• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
The head of Irans Energy Optimization Organization stated that, as part of three ongoing proposals to manage Irans gasoline supply, Iran is considering a proposal to allocate 30 liters of gasoline per person per month, with the quota being transferable and tradable.August 16th - Next week, UK consumer prices will be the focus of media attention, while the shortage of AI-powered memory chips and rising energy costs are keeping the Bank of England on high alert. Data to be released on Wednesday is expected to show inflation accelerating for the first time in four months, with a survey of economists showing a median forecast of a 2.9% jump in July. This marks the beginning of an upward trend expected to continue into the second half of the year, ending a period of positive news regarding price pressures. As the impact of the Iran war on prices becomes increasingly apparent – especially given the still strong economic performance – this data could further unsettle Bank of England policymakers. While the inflation outlook is largely dependent on developments in the Middle East, artificial intelligence is emerging as a potential "dark horse." The Bank of England has warned that the rapid expansion of AI computing power is driving up the cost of memory chips used in mobile phones, laptops, and game consoles. Data from the British Retail Consortium in July indicates that rising chip costs are being passed on to the prices of electronic products.OpenAI Codex Product Manager: Let Sol manage a high-performing team of Luna agents for you. These models know each other very well and can work together to achieve goals with amazing speed and efficiency.Market sources say that some units at the Libyan power company have stopped operating after the explosion.On August 16th, ahead of Nvidias (NVDA.O) highly anticipated $500 billion financing deal this week, investors were already concerned about approximately $70 billion in "shadow liabilities" that werent on the balance sheets of major AI companies but could surface in the worst-case scenario. With Nvidias latest move, the company may be providing tens of billions of dollars in so-called "residual value support" for debt transactions related to AI infrastructure development—essentially using its high credit rating to help control customers financing costs. With computing power demand surging, such guarantees are practically a "free lunch" for giants like Nvidia and Broadcom: they can expand sales to customers and AI companies without having to include the related debt on their balance sheets. These arrangements typically involve multiple stages: a special purpose entity borrows to purchase chips, the loan supported by cash flow generated from contracts with companies that will use the technology in the future. If the company stops making payments, the assets are re-leased or sold to repay the remaining debt. If a funding gap still exists, the guarantor makes up the difference. Theoretically, this process carries extremely low risk. However, some havent fully grasped this logic. DoubleLine portfolio manager Mariya Entina stated, "Its like playing the rules; youre trying to get special treatment from rating agencies to get the highest possible rating. Were entering an era of financial engineering. Thats one of my concerns: when financial engineering prevails, the true financial situation gets obscured."

USD / JPY fluctuates above 133.00, and a decline appears likely as the Fed continues its gradual rate hikes

Daniel Rogers

Mar 14, 2023 14:07

 USD:JPY.png

 

The USD / JPY currency pair is fluctuating above 133.00 during the Asian session. The asset has recovered from 132.50 but is unable to extend gains due to the lack of strength in the US Dollar Index (DXY) following the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) debacle. The loss of market participants' confidence in the United States banking system has drastically diminished the appeal of safe-haven assets.

 

Futures for the S&P 500 have recovered a portion of Monday's losses, indicating a slight improvement in market sentiment. The USD Index is attempting to reclaim the immediate resistance level of 103.80, but the upside appears constrained due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue its modest rate increase cycle (Fed). The USD Index has been impacted by the market's reduction of 50 basis points (bps) in expected rate increases.

 

In the meantime, the demand for U.S. government bonds is declining, which may indicate a transition away from safe-haven assets. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds has risen above 3.56 percent.

 

Tuesday's release of United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data would be a major market mover. Analysts at Wells Fargo anticipate "another 0.4% monthly increase in the aggregate CPI in February, bringing the annual rate to 6.0%." We still anticipate a decline in inflation, but the process is likely to be irregular and lengthy. Despite some direction improvement over the past few quarters, prices continue to rise well above the Fed's 2% objective, and the constrained labor market suggests that inflationary pressures may prevent a full return to 2%.

 

Hirokazu Matsuno, the chief cabinet secretary of Japan, stated on Monday that they do not anticipate the SVB fallout to have a significant impact on the country's financial institutions. He added, "Japan's financial institutions have adequate liquidity and capital base overall."

 

The minutes of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) most recent monetary policy meeting, which was conducted by former BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, will be attentively examined going forward.