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On September 17th, Goldman Sachs stated that gasoline prices are poised for further increases as tight supply conditions spread in the global fuel market. The bank has adjusted its trading strategy, shifting its focus from diesel to this widely used vehicle fuel. Analysts, including Yulia Zhestkova Grigsby and Daan Struyven, noted in a report: "The key reason behind this new recommendation is that refiners are shifting production from gasoline to diesel, leading to a rapid tightening of the gasoline market supply." In a report dated September 16th, analysts stated that while diesel prices may still rise further, gasoline currently offers "greater upside potential" due to factors such as more resilient demand and relative inventory changes. Therefore, the bank closed out previous positions on different diesel contract spreads (i.e., time spreads) and recommended establishing long positions in European gasoline targeting mid-2027.On September 17th, according to the Financial Times, Emulate, a UK-based AI startup founded just one month ago by former DeepMind researchers, is launching a new funding round worth hundreds of millions of dollars at a post-money valuation of nearly $4 billion. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the company is in advanced talks with potential investors, planning to raise up to $700 million, which would bring its valuation to $3.7 billion upon completion. The sources also stated that this massive funding round will be jointly led by prominent UK venture capital firm Index Ventures and Silicon Valley-based Lightspeed Venture Partners.According to the Financial Times, Emulate, a British startup founded by former DeepMind researchers, is raising hundreds of millions of dollars in a new funding round just one month after its founding, with a valuation of nearly $4 billion.On September 17th, Robert Sorkin, chief U.S. economist at PGIM, stated that the latest Federal Reserve meeting signaled that the Fed could implement three rate hikes, or even more if necessary, with just a slight push. This rate hike was hawkish, signaling another rate hike this year. Of the 18 Fed officials who submitted forecasts, eight expect three rate hikes in this cycle by the end of 2027. In a report, Sorkin noted that Fed Chairman Warshs mention of the Fed "withdrawing some easing measures" suggested that he and other participants viewed Wednesdays action as merely a small step towards tightening financial conditions, implying further action is possible. Sorkin added that the risk of further Fed rate hikes remains high if inflation continues to be high.On September 17th, Futures News reported that Zhang Guoqing, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, stated in his concluding remarks that it is essential to thoroughly study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important instructions and the requirements of Premier Li Qiangs speech, and to earnestly enhance the sense of urgency, responsibility, and mission in developing advanced manufacturing. He emphasized the need to focus on key areas and crucial aspects, deeply implement the high-quality development action plan for key industrial chains, vigorously develop next-generation intelligent manufacturing, accelerate the upgrading and integrated development of the industrial system, and solidly promote the implementation of various tasks. He also stressed the importance of better leveraging the role of market mechanisms, accelerating the construction of a high-quality standard system, continuously rectifying disorderly and irrational competition, actively helping enterprises solve practical difficulties, and striving to create a favorable ecosystem for the development of advanced manufacturing.

AUD/USD The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) will continue to serve

Daniel Rogers

Jul 12, 2022 14:45

 截屏2022-07-12 上午9.51.02.png

 

The movement of the AUD/USD pair is volatile during the Asian session. The asset was auctioned in the region of 0.6732 to 0.6746 with a sluggish increase in the US dollar index (DXY). Monday saw little improvement in the major as it lost the important support level of 0.6760. The asset's value dropped to 0.6716, a fresh two-year low.

 

The Darvas Box pattern breaks, increasing the volatility of the counter. The aforementioned chart pattern has grown since July's first trading session inside a wider range of 0.6761-0.6900.

 

Negative filtering is strengthened around 0.6827 by a bearish cross of the 20-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

 

Further losses are expected as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the negative territory between 20.00 and 40.00. There are no divergence or oversold circumstances present in the momentum oscillator RSI (14) reading.

 

The dollar bulls will push the asset to its 29 May 2020 top of 0.6683 if it drops below Monday's low of 0.6713. If the latter limit is crossed, the asset will reach its top on April 30, 2020, at 0.6570.

 

In contrast, if the asset breaks beyond the July 5 high of 0.6896, the dollar bulls may lose their grip. A similar occurrence would drive the asset to its peak on June 30 at 0.6920 and then to its peak on June 28 at 0.6965.