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September 5th - According to Axios, Republican confidence in the economy has plummeted at an unprecedented rate since the pandemic began over the past six months, a decline comparable to that during the global financial crisis nearly two decades ago. Typically, the ruling party is more optimistic about the economy, while the opposition is far more pessimistic. However, the current situation is unusual; even with Republicans in the White House, Republican voters are increasingly negative about the economy this year. With only two months left until Election Day, this adds another ominous sign for Trump. The director of the University of Michigans consumer survey stated that most of the time, Republican and Democratic confidence in the economy moves roughly in parallel, but this is not the case now. Republicans initially had very positive expectations for the governments economic policies (including tariffs), but they have seen neither a slowdown in inflation, let alone the price reductions promised by Trump.September 5th - The U.S. military stated on the 4th that it has shot down more than 300 drug cartel drones along the U.S.-Mexico border this year. The U.S. Northern Command issued a statement that day saying that the U.S. military has used both kinetic and non-kinetic systems to shoot down more than 300 drones this year to support U.S. Customs and Border Protection, including more than 100 in August. The U.S. military began using the Army Multipurpose High Energy Laser (MLLS) system in border operations on August 24th, and as of September 4th, it had used the system to shoot down 11 drug cartel drones. The U.S. military began using the Army Multipurpose High Energy Laser (MLLS) system in border operations on August 24, and as of September 4, it had used the system to shoot down 11 drug cartel drones.September 5th - Just earlier this year, France completed the domestic consolidation of all its official gold reserves, completely clearing out its custodial holdings in the United States. Eric Monnet, a professor at the Paris School of Economics, stated that this operation not only standardized the quality and specifications of its gold reserves, but also effectively mitigated inflation arising from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, while highlighting considerations for national sovereignty and asset security amidst geopolitical changes. Currently, many countries in Europe, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East are reassessing the risks of overseas custody. With rising geopolitical and financial market uncertainty, a new round of adjustments to gold reserve allocations is underway globally.German Chancellor Merz: (Regarding the attempted drone attack at the airport) The attribution is very clear and has a full legal basis.According to Interfax news agency, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russia struck two ships carrying military cargo at the port of Chernomorsk in Ukraine. Russia also attacked a cargo ship near the port of Odessa in Ukraine.

AUD/USD struggles to maintain a price over 0.6720 due to risk aversion ahead of FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 04, 2023 14:59

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The AUD/USD pair is under pressure throughout the Asian session to maintain above the immediate resistance level of 0.6720. As the risk-aversion theme influences the Australian Dollar, it is projected that the Aussie asset will retest the round-level support at 0.6700.

 

The negative close of the S&P500 on Tuesday and the dismal performance of the 500-stock U.S. index on a larger scale highlight market participants' pessimism. On Tuesday, the US Dollar Index (DXY) turned positive after tenaciously defending the 103.00 support. In contrast, demand for US government bonds soared, leading in a decline to 3.76 percent for 10-year Treasury yields.

 

Prior to the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, there has been a significant spike in demand for the US Dollar Index. Investors eagerly await monetary policy outlook indicators for CY2023.

 

The current tight labor market and low unemployment rate in the United States present the Federal Reserve (Fed) with a considerable challenge in its pursuit of a 2% inflation rate. A continuation of the labor market's greater monthly job gains is attracting higher employment expenses to compensate for the labor shortage, which may encourage future retail demand.

 

The Australian Dollar is failing to capitalize on Caixin Manufacturing PMI data that exceeded expectations. IHS Markit reported economic data of 49.0, which is higher than the consensus estimate of 48.8 but lower than the prior release of 49.4. The market anticipated a decline in PMI figures after detecting negative signals in China's official Manufacturing PMI data and the precarious condition of Covid-19 in China.