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On April 10th, it was reported that AliExpress, Alibabas cross-border e-commerce platform, is preparing to hold a closed-door brand summit in Shenzhen on April 15th. The summit is strictly by invitation only to leading brands, and open registration is not accepted. 99 brands, including Xiaomi and Dreame, have been invited, and invitations have been disbursed. It is understood that half of the speakers are from overseas, and the combined overseas sales of the attending brands exceed one trillion yuan.On April 10th, Bank of America Securities issued a report stating that Innoscience (02577.HK) management indicated in the analyst briefing following the 2025 fiscal year results that downstream demand is expected to be strong in 2026 due to the increasing penetration rate of gallium nitride (GaN) in various end markets. Management projects total revenue for fiscal year 2026 to reach RMB 2 billion to 2.5 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 65% to 106%, with gross margin potentially further improving to over 15%. The bank reiterated its buy rating on Innoscience, but lowered its target price from HKD 108 to HKD 92. Bank of America stated that due to a more conservative gross margin forecast, it lowered its adjusted net profit forecasts for Innoscience for 2026 and 2027, but raised its revenue forecasts by 3% to 4% for the same period.On April 10th, Thai Finance Minister Ekniti Nitithanprapas stated that due to the Middle East conflict, Thailand expects oil prices to remain high for up to two years, foreshadowing sustained pressure on this net energy importer already grappling with rising costs and slowing growth. Speaking to lawmakers during a parliamentary debate following a government policy statement, Ekniti noted that energy infrastructure in the Middle East has been severely damaged, and oil and gas supplies could take one to two years to stabilize. He added that the government plans to accelerate the adoption of solar, biofuels, and other renewable energy sources to cushion the impact of high energy costs on households and businesses. The energy shock has already affected the economic outlook. Economists have begun to lower their growth forecasts for Thailand as rising fuel costs have dampened consumption and disrupted exports and tourism—two core drivers of the Thai economy.On April 10th, according to the National Cybersecurity Notification Center, the center detected a recent surge in supply chain poisoning attacks. Targets included the API development tool Apifox, the Python library LiteLLM, and the JavaScript HTTP library Axios, involving two core supply chain scenarios: open-source software repositories and commercial tools. The Axios poisoning incident, in particular, occurred because many AI applications and plugins, such as OpenClaw, directly rely on this library, allowing the risk to spread further to end users through the dependency chain. These three supply chain poisoning incidents share common characteristics: high stealth, wide impact, high severity, and rapid spread, potentially causing serious harm such as credential theft, remote code execution, and sensitive data leakage.On the morning of April 10, Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, met with Cheng Li-wen, Chairperson of the Kuomintang, in Beijing.

AUD/USD falls approaching 0.7200 despite the former RBA governor's aggressive forecasts

Alina Haynes

Jun 08, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-06-08 下午12.00.41.png

 

Bears and buyers continue to fight for position around 0.7220-25 as sentiment is mixed and investors remain cautious ahead of the week's big data/events. In doing so, the Australian duo struggles to defend the hawkish remarks of former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Ian Macfarlane.

 

Ex-RBA Governor Macfarlane warned early Wednesday morning about chronically rising inflation and the need to drastically increase interest rates. The former policymaker also stated, "There is sufficient scarcity in Australia and the United States to maintain a high inflation rate."

 

In contrast, China's Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen joined China's Vice Finance Minister Zou Jiayi in reiterating concerns about a global economic downturn and a decline in demand. Recent consensus among policymakers held that the rise of global demand is slowing.

 

It's worth noting that a rebound in US Treasury rates and apprehension ahead of Thursday's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, as well as Friday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May, tend to stifle the AUD/USD pair's movements.

 

In spite of this, 10-year US Treasury note rates jump two basis points (bps) to 2.99 percent the day after breaking a six-day downward trend. A record decline in the US trade deficit and optimism on the US budget appear to have prompted a recall of US Treasury bond sellers. The US trade deficit for April decreased 19.1 percent from the previous day to USD87.1 billion.

 

Other market optimists were defended by US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and optimism for a quicker economic rebound in China. Tuesday, US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke before the Senate Finance Committee about the Fiscal Year 2023 Budget while stating that the US economy faced problems from "unsustainable levels of inflation" and supply chain disruptions. The official said, "An adequate budget is necessary to support the Fed's efforts to control inflation without damaging the labor market."

 

It should be noted that World Bank (WB) President David Malpass's warning that faster-than-anticipated tightening might force certain nations into a debt crisis akin to that of the 1980s appears to have impacted on the quotation as of late. The risk-negative news from Ukraine may follow a similar trajectory. Politico reported that Ukraine has not yet achieved a deal with Russia or Turkey to enable the safe passage of its grain ships in the Black Sea, casting doubt on a U.N. initiative to build a crucial food corridor.

Technical Evaluation

A two-week-old support line protects AUD/USD buyers at 0.7205. However, the 200-day moving average and the recent top, located around 0.7255 and 0.7285, may challenge the Aussie pair's upside before the bulls regain control.