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The yield on Japans two-year government bonds rose 1.5 basis points to 1.445%.According to the official measurement of the China Earthquake Networks Center, a 3.7-magnitude earthquake occurred in Shaya County, Aksu Prefecture, Xinjiang (41.00 degrees north latitude, 83.31 degrees east longitude) at 11:59 on July 9, with a focal depth of 22 kilometers.July 9th - The Japanese bond market is signaling declining confidence in the central banks ability to curb inflation, while government spending plans further exacerbate fiscal pressures. This week, yields on 10-year and 20-year Japanese government bonds surged to multi-decade highs as renewed concerns arose about Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis commitment to fiscal discipline and monetary policy normalization. On Wednesday, the spread between 10-year and 2-year JGB yields widened to 143 basis points, the highest level since 2004, reflecting heightened market concerns about long-term inflation and price risks, while expectations for short-term Bank of Japan rate hikes weakened. Kento Minami, senior economist at Daiwa Securities, stated, "The recent steepening of the yield curve is a warning sign from investors, indicating a gap between the risks the market is measuring and the governments fiscal and monetary policies."On July 9th, in a report titled "Investment Strategy: Going Long on Chinas AI Value Chain," Goldman Sachs analyst Louis Mille wrote, "Chinas AI industry has officially come into our view." The reason given is that "the unprecedented combination of massive government support, surging global demand, and structural capital rotation makes Chinas AI one of the most compelling growth stories in the technology sector today." Goldman Sachs presented three key points to support its investment argument: Chinese AI companies market capitalization is severely mismatched with market size, leaving ample room for valuation upside; the Chinese AI industry chain possesses unique competitive advantages that are currently undervalued by the market; and the Chinese AI sector is outperforming other Chinese assets, with funds structurally increasing their allocation.On July 9th, it was learned that XPeng Group held its first all-staff meeting for its Robotaxi business and announced the official launch of employee internal testing. He Xiaopeng stated that in the next ten years, all embodied intelligent carriers will essentially become robots. Robotaxi is a crucial step for XPeng from new energy vehicles to "robot cars," and a key piece in XPengs physical AI landscape. Based on the development trend of software and hardware integration in the AI era, XPeng will focus on vehicle platforms, autonomous driving software, and AI capabilities to become a Robotaxi software and hardware service provider serving global partners. By providing complete solutions, XPeng will promote the global deployment of Robotaxi.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-06-08 下午12.00.41.png

 

Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.


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