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Sources say Russia’s largest oil refinery, the Omsk refinery, has suspended operations following a drone attack on Monday.July 7th - Robert Kavcic, an economist at BMO Capital Markets, stated that Canada has clearly emerged from two consecutive quarters of sluggish GDP growth, with a strong recovery in net trade, partly driven by rising oil prices. According to Statistics Canadas May trade report, exports rose 0.9%, a robust 26% increase year-over-year. Energy sales accounted for the majority of the growth. Despite weak sales in May, Kavcic expects net trade to still provide a meaningful boost to second-quarter growth, contributing up to 2.0 percentage points.On July 7th, Wang Weizhong, Secretary of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Party Committee and Chairman of the Standing Committee of the Peoples Congress, and Bao Gang, Deputy Secretary of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Party Committee and Chairman of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Peoples Government, met with Sha Yan, Secretary of the Party Committee and Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, in Hohhot. Sha Yan stated that the Shenzhen Stock Exchange will fully leverage its advantages to continuously strengthen practical cooperation with Inner Mongolia in areas such as cultivating high-quality listed companies, facilitating corporate financing channels, promoting the growth of listed companies, and bond issuance. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange will utilize the multi-tiered capital market to help the autonomous region develop its distinctive and advantageous industries, including modern coal chemical industry, new energy, computing power, and modern agriculture and animal husbandry, enabling more high-quality enterprises to leverage the capital market to grow stronger and larger, and making greater contributions to the high-quality economic and social development of the entire region.The Moscow refinery in Russia has resumed oil processing.U.S. stocks opened lower and continued to decline, with the Nasdaq 100 index falling more than 2%, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling more than 6%, and SanDisk (SNDK.O) and Western Digital (WDC.O) both down more than 10%.

GBP/USD continues to trade below 1.2000 as risk aversion increases, with the US ISM PMI in focus

Alina Haynes

Jan 04, 2023 14:53

GBP:USD.png 

 

In the early Asian session, the GBP/USD pair has moved below the psychological support of 1.2000. Due to a risk-averse market mentality, the pound has been unable to surpass 1.2000. A dramatic fall in investors' risk appetite prior to the release of the United States ISM Manufacturing PMI data and the Federal Reserve's (FedDecember) monetary policy minutes boosted the United States Dollar.

 

The S&P 500 remained on a downward trajectory on Tuesday, showing the market participants' continued aversion to risk. The US Dollar Index (DXY) achieved a two-week high of roughly 104.40 after recovering strongly from 103.

 

Investors are afraid that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be compelled to adopt additional policy tightening in order to confront persistent inflation. Bill Dudley, a Bloomberg analyst, identified three focal points for the Fed in CY2023. The labor market's tight conditions and low unemployment rate are the primary driver of wage inflation. Second is the underinvestment in the oil and gas sector, which could worsen inflation given Russia's ability to weaponize its control over major oil supplies. The third aspect is the performance of the budget deficit, which is projected to reach approximately 5% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2023.

 

In the meantime, investors await the release of the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, which is expected to be lower at 48.5 compared to the previous release of 49.0. While the New Orders Index is expected to be higher at 48.1, compared to the previous release's 47.2, the data is expected to be down at 47.2.

 

The diminishing appetite for corporate debt raises red flags for the United Kingdom's economic outlook. 70% of UK CFOs believe credit to be "expensive" in light of the Bank of England's (BoE) most severe tightening policies in more than three decades, according to a quarterly poll conducted by Deloitte CFP and cited by Reuters. In the meantime, the British government has withdrawn the obligation for Chinese newcomers to undergo Covid testing.