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Hang Seng Index futures closed up 0.71% at 24,829 points in overnight trading, a premium of 148 points.On July 16th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Ghalibaf issued a statement on the latest developments regarding the war and the domestic situation on the evening of the 15th local time. Ghalibaf stated that Iran has never welcomed war, but in order to safeguard national security and interests, it must be prepared for battle at all times and must exert every effort. Ghalibaf pointed out that Iran should also utilize diplomatic and negotiating means to achieve and consolidate its national interests. Ghalibaf stated that a memorandum of understanding is only meaningful if all its provisions are valid and being implemented. If Iran cannot benefit from a memorandum of understanding, there is no reason to abide by it. Ghalibaf stated that everyone in Iran has a responsibility to make efforts, according to the Supreme Leaders instructions, for war, diplomacy, or both.July 16 – Three U.S. officials stated that the recent series of U.S. strikes against Iran were aimed at forcing it to open the Strait of Hormuz, and also at targeting Irans military capabilities, which the U.S. hopes to destroy before undertaking more complex operations against Iran. The recent strikes have effectively enhanced Trumps additional military options. The U.S. military stated that its latest airstrikes targeted Iranian air defense systems, coastal radar stations, missile and drone bases, as well as small vessels and other maritime assets. One U.S. official stated that these strikes can be seen as "shaping operations," weakening Irans defense capabilities to allow for more intensive U.S. military operations in the future. "This helps lay the groundwork for necessary follow-up work," the official said.Three U.S. officials said the recent U.S. strikes against Iran are increasing the U.S.s options for further escalation.July 16th - According to CBS, the U.S. Department of Defense recently assessed military action options against Cuba, including a large-scale air assault option carried out by the 101st Airborne Division. Sources familiar with the matter stated that these discussions do not indicate that the Trump administration has decided to take action. Currently, a large portion of U.S. military resources are concentrated in the Middle East, limiting the likelihood of action against Cuba. The U.S. has indicated it still prefers to push for reforms in Cuba through diplomatic and economic pressure. The Pentagon responded that it would not comment on hypothetical military action.

As the Fed confirms the disinflationary process, the USD/CAD exchange rate may fall to 1.3250

Alina Haynes

Feb 02, 2023 16:05

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The USD/CAD pair resumed its two-day losing run after slipping below 1.3270 in Asia. Following two days of declining US inflation, the Canadian dollar fell on Wednesday.

 

The US Manufacturing PMI (Jan) dropped for a third consecutive month to 47.4, below the consensus estimate of 48.0 and the prior reading of 48.4. The Index of New Orders for Manufactured Goods, which indicates future demand, decreased to 42.5 from 46.1 and 45.1. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated in his comments that consumer spending has slowed significantly and that the central bank will now focus on labor cost balance. The US Employment Cost Index (Q4) fell by 1%.

 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have decreased for three consecutive months, while economic activity and consumer spending have slowed, signaling deflation. Powell stated, "Can now for the first time announce, 'The disinflationary process has begun.'"

 

The market participants' risk appetite has raised the demand for risky assets. After a solid performance on Wednesday, S&P500 futures increased in the Asian morning. The US Dollar Index (DXY) found limits following a decline to about 100.80 amid risk-on market mood. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries has surpassed 3.41 percent.

 

Monthly GDP (Nov) data for the Canadian dollar were 0.1%, above the consensus forecast of flat. Since the Bank of Canada (BoC) ceased policy tightening after increasing interest rates to 4.50 percent, the Canadian economy has not declined on a monthly basis.

 

After plunging to nearly $76, the price of oil is recovering. Black gold dipped on Wednesday after the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported 4.14 million oil inventories for the week ending January 27. Because Canada is a major oil exporter to the United States, lower oil prices influence the Canadian Dollar.


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