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April 14th - According to a CNN report on Monday, a source familiar with the negotiations revealed that the Trump administration is discussing the specific details of arranging a second round of face-to-face talks with Iranian officials before the US-Iran ceasefire expires next week, depending on the situation. However, whether such a meeting will actually take place remains uncertain. If negotiations with Iran and regional mediators progress in the coming days, officials are studying potential dates and locations for the talks, describing these discussions as an initial phase. "If the situation develops in that direction, we need to be prepared to quickly initiate the relevant arrangements," the source said. A regional source indicated that a new round of negotiations is possible, with Turkey working to bridge the differences between the two sides. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that Geneva and Islamabad have again been listed as potential locations for the next round of negotiations. Sources said that government officials remain hopeful of resolving the issue through diplomatic means. Depending on the pace of progress in negotiations in the coming days, the US and Iran may also extend the ceasefire to buy more time.Hang Seng Index futures closed up 1.01% at 15,924 points in overnight trading, a premium of 263 points.SanDisk (SNDK.O) shares rose more than 10%, bringing its total market capitalization close to $140 billion.On April 14th, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned on Monday that private credit funds are facing a higher risk from a one-off shock that could shake confidence across the industry. In his capacity as Chairman of the Financial Stability Board (FSB), Bailey wrote to finance ministers outlining how the Middle East conflict could, for the first time, test the $1.8 trillion global private credit market, as some highly leveraged borrowers face pressure. Bailey wrote, “The lack of transparency in these markets presents a higher risk, and even if the specific cause of the problem is limited to individual borrowers, it could trigger a broader loss of confidence.” He added that the FSB will “continue to monitor and conduct further work in the coming months.” The FSB is currently preparing a detailed report on private credit vulnerabilities, aiming to uncover hidden corners of the market that policymakers have been concerned about for years, an area that has expanded rapidly in a relatively lax regulatory environment.According to Futures News on April 14, as of the close of trading at 2:30 PM, the main Shanghai Gold futures contract fell by 0.48%, the main Shanghai Silver futures contract fell by 0.19%, and the main SC crude oil futures contract rose by 0.65%.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

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Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.


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