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April 11th - A Bank of America research report indicates that the Eurozone is far more sensitive to oil prices than the United States. The study found that a 10% shock to oil prices would have an inflationary impact of approximately 40 basis points and a corresponding growth impact of over 10 basis points. Both of these effects are roughly twice that in the United States. We believe this result is due to the higher proportion of energy in Europes consumption basket and the regions status as a net importer of oil.On April 11th, Baidu AI Cloud, in collaboration with embodied intelligence companies such as ZeroPower, LingSheng Technology, Fourier, Weite Technology, Topway Intelligence, Shutu Technology, and Songying Technology, launched the Baidu AI Cloud Embedded Intelligence Data Supermarket (Beta Version). This pioneering hierarchical and scalable data tagging system accelerates the large-scale deployment of embodied intelligence. Currently, Baidu AI Cloud provides services to over 30 embodied intelligence companies, including Zhiyuan and Unitree.April 11 - It was learned on the morning of the 11th local time that talks between Iran and the United States were "very likely" to begin that afternoon in Islamabad. According to information received by Iran, both delegations will first meet separately with the Prime Minister of Pakistan before the formal talks begin.April 11 – The US delegation participating in the US-Iran talks arrived in Pakistan on April 11 local time. Early on the morning of the 11th local time, Pakistani officials confirmed that the US-Iran talks would be held that day at the Serena Hotel in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan, to seek a peaceful solution to the current Middle East crisis. The Iranian delegation, led by Speaker of the Iranian Islamic Parliament, Ghalibaf, has also arrived at the Serena Hotel.On April 11th, a Bank of America research report pointed out that a 10% oil price shock in the 1970s would have had a 90 basis point inflationary impact on the United States, while today that impact is approximately 25 basis points. Furthermore, the report noted that the drag on US growth from oil price shocks has also decreased from over 70 basis points in the past to about 5 basis points today. This may be attributed to the reduced US dependence on oil and the shale oil boom since the 2010s, which has made the US a net energy exporter.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

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Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.


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