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On July 8th, the South Korean government think tank stated that the South Korean economy remains on a recovery track, with the booming semiconductor industry offsetting the slowdown in the overall manufacturing sector. The Korea Development Institute (KDI), in its monthly economic assessment report, noted that South Koreas exports continued their "strong" expansion, driven by robust demand related to artificial intelligence. South Koreas monthly exports surpassed the $100 billion mark for the first time in June, reaching $102.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of 70.9%, setting a new record. The KDI stated, "Although the growth rate of semiconductor export volume has slowed, the export value remains strong, supported by continued price increases." Driven by a surge in demand for memory chips, semiconductor exports nearly tripled, reaching $44.82 billion, with monthly exports exceeding $40 billion for the first time. However, the KDI pointed out that manufacturing output declined slightly because "the rapid growth momentum in the semiconductor sector has slowed, and other sectors remain sluggish." The KDI added that high oil prices and a weaker won against the US dollar may "continue to put upward pressure on prices, increasing the risk of further interest rate hikes, thereby dragging down the recovery in consumption."On July 8th, Citigroup issued a report lowering its target price for Tencent from HK$763 to HK$758 to reflect adjustments to its portfolio value, while maintaining a "Buy" rating. Citigroup believes the company will continue to review its portfolio and rotate and rebalance between AI-related strategic investments and mature industries with limited future synergies. Looking ahead to the second quarter, Citigroup expects Tencents revenue to grow 9.3% year-on-year to RMB 201.7 billion, and adjusted net profit to grow 5.1% to RMB 66.25 billion, a lower estimate than the market consensus due to a cautious view on AI spending and its potential drag on profitability. In the second half of the year, Citigroup expects the focus to remain on agent-based AI testing within WeChat, the integration of Mini Programs and Hy3, the next generation or upgrade of the Hy model, and capital expenditure. Citigroup believes Tencent will prioritize share buyback opportunities, increase AI investment, and strengthen its core business growth through AI empowerment.JPMorgan Chase raised its price target for General Motors (GM.N) from $98 to $110.JPMorgan Chase lowered its price target for Pfizer (PFE.N) from $30 to $28.July 8th - According to an official from the Ministry of Civil Affairs, by the end of 2025, my country will have 396,000 elderly care institutions and facilities, with nursing beds accounting for 67.5%. County-level public elderly care institutions have achieved near-universal coverage, with approximately 30% possessing county-level comprehensive elderly care service management platform functions, and over 60% of townships (subdistricts) having regional elderly care service centers. Facilities such as urban embedded community elderly care service centers, rural neighborhood mutual aid points, and rural happy homes are continuously increasing. Professional, chain-operated, and branded elderly care service operators are gradually being cultivated and strengthened, and the construction of a three-tiered elderly care service network across the country has achieved initial results.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

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Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.


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