaysias Ministry of Trade: Not considering retaliatory tariffs.Vishnu Varathan, head of macro research for Asia (excluding Japan) at Mizuho Securities, said on April 3 that U.S. reciprocal tariffs may continue to be a source of economic headwinds. These tariffs may also "inadvertently intensify and increase vulnerability to adverse demand shocks." Varathan said: "Asia has been particularly hard hit, especially in Cambodia, Vietnam, Thailand and Indonesia." In addition, South Korea, Japan, India and the European Union have not been spared, while the United Kingdom, Australia and Singapore have been the least affected. Varathan added that, therefore, the pressure on Asian currencies, except for Japan, may continue.On April 3, the Wall Street Journal reported that German automaker Volkswagen will impose an "import fee" on cars affected by US President Trumps 25% tariff. The report cited a memo sent to retailers saying that Volkswagen has temporarily stopped rail transportation from Mexico and will temporarily keep cars arriving by ship from Europe at the port. According to the agencys analysis of tariff codes contained in the Federal Register, Trumps 25% auto tariff will cover more than $460 billion worth of auto and auto parts imports each year. According to the report, Volkswagen told its dealers that it will provide more details on the pricing strategy for cars affected by tariffs by mid-April and plans to start distributing the cars to stores by the end of the month.European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: The global economy is expected to suffer significant losses. Uncertainty will rise sharply and trigger new protectionism.European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen: Europe will stand on the side of those countries directly affected.

At 1.2100, Bulls in the GBP/USD Market Are Challenging Bear Commitments

Alina Haynes

Mar 13, 2023 11:48

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GBP / USD is 0.33 percent higher after the pair rose from a low of 1.2063 to a high of 1.2103, its largest gain since January 6 as the US Dollar largely weakens following Friday's US employment report.

 

The markets have reduced their bets that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates as aggressively despite the rise in the unemployment rate and signs of wage inflation moderating. The United States added 311,000 positions in February and the unemployment rate increased to 3.6%. Reuters polled economists, who predicted that the United States would have added 205,000 jobs last month and that the unemployment rate would remain unchanged at 3.4%. After gaining 0.3% in January, average hourly earnings increased 0.2% in February, which was less than the 0.3% increase anticipated.

 

In addition, the United Kingdom's economy grew faster than expected in January, easing concerns about a recession. Following a 0.5% decline in December, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that the British economy grew 0.3% month-over-month in January. A survey of economists conducted by Reuters indicated growth of 0.1%.

 

The bankruptcy of SVB Financial Group is the largest bank failure since the financial crisis. However, the Biden administration guaranteed on Sunday that all Silicon Valley Bank customers will have access to their funds on Monday. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and FDIC Chairman Martin J. Gruenberg announced in a joint statement on Sunday that the FDIC will compensate SVB and Signature's customers in full.

 

The imminent schedule is jam-packed with US consumer Price Index and UK labor market data. As official data continues to catch up to high-frequency indicators, analysts at TD Securities anticipate that the labor market will deteriorate in January, with the unemployment rate increasing and wage growth diminishing. Following last month's upside surprise, the Bank of England will be particularly pleased to see wage growth slow. The release of the US CPI later in the day may result in a muted market reaction, barring a significant surprise.

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