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According to Israels Channel 12: Security agencies are preparing for a possible decision by Trump to take military action against Iran in the coming days.According to Israels Channel 12: Israel is closely monitoring the draft agreement between the United States and Iran, fearing that Tehran may receive sanctions relief without resolving the nuclear issue.According to Israels Channel 12: The Israeli military has declared a state of high alert in order to prevent a possible escalation of tensions with Iran.On May 23, it was reported that India, the worlds third-largest consumer of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), is currently facing an LPG supply gap of approximately 400,000 barrels per day (compared to pre-war levels), with domestic production unable to compensate for the decline in imports caused by the war with Iran. Data from energy data analytics firm Kpler shows that Indias LPG imports in April were 377,620 barrels per day, less than half of the 851,870 barrels per day imported in February. In April, Indias domestic production increased to 530,000 barrels per day, an increase of approximately 75,000 barrels per day from the previous month. Sumit Ritolia, chief refining and supply analyst at Kpler, stated that the situation is more serious because Indias domestic LPG production is nearing full capacity, meaning that the supply gap could persist as long as imports do not fully recover. A black market seller stated, "Due to soaring costs, we noticed a slight slowdown in customer demand in April. But people have no choice, as switching to other fuels is not easy."On May 23, it was reported that from January to April 2026, 20,113 new foreign-invested enterprises were established nationwide, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%; actual use of foreign capital amounted to RMB 287.69 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.3%. By industry, actual use of foreign capital in manufacturing was RMB 78.88 billion, and in services RMB 204.15 billion. Actual use of foreign capital in high-tech industries reached RMB 116.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.3%, accounting for 40.4% of the total actual use of foreign capital nationwide, an increase of 10.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year. Among them, actual use of foreign capital in R&D and design services, computer and office equipment manufacturing, and electronic and communication equipment manufacturing increased by 108.4%, 22.9%, and 20.2%, respectively.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

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Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.


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