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November 11 - Local time on the 11th, the general election for the Iraqi National Assembly officially began, with voting lasting from 7:00 am to 6:00 pm.On November 11th, ING stated that among Asian high-yield currencies, the Indian rupee has the greatest appreciation potential next year. The bank pointed out that a trade agreement between India and the United States could drive a rebound in the rupee, which has significantly underperformed its peers this year. In a report dated November 10th, ING economists, including Deepali Bhargava, predicted that the Indian rupee would appreciate to 87 rupees to the US dollar by the end of 2026, an increase of approximately 2% from current levels. The bank believes that based on real effective exchange rate calculations, the rupee is currently trading below its fair value and is one of the Asian currencies with the greatest potential for appreciation. The economists stated, "If trade negotiations turn in a favorable direction, the Indian rupee could achieve a substantial reversal. India remains a top performer among high-yield economies: solid fundamentals, manageable fiscal risks, and continued investment attraction through supply chain diversification."November 11th - According to the Financial Times, two prominent think tanks and the German central bank recently issued warnings about the use of new German borrowing. Economists have accused Chancellor Merz of diverting billions of euros in new debt originally intended for defense and infrastructure investment to increase welfare spending and other recurring expenditures. The German central bank and two economic think tanks pointed out that a significant portion of the governments planned new borrowing may be used in areas that should be covered by the regular budget—including tax cuts and subsidies. After winning the federal election in February, Merz reached a landmark agreement with the Social Democratic Party and the Green Party, loosening constitutional borrowing restrictions on infrastructure and defense spending. The new rules open the door to up to €1 trillion in new investment in these two sectors over the next decade, which is expected to boost GDP growth that has stagnated for four years. Tobias Henze, an economist at the German Institute for Economic Research, said, "This budget trick could damage Germanys future competitiveness."S&P 500 futures turned lower, Nasdaq futures fell 0.14%, and Dow futures rose slightly by 0.06%.November 11th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures prices fluctuated around the previous trading days intraday level. The market attempted to improve its performance after a bullish overlap signal appeared on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), indicating some positive support that may limit price movements in the short term.

As investors anticipate BOC and US Inflation, USD/CAD falls toward 1.2900

Jul 11, 2022 11:32

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The USD/CAD pair is trading below the important support level of 1.2960 as investors support the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar on the strength of positive Canadian unemployment statistics. On a larger scale, the pair has depreciated progressively after retesting the key resistance level of 1.3083 on Wednesday.

 

The unemployment rate in Canada came in at 4.9%, below both estimates and the previous announcement of 5.1%. This has encouraged the Bank of Canada (BOC) to raise its interest rates on Wednesday by a reasonable amount. According to market consensus, the BOC may issue a 75-basis-point rate rise (bps). The occurrence of the same will increase the official interest rate to 2.25 percent.

 

Tiff Macklem, the governor of the Bank of Canada, is obligated to announce a significant interest rate increase due to the escalating inflationary pressures in the Canadian economy. May's inflation rate in Canada was 7.7 percent, a significant increase from the 6.8 percent figure reported in April.

 

On the dollar front, the US dollar index (DXY) has seen a little recovery at the opening. The DXY will stay on edge until Wednesday, when the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released. The preliminary estimate for US inflation is 8.7%, which is 10 basis points (bps) higher than the previous estimate of 8.6%. A higher inflation reading will increase the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would adopt an extremely hawkish posture at its monetary policy meeting in July.