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On May 10th, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated at a political conference in Toronto on Saturday that Canada is willing to establish closer trade ties with the United States and Mexico in specific industries to boost the North American economy. He mentioned the "North American Fortress" initiative but did not specify any particular sectors. Carney indicated that if this approach fails, Canada will invest heavily in new markets and new products. The United States, Mexico, and Canada are scheduled to begin reviewing a trade agreement this year. Trump has already imposed tariffs on products such as automobiles and steel, disrupting the closely intertwined supply chains among the three countries. Carney had previously set a goal of doubling exports to countries outside the United States within ten years.The Bahraini Foreign Minister demanded that Iran cease its aggressive and provocative actions against Bahrain and other countries in the region, as well as its egregious interference in their internal affairs.Bahrains Foreign Minister: Bahrain condemns and strongly condemns Irans continued interference in its internal affairs and its actions that threaten the security and stability of the Gulf states.Commander of the Aerospace Force of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps: The Aerospace Forces missiles and drones have locked onto the enemy, and we are awaiting the order to launch.On May 10th, local time, the final vote count for the 136th Local Council of England was released, completing the election results for the English Local Council, as well as the Scottish and Welsh Parliaments. In this election, both of Britains traditional two major parties, the Labour Party and the Conservative Party, suffered significant setbacks, while the Reform Party, the Green Party, and other parties saw a marked increase in strength, further highlighting the trend of "fragmentation" in British politics. Data shows that in the English Local Council elections, the Reform Party won 1453 seats, becoming one of the biggest winners; the Labour Party won 1063 seats; and the Conservative Party won 801 seats. Analysts believe that this British local election demonstrates that the traditional two-party (Labour and Conservative) dominance in Britain is being significantly challenged. British politics is further developing towards multi-party competition and political fragmentation.

AUD/USD surpasses 0.7180 on bullish Chinese trade statistics

Daniel Rogers

Jun 09, 2022 11:24

 截屏2022-06-09 上午11.26.40.png

 

The AUD/USD pair has attempted to surpass 0.7180 as China's National Bureau of Statistics released year-to-date trade figures that exceeded expectations (YTD). Imports have increased by 4.1% in dollar terms, while exports have increased by 16.9%. The U.S. Trade Balance came in at $78.76B, far higher than the forecast of $58B and the previous reading of $51.12B. Notably, Australia is China's most important trading partner, and Chinese trade statistics has a huge influence on the antipodes.

 

Australian bulls are underperforming versus the dollar despite the Reserve Bank of Australia's announcement of a massive rate rise (RBA). The Reserve Bank of Australia increased its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps). The market consensus anticipated a 25 basis point rate increase.

 

The estimate of a 25 basis point rate rise was based on increasing inflation and a sluggish labor market. Last week, the Australian economy announced an Employment Change of 4k, indicating that the economy created 4k jobs in May, which was much less than the expected 30k.

 

Due to the lack of liquidity in the economy, more quantitative tightening measures diminish job chances. Therefore, a rate increase of a quarter to one percent was preferable. Now, severe quantitative restraints may lead to inefficiencies in the employment creation process.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) is battling to hold above 102.60. As investors anticipate the announcement of US inflation data on Friday, the odds favor an increase in the DXY's value. The preliminary estimate for the annual inflation rate is 8.3 percent, while the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) is anticipated to be 5.9 percent, down from 6.2 percent in the previous reading.


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