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On May 9th, Futures News reported that from a macroeconomic perspective, Trumps primary objectives are to secure low-priced Middle Eastern oil, curb Irans nuclear program, and expand the dollars dominance in oil settlements, rather than perpetuating an energy price crisis. The likelihood of a macroeconomic upside is relatively high, but further analysis is needed. If the escalation of the US-Iran situation leads to a continued surge in oil prices and stagflation, the market will price gold as an inflation hedge and safe haven, thus boosting silver. However, weakness in the industrial sector will drag down silver, limiting its upside potential or causing a pullback. Conversely, if the Middle East situation does not lead to stagflation, and the Federal Reserve begins raising interest rates to mitigate inflation risks, silver will be under pressure. If US-Iran relations ease and the Strait of Hormuz resumes normal navigation, oil prices may fall significantly, and the market may price in a Fed rate cut this year, leading to an upward correction in silver prices. Overall, looking ahead to the second quarter, given the possibility of a breakthrough in the Middle East situation, the logic of a Fed rate hike this year may be disproven. Coupled with the supply and demand situation of regional market differentiation but persistent overall deficits, silver prices are likely to continue their moderate rise.On May 9th, NIO posted on social media to refute rumors that it had been summoned for questioning, stating that they were pure fabrication.On May 9th, JiKrs legal department posted on social media that they have recently noticed a group of social media accounts maliciously spreading information such as "eight new energy vehicle companies were summoned for talks," and using AI software to fabricate false information that JiKr had been "summoned for talks," which has greatly damaged JiKrs brand reputation. JiKr has not received any such "summoning" information. Regarding these malicious attacks and defamation, we have collected and secured evidence and will protect our rights in accordance with the law.May 9th - According to the latest data released by Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the China Passenger Car Association, my countrys automobile exports reached 3.28 million units from January to April this year, a year-on-year increase of 52%, setting a new record in recent years. The total export value reached US$56.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 54%, also a new record in recent years.On May 9th, World Health Organization (WHO) spokesperson Christian Lindmeier stated on May 8th that the WHO had initiated a response to the current Hantavirus outbreak in accordance with the International Health Regulations. In addition to the cruise ship affected by the outbreak, contact tracing is ongoing. Regarding public concern about the transmissibility of the Hantavirus, Lindmeier emphasized that the virus is not highly contagious and does not easily spread from person to person. Many people who have had close contact with infected individuals during this outbreak have tested negative for the virus, which sufficiently demonstrates that the risk of Hantavirus to the general population is very low.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

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Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.