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British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves and the Science Secretary will hold a roundtable meeting with telecommunications industry executives.On November 27th, Russian President Vladimir Putin stated on Thursday that the outline of the draft peace plan discussed between the United States and Ukraine could form the basis for a future agreement to end the conflict in Ukraine, but if not, Russia will continue fighting. Putin said, "Generally speaking, we agree that this can serve as the basis for a future agreement." He added that the version of the plan discussed by the US and Ukraine in Geneva has been submitted to Russia. Putin stated that the US is considering Russias position, but some issues still need to be discussed. He also stated that Russia is willing to provide guarantees of non-aggression if Europe desires them. "The fighting will only stop when the Ukrainian army withdraws from the areas they occupy. If they do not withdraw, we will force them to withdraw. Thats it." Putin also stated that the Russian army is accelerating its advance in Ukraine. Meanwhile, Putin stated that he believes the Ukrainian leadership is illegitimate, therefore a legally improbable agreement with Ukraine is impossible, and any agreement must be recognized by the international community, which must acknowledge Russias achievements in Ukraine. Putin also refuted claims that US Special Envoy Witkov showed favoritism towards Moscow in the Ukrainian peace negotiations, calling them nonsense.The commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army stated that Russia had to deploy reserves during its operations in Pokrovsk.A senior aide to the Ukrainian president said that the work of the Ukrainian and U.S. delegations on the peace plan will continue this weekend.German Chancellor Merz: Even after a peace agreement is reached, Ukraine will still need a strong armed force and security guarantees.

USD/CHF Continues Fed-Induced Declines Toward 0.9020 Support; Central Banks and US NFP in Focus

Daniel Rogers

Feb 02, 2023 16:13

During Thursday's Asian session, USD/CHF remained depressed at the lowest levels since August 2021 as bears enjoy a three-day slump near 0.9065. The Swiss Franc (CHF) pair extends its losses triggered by the US Federal Reserve as market participants expect the main central bank decision and January employment statistics.

 

The USD/CHF retested a multi-day low the day before in response to dismal US data and the Fed's dovish rate hike.

 

Despite the fact that the Fed matched market expectations by raising the benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points, the statement that inflation "has eased but remains high" impacted on the U.S. currency.

 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's statement that "We may pronounce that a deflationary process has begun" contributed to the depreciation of the US usd. In addition, the policymaker acknowledges the need for a rate cut by the end of 2023 if inflation decreases much faster than projected. Powell of the Federal Reserve stated that a couple more rate hikes are still required to achieve this.

 

Elsewhere, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to its lowest level since June 2020, reaching 47.4 in January compared to the forecasted 48.0 and the prior reading of 48. In addition, the ADP Employment Change dropped to a one-year low with 106K, compared to the 178K market forecast and the upwardly revised previous figure of 253K. In contrast, the number of JOLTS Job Openings grew to 11.01 million in December, exceeding both the average estimate of 10.25 million and the previous figure of 10.44 million.

 

Wall Street soared against this backdrop as 10-year US Treasury yields fell the most in two weeks. Note that benchmark interest rates are licking their wounds near 3.41 percent, while S&P 500 Futures are showing slight increases as of press time.

 

Prior to the monetary policy meetings of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England, USD/CHF traders should pay attention to market movements affected by these central banks (BoE). However, significant attention should be paid to Friday's US Employment report. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which is expected to decline to 185K from 223K earlier, will be an important indicator to track.