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Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Yoji Muto: We will strongly request the United States to exempt Japan from tariff measures and set up a special working group to provide information and grasp the impact.Japanese Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry Yoji Muto: The content of (US tariffs) needs to be analyzed and the impact on the Japanese economy examined.Japanese Economy, Trade and Industry Minister Yoji Muto: We have told the United States that the new tariff announcement is "extremely regrettable."On April 3, Kimberly Clausing, a former Biden administration official and nonresident senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, called Trumps tariff announcement on Wednesday "very stubborn and much worse than I expected." "I expected things to be bad, but I didnt expect this level of self-harm. Its shocking that anyone thought this was a good idea. Id be shocked if we can get through this without a recession and Trump doesnt have to reverse his policies."On April 3, some economists worry that if Trump does not quickly cancel the latest round of tariffs, it may push the US economy into a recession. "If the US government implements these higher tariffs without major exemptions, it will be difficult for the economy to digest this. A recession seems more likely." said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moodys Analytics. Zandi said, "In many ways, the tariffs announced by Trump are even worse than the worst case scenario he envisioned. If they stick to it, I will buckle up and prepare for the impact." Zandi added that on a static basis, tariffs account for nearly 2% of GDP (not considering the impact of tariffs on the economy and taxes), which makes this round of tariffs the largest tax increase since the tax increase used to finance the war during World War II.

AUD/USD Falls Toward 0.7000 as Weak China Data Increases RBA and Fed Concerns

Daniel Rogers

Feb 01, 2023 15:36

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AUD/USD accepts offers to re-establish intraday low at 0.7040 as market nervousness deepens ahead of Wednesday morning's critical Fed announcement. The Chinese activity statistics provided by the industry group may support the retreat moves.

 

However, China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI rose from 49.0 to 49.2, falling shy of market estimates of 49.5. Additionally, the sixth consecutive month of readings below 50 reinforces the negative outlook on Australia's largest consumer.

 

The head of the RBA's Economic Analysis Department, Marion Kohler, stated elsewhere that the bank expects inflation to peak in the fourth quarter of 2022. In contrast, the Wall Street Journal's James Glynn projected that the RBA will deliver a series of rate hikes and retain its aggressive stance at the monetary policy meeting next week.

 

Despite fading inflation fears and persistent recession worries, traders are preparing for today's critical Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting. Despite recent poor inflation numbers, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish approach and readiness to defend quick rate hikes make today's Fed meeting intriguing.

 

In this scenario, S&P 500 Futures register moderate losses, while US Treasury bond yields remain sluggish and arrest their slide from yesterday. The US Dollar Index (DXY) receives bids near 102.15 in an attempt to recoup Tuesday's losses.