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The Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government stated that there is currently no oil available for export due to attacks on energy facilities by illegal militia groups.The Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government: The Iraqi Ministry of Oil accused the Kurdistan region of "misleading public opinion."Authorities in the Iraqi Kurdistan region issued a statement in response to accusations by the Iraqi government that it was blocking crude oil pipelines from being transported through the region.On March 15th, the International Energy Agency (IEA) issued a statement after receiving implementation plans from member countries. The agency stated that the record-breaking oil release from reserves will be immediately deployed in Asia as Asian buyers rush to fill supply gaps disrupted by the Middle East conflict. Oil destined for Europe and the Americas will not be released until the end of March. Last week, the IEA stated that the global oil market is facing its worst supply disruption in history due to the Middle East conflict effectively blocking the crucial Strait of Hormuz. Asian buyers are most reliant on oil supplies from the Middle East, making the speed of reserve releases particularly critical for the region. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol stated on the X platform: “This will release an unprecedented amount of additional oil into the market starting March 16th. However, opening the Strait of Hormuz is crucial for restoring stable oil flows.” Globally, approximately 72% of the currently committed oil release is crude oil, and 28% is petroleum products. The committed release volumes from various countries are shown in the figure below.On March 15, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, met with Le Hoai Trung, member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of Vietnam Central Committee and Foreign Minister, in Hanoi. Wang Yi stated that both China and Vietnam are important emerging economies, and their development and revitalization represent the direction of human progress and will provide valuable lessons and new paths for developing countries. China is willing to work with Vietnam to focus on the overall goal of "six more" (more people, more opportunities, more opportunities, more opportunities), strengthen high-level exchanges, deepen pragmatic cooperation, promote people-to-people exchanges, enhance multilateral cooperation, properly handle maritime issues, and support each other in hosting APEC in the next two years to further advance the building of the Asia-Pacific Community.

USD/CHF Continues Fed-Induced Declines Toward 0.9020 Support; Central Banks and US NFP in Focus

Daniel Rogers

Feb 02, 2023 16:13

During Thursday's Asian session, USD/CHF remained depressed at the lowest levels since August 2021 as bears enjoy a three-day slump near 0.9065. The Swiss Franc (CHF) pair extends its losses triggered by the US Federal Reserve as market participants expect the main central bank decision and January employment statistics.

 

The USD/CHF retested a multi-day low the day before in response to dismal US data and the Fed's dovish rate hike.

 

Despite the fact that the Fed matched market expectations by raising the benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points, the statement that inflation "has eased but remains high" impacted on the U.S. currency.

 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's statement that "We may pronounce that a deflationary process has begun" contributed to the depreciation of the US usd. In addition, the policymaker acknowledges the need for a rate cut by the end of 2023 if inflation decreases much faster than projected. Powell of the Federal Reserve stated that a couple more rate hikes are still required to achieve this.

 

Elsewhere, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to its lowest level since June 2020, reaching 47.4 in January compared to the forecasted 48.0 and the prior reading of 48. In addition, the ADP Employment Change dropped to a one-year low with 106K, compared to the 178K market forecast and the upwardly revised previous figure of 253K. In contrast, the number of JOLTS Job Openings grew to 11.01 million in December, exceeding both the average estimate of 10.25 million and the previous figure of 10.44 million.

 

Wall Street soared against this backdrop as 10-year US Treasury yields fell the most in two weeks. Note that benchmark interest rates are licking their wounds near 3.41 percent, while S&P 500 Futures are showing slight increases as of press time.

 

Prior to the monetary policy meetings of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England, USD/CHF traders should pay attention to market movements affected by these central banks (BoE). However, significant attention should be paid to Friday's US Employment report. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), which is expected to decline to 185K from 223K earlier, will be an important indicator to track.


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