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On September 17th, Robert Sorkin, chief U.S. economist at PGIM, stated that the latest Federal Reserve meeting signaled that the Fed could implement three rate hikes, or even more if necessary, with just a slight push. This rate hike was hawkish, signaling another rate hike this year. Of the 18 Fed officials who submitted forecasts, eight expect three rate hikes in this cycle by the end of 2027. In a report, Sorkin noted that Fed Chairman Warshs mention of the Fed "withdrawing some easing measures" suggested that he and other participants viewed Wednesdays action as merely a small step towards tightening financial conditions, implying further action is possible. Sorkin added that the risk of further Fed rate hikes remains high if inflation continues to be high.On September 17th, Futures News reported that Zhang Guoqing, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Vice Premier of the State Council, stated in his concluding remarks that it is essential to thoroughly study and implement the spirit of General Secretary Xi Jinpings important instructions and the requirements of Premier Li Qiangs speech, and to earnestly enhance the sense of urgency, responsibility, and mission in developing advanced manufacturing. He emphasized the need to focus on key areas and crucial aspects, deeply implement the high-quality development action plan for key industrial chains, vigorously develop next-generation intelligent manufacturing, accelerate the upgrading and integrated development of the industrial system, and solidly promote the implementation of various tasks. He also stressed the importance of better leveraging the role of market mechanisms, accelerating the construction of a high-quality standard system, continuously rectifying disorderly and irrational competition, actively helping enterprises solve practical difficulties, and striving to create a favorable ecosystem for the development of advanced manufacturing.On September 17, the Pakistani Foreign Ministry issued a statement on the evening of the 16th, saying that Pakistan summoned the Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the Indian High Commission in Pakistan that day to lodge a strong protest against the "highly provocative and unacceptable behavior" taken by an Indian Navy vessel in Pakistans Exclusive Economic Zone on the 15th. The statement said that during the Pakistani Navys biennial routine exercises, the Indian warship took provocative actions at extremely close range towards a Pakistani warship, resulting in a contact between the two vessels. This action seriously violated the relevant agreements signed by both sides and could escalate regional tensions. The statement urged India to strictly abide by international law and bilateral agreements, especially those aimed at preventing maritime conflicts. The Chargé dAffaires ad interim of the Pakistani High Commission in India will lodge the same protest with the Indian Ministry of External Affairs.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: No comment on the Bank of Japans policy.Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: The Bank of Japan is expected to work closely with the government to implement appropriate monetary policy in order to achieve the 2% price target.

The USD/CHF pair encounters resistance around 0.9840, which is close to the 61.8 percent Fibo retracement level

Alina Haynes

Jul 13, 2022 10:51

 截屏2022-07-13 上午9.49.25.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has demonstrated a less certain return following a corrective slide from Tuesday's high of 0.9858. Since the asset's low of 0.9495 on June 29, bulls have maintained control of it.

 

The asset was unable to continue trading above the 0.9839, or 61.8 percent, Fibonacci retracement (which is based on the high in June of 1.0050 and the low on June 29 of 0.9495). However, a little decline following Tuesday's 0.9859 high does not signify a bearish reversal.

 

The 20-period and 50-period Exponential Advancing Averages (EMAs) are moving quickly at 0.9744 and 0.9733, respectively, adding to the upward filters.

 

Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (14) has not yet left the bullish region of 60.00-80.00, suggesting that further higher movement is still possible. However, given the overbought situation, more declines cannot be ruled out.

 

The asset will hit the round-level barrier at 0.9900 and the beginning price on June 16 at 0.9950 with a clear breach of Tuesday's top at 0.9859.

 

The Swiss franc bulls, on the other hand, might become more powerful if the asset drops below the 0.9708 38.2 percent Fibo retracement line. If the same thing happens again, the asset will reach its peak on July 1 of 0.9642. If the asset drops below the 1 July high, it will be more vulnerable to losses below the 0.9562 low on 4 July.