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On April 4, the Yangtze River Delta Railway ushered in the peak of passenger flow during the Qingming Festival. It is expected to send 4.1 million passengers today, 365,000 more than the same period last year, an increase of about 9.8%, and is expected to set a new record for single-day passenger volume. This years Qingming Festival railway transportation will start from April 3 to 7. The Yangtze River Delta Railway is expected to send 17.6 million passengers in 5 days, with an average daily passenger flow of 3.52 million, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%.The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a six-month low of 3.6550% and was last at 3.6611%.On April 4, local time on April 3, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said that about 20% of the layoffs in the Department of Government Efficiency were wrong and needed to be corrected. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services laid off about 10,000 people on the 1st. Kennedy said that people who should not have been laid off were laid off, and the department is restoring their positions. Kennedy said that canceling the entire lead poisoning prevention and monitoring department of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was one of the mistakes. At present, it is unclear what other projects Kennedy may plan to restore.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Will consider the impact of food costs on consumers.On April 4, local time on the 3rd, the automobile company Stellantis said that due to the impact of the US import automobile tariff policy, the company decided to lay off 900 employees in its five US factories and suspend production operations at two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. Antonio Filosa, Chief Operating Officer of Stellantis Americas, said that the US factories that were laid off were powertrain and stamping parts factories, which produced spare parts for two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. According to the plan, the assembly plant in Canada will stop production for two weeks, and the assembly plant in Toluca, Mexico will suspend production throughout April. Filosa said the company is "continuing to evaluate the medium- and long-term impact of tariffs on operations."

According to Bailey of the BOE, the GBP/USD is under pressure at its two-year low of 1.1900

Alina Haynes

Jul 12, 2022 14:41

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Following a test of the two-year bottom at 1.1845 the day before, GBP/USD bears tinker with the 1.1900 level during Tuesday's Asian session. Recent losses for the Cable pair may be related to British political developments and concerns of a recession.

 

Following Boris Johnson's ouster, a number of well-known British officials are vying for the presidency, including former chancellor Rishi Sunak, foreign secretary Liz Truss, and current UK finance minister Nadhim Zahawi. Although Brexit is the main element supporting the candidate, tax cuts are being emphasized as the promise to win over supporters.

 

According to a survey of the retail sector, which was released on Tuesday by Reuters, British customers cut down on their purchases for the third month in a row, and sales volumes fell by the most since the COVID-19 outbreak.

 

The Bank of England's Andrew Bailey told Reuters that "the United Kingdom is facing a very substantial real income shock." Due to the nation's economic unease, the news also puts negative pressure on the GBP/USD exchange rate.

 

On a larger scale, fears of an economic downturn were exacerbated by historically high US inflation forecasts and comments from US leaders foreseeing future suffering, which fueled the risk-averse mood and pulled down the GBP/USD currency rate. Despite this, a research by the New York Federal Reserve found that one-year inflation estimates in the US rose to a record high of 6.8 percent in June from 6.6 percent in May. Expectations of Fed aggression, which were earlier reinforced by the most recent US job statistics, are another factor adding to the market doom. While the unemployment rate held stable at 3.6 percent, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) expanded by 372K in June, above projections of 268K and a downward adjustment of 384K.

 

In this setting, equities continued to decline, while US Treasury rates showed no signs of abating. S&P 500 Futures also keep an eye on Wall Street losses as of publication.

 

For traders of the GBP/USD pair, Governor Bailey of the Bank of England's second round of testimony will be essential. However, risk factors including political events and inflationary concerns will be the major emphasis.


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